CZECH-REPUBLIC › CZECH LIGA
18.04.2026 13:00
Stadion Juliska
Referee: O. Pechanec
Dukla Praha
Match Timeline
Karviná
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
Yevgeniy Skyba
Karviná
⚽
39'
L. Ezeh · Assist: E. Ayaosi
Karviná
⚽
42'
A. Traore · Assist: J. Chytry
Karviná
🔄
46'
S. Tijani ↔ M. Zitny
Dukla Praha
🔄
46'
L. Penxa ↔ R. Mikus
Dukla Praha
🔄
46'
D. Gilbert ↔ D. Kreiker
Dukla Praha
🔄
46'
Y. Skyba ↔ J. Kristan
Karviná
VAR
63'
Marcel Čermák
Dukla Praha
⚽
63'
D. Kreiker · Assist: M. Cermak
Dukla Praha
🔄
65'
D. Velasquez ↔ T. Pekhart
Dukla Praha
🔄
65'
Z. Sehovic ↔ M. Pourzitidis
Dukla Praha
🔄
67'
J. Fleisman ↔ N. Milic
Karviná
🔄
67'
F. Prebsl ↔ P. Kacor
Karviná
🔄
67'
E. Ayaosi ↔ O. Conde
Karviná
🟨
72'
Yahaya Danjuma Lawali
Karviná
🟨
82'
Vladimir Neuman
Karviná
🔄
82'
L. Ezeh ↔ S. Bohac
Karviná
🟨
90+4'
Tomáš Pekhart
Dukla Praha

Dukla Praha vs Karviná Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 77.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 53.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 61%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
77.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
53.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
61%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Dukla Praha Win 22.7%
Draw 26.7%
Karviná Win 50.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dukla Praha1.04
Karviná1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dukla Praha Dukla Praha
WWDLW
17 GF / 39 GA
Karviná Karviná
WLDWL
41 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
0.61
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.68
10
BTTS Yes
18
6
Over 2.5
19
2.86
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 28 matches
Karviná Karviná 28 matches
Dukla Praha Statistic Karviná
3 Wins 11
11 Draws 3
14 Losses 14
17 Goals For 41
39 Goals Against 47
0.61 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.68
10 BTTS Yes 18
21 Over 1.5 25
6 Over 2.5 19
4 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 3
15 Failed To Score 8
2.86 Shots On Goal 5
9.21 Total Shots 14.46
3.54 Corners 4.71
42.5% Ball Possession 53.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Karviná arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Karviná carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 36 points while Dukla Praha sit 16 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Karviná. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Dukla Praha Analysis

Dukla Praha approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 20 points from 28 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 11 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 17:39 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Cermak (4 goals), M. Kroupa (2 goals), Zlatan Šehović (2 goals), with creative support from M. Cermak (3 assists), J. Kadak (2 assists), Samuel Isife (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Karviná Analysis

Karviná approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 36 points from 28 matches. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 3 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 41:47 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on D. Krcik (11 goals), A. Gning (9 goals), E. Ayaosi (6 goals), with creative support from E. Ayaosi (6 assists), Denny Samko (4 assists), A. Labik (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Dukla Praha won 2 times, Karviná won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:16 from Dukla Praha's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (77.3%)
Predicted formations: Dukla Praha 4-2-3-1 / Karviná 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Dukla Praha wins 2, draws 2, Karviná wins 5

Standings

1. Liga , Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 10 12 13 40:42 -2 42
W W W W D
2 35 11 8 16 43:56 -13 41
W L L D W
3 35 9 13 13 49:57 -8 40
L W L D D
4 35 7 9 19 30:51 -21 30
W W L L W
5 35 7 8 20 32:49 -17 29
W W W W L
6 35 5 11 19 23:51 -28 26
L L W L L
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation