IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
11.09.2026 18:45
Weavers Park
Drogheda United
Match Timeline
Sligo Rovers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Carl McHugh
Sligo Rovers
38'
Warren Davis
Drogheda United
🔄
39'
Jack Shorrock ↔ James McManus
Sligo Rovers
🔄
43'
Trey george ↔ Archie Meekison
Sligo Rovers
45+3'
Edwin Agbaje
Drogheda United
🔄
45'
Luke Pearce ↔ Cian Kavanagh
Sligo Rovers
🟨
63'
Seb Quirk
Sligo Rovers
🔄
67'
Seb Quirk ↔ Ruben Gillespie
Sligo Rovers
🔄
79'
Brandon Kavanagh ↔ Ryan Brennan
Drogheda United
🔄
81'
Warren Davis ↔ Ryan Markey
Drogheda United
🔄
87'
Edwin Agbaje ↔ Kieran Cruise
Drogheda United

Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 88.5%
Odds 1.18
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.95
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.04
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
88.5%
1.18
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.95
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.04
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.5%
1.14
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Drogheda United Win 40.4%
Draw 48.2%
Sligo Rovers Win 11.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Drogheda United1.31
Sligo Rovers1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Drogheda United Drogheda United
WWDLW
38 GF / 51 GA
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
WLDWL
36 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
20
BTTS Yes
16
16
Over 2.5
18
3.17
Shots on Goal
2.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Drogheda United Drogheda United 32 matches
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 36 matches
Drogheda United Statistic Sligo Rovers
7 Wins 9
12 Draws 8
13 Losses 19
38 Goals For 36
51 Goals Against 54
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
20 BTTS Yes 16
25 Over 1.5 25
16 Over 2.5 18
11 Over 3.5 10
8 Clean Sheets 9
8 Failed To Score 15
3.17 Shots On Goal 2.55
10 Total Shots 9
4 Corners 3.48
38.8% Ball Possession 45%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sligo Rovers. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Drogheda United expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Sligo Rovers in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sligo Rovers having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Drogheda United Analysis

Drogheda United sit 9 with 28 points after 29 league matches. The record of 6 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 33:48 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Mark Doyle (4 goals), Brandon Kavanagh (2 goals), Thomas Oluwa (2 goals), with creative support from Brandon Kavanagh (3 assists), Thomas Oluwa (1 assists), Edwin Agbaje (1 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sligo Rovers Analysis

So far, Sligo Rovers have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 23 points from 29 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 8 draws, and 16 losses, while the 23:48 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on William Fitzgerald (3 goals), Cian Kavanagh (3 goals), Archie Meekison (2 goals), with creative support from William Fitzgerald (5 assists), Archie Meekison (3 assists), Cian Kavanagh (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Drogheda United won 6 times, Sligo Rovers won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:17 from Drogheda United's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (88.5%)
Predicted formations: Drogheda United 3-5-2 / Sligo Rovers 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Drogheda United wins 6, draws 6, Sligo Rovers wins 3

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 16 8 6 46:29 17 56
L D D W D
2 30 15 8 7 47:25 22 53
W L W W D
3 30 15 8 7 53:36 17 53
W W W L D
4 30 10 11 9 47:46 1 41
D W L L D
5 30 8 13 9 42:40 2 37
W D L W D
6 29 8 12 9 37:40 -3 36
L D D L L
7 29 8 10 11 38:45 -7 34
L D W D D
8 30 7 12 11 40:49 -9 33
D W D W W
9 30 7 10 13 35:48 -13 31
W L L D D
10 30 5 8 17 23:50 -27 23
L L D L D
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation