CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Juliska
Referee: O. Pechanec
Dukla Praha
Match Timeline
Karviná
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
Yevgeniy Skyba
Karviná
39'
L. Ezeh · Assist: E. Ayaosi
Karviná
42'
A. Traore · Assist: J. Chytry
Karviná
🔄
46'
S. Tijani ↔ M. Zitny
Dukla Praha
🔄
46'
L. Penxa ↔ R. Mikus
Dukla Praha
🔄
46'
D. Gilbert ↔ D. Kreiker
Dukla Praha
🔄
46'
Y. Skyba ↔ J. Kristan
Karviná
VAR
63'
Marcel Čermák
Dukla Praha
63'
D. Kreiker · Assist: M. Cermak
Dukla Praha
🔄
65'
D. Velasquez ↔ T. Pekhart
Dukla Praha
🔄
65'
Z. Sehovic ↔ M. Pourzitidis
Dukla Praha
🔄
67'
J. Fleisman ↔ N. Milic
Karviná
🔄
67'
F. Prebsl ↔ P. Kacor
Karviná
🔄
67'
E. Ayaosi ↔ O. Conde
Karviná
🟨
72'
Yahaya Danjuma Lawali
Karviná
🟨
82'
Vladimir Neuman
Karviná
🔄
82'
L. Ezeh ↔ S. Bohac
Karviná
🟨
90+4'
Tomáš Pekhart
Dukla Praha

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 77.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 53.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 61%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
77.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
53.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
61%
-
Probability Distribution
Dukla Praha Win 22.7%
Draw 26.7%
Karviná Win 50.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dukla Praha1.04
Karviná1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dukla Praha Dukla Praha
WWDLW
17 GF / 39 GA
Karviná Karviná
WLDWL
41 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
0.61
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.68
10
BTTS Yes
18
6
Over 2.5
19
2.86
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 28 matches
Karviná Karviná 28 matches
Dukla Praha Statistic Karviná
3 Wins 11
11 Draws 3
14 Losses 14
17 Goals For 41
39 Goals Against 47
0.61 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.68
10 BTTS Yes 18
21 Over 1.5 25
6 Over 2.5 19
4 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 3
15 Failed To Score 8
2.86 Shots On Goal 5
9.21 Total Shots 14.46
3.54 Corners 4.71
42.5% Ball Possession 53.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Karviná arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Karviná carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 36 points while Dukla Praha sit 16 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Karviná. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Dukla Praha Analysis

Dukla Praha approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 20 points from 28 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 11 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 17:39 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Cermak (4 goals), M. Kroupa (2 goals), Zlatan Šehović (2 goals), with creative support from M. Cermak (3 assists), J. Kadak (2 assists), Samuel Isife (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Karviná Analysis

