BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
19.09.2026 15:00
Gradski stadion

Dunav Ruse vs Botev Vratsa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 76.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
76.5%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Dunav Ruse Win 23.5%
Draw 33.9%
Botev Vratsa Win 42.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dunav Ruse1.3
Botev Vratsa1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dunav Ruse Dunav Ruse
WWDLW
20 GF / 29 GA
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
WLDWL
17 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
12
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
8
1
Shots on Goal
0.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dunav Ruse Dunav Ruse 17 matches
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 17 matches
Dunav Ruse Statistic Botev Vratsa
2 Wins 4
5 Draws 8
10 Losses 5
20 Goals For 17
29 Goals Against 25
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
12 BTTS Yes 10
15 Over 1.5 13
11 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 5
1 Shots On Goal 0.33
2.17 Total Shots 0.67
2.33 Corners 0.5
13.8% Ball Possession 4.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Botev Vratsa. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dunav Ruse expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Botev Vratsa in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Botev Vratsa having the stronger overall control.

Dunav Ruse Analysis

With 4 points from 8 games and a place of 14, Dunav Ruse still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats with a 7:15 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Botev Vratsa Analysis

Botev Vratsa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 7 points from 8 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 7:17 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Dunav Ruse won 1 times, Botev Vratsa won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from Dunav Ruse's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (76.5%)
Predicted formations: Dunav Ruse 3-5-2 / Botev Vratsa 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Dunav Ruse wins 1, draws 3, Botev Vratsa wins 2

Standings

A PFG
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 1 0 21:4 17 25
D W W W W
2 8 6 2 0 21:6 15 20
W D W W W
3 8 6 2 0 14:6 8 20
W D D W W
4 9 6 1 2 17:9 8 19
W L W L W
5 9 5 1 3 14:11 3 16
L L W W W
6 9 4 1 4 13:14 -1 13
W W L L L
7 9 2 5 2 8:6 2 11
D W L D D
8 9 2 4 3 10:14 -4 10
D D D L L
9 9 2 2 5 7:17 -10 8
D W L W L
10 8 2 2 4 7:13 -6 8
L D W W L
11 9 2 0 7 4:12 -8 6
L W L L L
12 9 1 2 6 10:19 -9 5
D L L W L
13 8 0 4 4 10:16 -6 4
D L D L L
14 9 1 1 7 8:17 -9 4
L L D L W
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