Karviná approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 36 points from 28 matches. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 3 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 41:47 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on D. Krcik (11 goals), A. Gning (9 goals), E. Ayaosi (6 goals), with creative support from E. Ayaosi (6 assists), Denny Samko (4 assists), A. Labik (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Dukla Praha won 2 times, Karviná won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:16 from Dukla Praha's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (77.3%)
Predicted formations: Dukla Praha 4-2-3-1 / Karviná 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Dukla Praha wins 2, draws 2, Karviná wins 5
Stats
Dukla Praha Dukla Praha
Karviná Karviná
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
8
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
4
3 Corner Kicks 7
17 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 1
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Goal 8
5 Shots off Goal 4
4 Blocked Shots 4
11 Shots insidebox 8
4 Shots outsidebox 8
6 Goalkeeper Saves 5
281 Total passes 390
202 Passes accurate 320
1.27 expected_goals 2.15
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Dukla Praha
Formation
Karviná
H. Backovsky
H. Backovsky
D. Kozma
D. Kozma
D. Hasek
D. Hasek
M. Traore
M. Traore
Z. Sehovic
Z. Sehovic
L. Penxa
L. Penxa
S. Tijani
S. Tijani
D. Velasquez
D. Velasquez
D. Gilbert
D. Gilbert
K. Milla
K. Milla
M. Cermak
🎯
M. Cermak
V. Neuman
V. Neuman
J. Chytry
🎯
J. Chytry
Y. Skyba
Y. Skyba
S. Camara
S. Camara
J. Fleisman
J. Fleisman
A. Traore
A. Traore
F. Prebsl
F. Prebsl
J. Fiala
J. Fiala
Y. Lawali
Y. Lawali
E. Ayaosi
🎯
E. Ayaosi
L. Ezeh
L. Ezeh
Dukla Praha 4-3-1-2
Starting XI
59
H. Backovsky
G
39
D. Kozma
D
18
D. Hasek
D
22
M. Traore
3
Z. Sehovic
↓ 65'
D
6
L. Penxa
↓ 46'
M
14
S. Tijani
↓ 46'
M
5
D. Velasquez
↓ 65'
M
15
D. Gilbert
↓ 46'
M
11
K. Milla
F
19
M. Cermak
🎯 63'
F
Substitutes
1
R. Matrevics
G
17
T. Pekhart
↑ 65' 🟨 90+4'
F
28
B. Unusic
37
M. Pourzitidis
↑ 65'
D
20
M. Zitny
↑ 46'
M
21
S. Hindi
F
25
M. Hanousek
M
23
J. Svozil
D
10
R. Mikus
↑ 46'
M
47
D. Kreiker
⚽ 63' ↑ 46'
M
30
B. Diallo
Karviná 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
V. Neuman
🟨 82'
G
24
J. Chytry
🎯 42'
D
44
Y. Skyba
↓ 46'
49
S. Camara
D
25
J. Fleisman
↓ 67'
D
4
A. Traore
⚽ 42'
M
99
F. Prebsl
↓ 67'
M
29
J. Fiala
M
3
Y. Lawali
🟨 72'
M
14
E. Ayaosi
🎯 39' ↓ 67'
M
26
L. Ezeh
⚽ 39' ↓ 82'
F
Substitutes
30
J. Lapes
G
34
O. Mrozek
G
10
D. Samko
M
19
N. Milic
↑ 67'
D
20
Kahuan Vinicius
F
11
P. Kacor
↑ 67'
M
31
O. Conde
↑ 67'
M
8
J. Kristan
↑ 46'
M
6
S. Bohac
↑ 82'
M
21
S. Sloncik
D
Last matches: Dukla Praha
17.07.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Ústí nad Labem
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Sparta Praha II
4
2
W
04.07.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Slovan Liberec
2
2
D
27.06.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Vlašim
1
2
L
26.06.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Mlada Boleslav
0
2
L
20.06.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Vlašim
3
2
W
23.05.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Baník Ostrava
0
3
L
16.05.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Teplice
0
2
L
12.05.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Mlada Boleslav
2
1
W
09.05.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Slovácko
0
1
L
02.05.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Zlin
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Slovácko
2
1
W
12.04.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Mlada Boleslav
1
1
D
04.04.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Pardubice
0
2
L
27.03.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Vlašim
1
0
W
14.03.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
FK Jablonec
2
0
W
07.03.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Teplice
0
0
D
27.02.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Slavia Praha
0
2
L
22.02.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Bohemians 1905
0
1
L
14.02.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Zlin
0
0
D
Last matches: Karviná
18.07.26
Fri
Karviná
Ruch Chorzów
2
1
W
10.07.26
Fri
Karviná
Považská Bystrica
2
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
Karviná
Zemplín Michalovce
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Karviná
Wisla Krakow
0
2
L
23.05.26
Cze
Karviná
Sigma Olomouc
0
4
L
16.05.26
Cze
Karviná
Sigma Olomouc
1
3
L
10.05.26
Cze
Karviná
Pardubice
3
1
W
02.05.26
Cze
Karviná
Pardubice
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cze
Karviná
Mlada Boleslav
0
3
L
12.04.26
Cze
Karviná
Slovan Liberec
3
1
W
05.04.26
Cze
Karviná
Sparta Praha
0
2
L
15.03.26
Cze
Karviná
Sigma Olomouc
2
2
D
08.03.26
Cze
Karviná
Pardubice
1
2
L
01.03.26
Cze
Karviná
Slovácko
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cze
Karviná
FK Jablonec
0
1
L
14.02.26
Cze
Karviná
Slavia Praha
1
3
L
07.02.26
Cze
Karviná
Teplice
0
2
L
01.02.26
Cze
Karviná
Plzen
0
2
L
25.01.26
Fri
Karviná
Opava
3
1
W
16.01.26
Fri
Karviná
Novi Pazar
1
2
L
H2H: Dukla Praha vs Karviná
18.04.26
H2H
Dukla Praha
Karviná
1
2
L
19.07.25
H2H
Karviná
Dukla Praha
2
0
L
12.03.25
H2H
Dukla Praha
Karviná
0
0
D
01.09.24
H2H
Karviná
Dukla Praha
0
0
D
13.05.23
H2H
Dukla Praha
Karviná
0
3
L
22.10.22
H2H
Karviná
Dukla Praha
5
0
L
14.05.19
H2H
Karviná
Dukla Praha
3
0
L
15.03.19
H2H
Dukla Praha
Karviná
2
1
W
07.10.18
H2H
Karviná
Dukla Praha
0
2
W
Last matches: Dukla Praha
11.07.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Sparta Praha II
4
2
W
23.05.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Baník Ostrava
0
3
L
09.05.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Slovácko
0
1
L
04.04.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Pardubice
0
2
L
14.03.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
FK Jablonec
2
0
W
27.02.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Slavia Praha
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Zlin
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Sparta Praha
0
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
LNZ Cherkasy
1
2
L
11.01.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Universitatea Cluj
0
0
D
08.01.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Kisvarda FC
1
0
W
06.12.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
Slovan Liberec
1
1
D
22.11.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
Sigma Olomouc
2
2
D
08.11.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
Mlada Boleslav
0
1
L
25.10.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
Slovácko
1
0
W
04.10.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
Teplice
1
3
L
21.09.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
Bohemians 1905
0
2
L
30.08.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
Hradec Králové
1
1
D
16.08.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
Plzen
2
0
W
03.08.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
Baník Ostrava
1
1
D
H2H at home: Dukla Praha
18.04.26
H2H
Dukla Praha
Karviná
1
2
L
12.03.25
H2H
Dukla Praha
Karviná
0
0
D
13.05.23
H2H
Dukla Praha
Karviná
0
3
L
15.03.19
H2H
Dukla Praha
Karviná
2
1
W
Last matches: Karviná
04.07.26
Fri
Karviná
Wisla Krakow
0
2
L
23.05.26
Cze
Karviná
Sigma Olomouc
0
4
L
10.05.26
Cze
Karviná
Pardubice
3
1
W
05.04.26
Cze
Karviná
Sparta Praha
0
2
L
15.03.26
Cze
Karviná
Sigma Olomouc
2
2
D
21.02.26
Cze
Karviná
FK Jablonec
0
1
L
07.02.26
Cze
Karviná
Teplice
0
2
L
16.01.26
Fri
Karviná
Novi Pazar
1
2
L
13.01.26
Fri
Karviná
Zaglebie Lubin
2
2
D
10.01.26
Fri
Karviná
Nyiregyhaza
5
1
W
14.12.25
Cze
Karviná
Bohemians 1905
3
0
W
29.11.25
Cze
Karviná
Zlin
3
1
W
09.11.25
Cze
Karviná
Slovan Liberec
0
6
L
25.10.25
Cze
Karviná
Mlada Boleslav
4
2
W
04.10.25
Cze
Karviná
Pardubice
1
2
L
27.09.25
Cze
Karviná
Slovácko
2
1
W
13.09.25
Cze
Karviná
Slavia Praha
1
3
L
23.08.25
Cze
Karviná
Plzen
1
2
L
10.08.25
Cze
Karviná
Baník Ostrava
2
1
W
26.07.25
Cze
Karviná
Hradec Králové
2
1
W
H2H away: Karviná
18.04.26
H2H
Dukla Praha
Karviná
1
2
W
12.03.25
H2H
Dukla Praha
Karviná
0
0
D
13.05.23
H2H
Dukla Praha
Karviná
0
3
W
15.03.19
H2H
Dukla Praha
Karviná
2
1
L

Standings

1. Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 21 8 1 63:23 40 71
W L W W W
2 30 19 6 5 60:33 27 63
W W D W L
3 30 15 8 7 50:34 16 53
L W D W W
4 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L L D L
5 30 14 7 9 43:34 9 49
L W W D L
6 30 12 10 8 43:30 13 46
L L L L L
7 30 12 7 11 34:34 0 43
W W L W L
8 30 11 8 11 39:46 -7 41
L W W W W
9 30 12 3 15 43:51 -8 39
L L W L L
10 30 10 6 14 26:35 -9 36
W L W W W
11 30 8 11 11 44:52 -8 35
L W L D D
12 30 9 7 14 37:48 -11 34
W L L D W
13 30 6 11 13 29:38 -9 29
W W W W D
14 30 4 11 15 20:42 -22 23
L L W L L
15 30 5 8 17 26:45 -19 23
W W L L W
16 30 5 7 18 25:45 -20 22
W W W W L
Championship round
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation Round