IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Weavers Park
Drogheda United
Match Timeline
Shamrock Rovers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
32'
S. Farrell
Drogheda United
🟨
32'
M. Doyle
Drogheda United
🔄
46'
A. Greene ↔ J. Afolabi
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
59'
A. Bates ↔ J. Godden
Drogheda United
🔄
63'
M. Doyle ↔ K. Ancelin
Drogheda United
🔄
68'
L. O'Regan ↔ A. Brennan
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
68'
J. O'Sullivan ↔ J. Byrne
Shamrock Rovers
🟨
75'
C. Keeley
Drogheda United
🔄
79'
J. Bucknor ↔ W. Davis
Drogheda United
🔄
79'
R. Brennan ↔ B. Kavanagh
Drogheda United
🟨
81'
T. Sobowale
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
83'
M. Noonan ↔ B. Mahon
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
83'
E. Stevens ↔ L. Grace
Shamrock Rovers
🟥
90+5'
R. Lopes
Shamrock Rovers

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53%
Odds 1.89
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 2.13
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53%
1.89
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
2.13
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
77.6%
1.32
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.75
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Drogheda United Win 31.3%
Draw 15.7%
Shamrock Rovers Win 53%
Expected Goals (xG)
Drogheda United1.13
Shamrock Rovers1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Drogheda United Drogheda United
WWDLW
36 GF / 46 GA
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
WLDWL
57 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.78
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
19
BTTS Yes
16
15
Over 2.5
15
3.16
Shots on Goal
4.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Drogheda United Drogheda United 28 matches
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 32 matches
Drogheda United Statistic Shamrock Rovers
7 Wins 20
10 Draws 5
11 Losses 7
36 Goals For 57
46 Goals Against 28
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.78
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
19 BTTS Yes 16
23 Over 1.5 24
15 Over 2.5 15
10 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 12
5 Failed To Score 5
3.16 Shots On Goal 4.48
9.76 Total Shots 12.31
4.08 Corners 4.14
39.2% Ball Possession 53.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Shamrock Rovers's more proactive style and Drogheda United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Drogheda United have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Drogheda United expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Shamrock Rovers in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shamrock Rovers having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Shamrock Rovers. Shamrock Rovers carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 50 points while Drogheda United sit 8 on 25, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Drogheda United Analysis

Drogheda United approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 25 points from 24 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 29:41 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Doyle (4 goals), R. Brennan (2 goals), Warren Davis (2 goals), with creative support from B. Kavanagh (3 assists), T. Oluwa (1 assists), Jago Godden (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Shamrock Rovers Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 50 points from 25 games, Shamrock Rovers bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 15 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a 40:22 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on G. Burke (5 goals), J. McGovern (3 goals), J. Byrne (2 goals), with creative support from J. McGovern (2 assists), J. Byrne (2 assists), Victor Ozhianvuna (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Drogheda United won 1 times, Shamrock Rovers won 9 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:28 from Drogheda United's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.3%)
Predicted formations: Drogheda United 4-2-3-1 / Shamrock Rovers 3-5-2
H2H summary: Drogheda United wins 1, draws 5, Shamrock Rovers wins 9
Stats
Drogheda United Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
3
2 Corner Kicks 7
12 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 5
28% Ball Possession 72%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 3
7 Shots insidebox 7
3 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
211 Total passes 539
114 Passes accurate 451
1.07 expected_goals 0.76
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Drogheda United
Formation
Shamrock Rovers
Luke Dennison
Luke Dennison
Edwin Agbaje
Edwin Agbaje
Conor Keeley
Conor Keeley
James Bolger
James Bolger
Jason Bucknor
Jason Bucknor
Shane Farell
Shane Farell
Ryan Brennan
Ryan Brennan
Alfie Bates
Alfie Bates
Conor Kane
Conor Kane
Mark Doyle
Mark Doyle
Thomas Oluwa
Thomas Oluwa
Ed McGinty
Ed McGinty
Tunmise Sobowale
Tunmise Sobowale
Pico
Pico
Enda Stevens
Enda Stevens
Luke O'Regan
Luke O'Regan
Naj Razi
Naj Razi
Matthew Healy
Matthew Healy
John O'Sullivan
John O'Sullivan
William Fitzgerald
William Fitzgerald
Michael Noonan
Michael Noonan
Aaron Greene
Aaron Greene
Drogheda United 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
Luke Dennison
G
2
Edwin Agbaje
D
22
Conor Keeley
🟨 75'
D
18
James Bolger
D
7
Jason Bucknor
↓ 79'
M
17
Shane Farell
🟨 32'
M
19
Ryan Brennan
↓ 79'
M
15
Alfie Bates
↓ 59'
M
3
Conor Kane
M
14
Mark Doyle
↓ 63' 🟨 32'
F
11
Thomas Oluwa
F
Substitutes
6
Jago Godden
↑ 59'
M
9
Keegan Ancelin
↑ 63'
F
10
Brandon Kavanagh
↑ 79'
M
24
Warren Davis
↑ 79'
F
44
Fynn Talley
G
29
Jamie Brennan
D
5
Leo Burney
D
32
Daniel Mare
D
25
Ryan Markey
F
Shamrock Rovers 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
Ed McGinty
G
22
Tunmise Sobowale
🟨 81'
D
4
Pico
🟥 90+5'
D
3
Enda Stevens
↓ 83'
D
17
Luke O'Regan
M
28
Naj Razi
M
8
Matthew Healy
M
26
John O'Sullivan
M
24
William Fitzgerald
M
31
Michael Noonan
↓ 83'
F
9
Aaron Greene
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
18
Jonathan Afolabi
↑ 46'
F
19
Adam Brennan
↑ 68'
M
29
Jack Byrne
↑ 68'
M
5
Lee Grace
↑ 83'
D
34
Ben Mahon
↑ 83'
F
41
Alex Noonan
G
27
Cory O'Sullivan
D
33
Cian Barrett
M
38
Max Kovaleskis
F
Last matches: Drogheda United
25.07.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
2
2
D
10.07.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Dundalk
2
1
W
03.07.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Bohemians
0
2
L
26.06.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Derry City
0
2
L
19.06.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
2
2
D
12.06.26
Pre
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
0
2
L
29.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Waterford
3
3
D
22.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Dundalk
1
1
D
18.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Waterford
1
2
L
15.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Bohemians
1
2
L
08.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Derry City
1
0
W
04.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
1
4
L
01.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
24.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
4
3
W
17.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
1
3
L
06.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Galway United
2
3
L
03.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Bohemians
0
0
D
20.03.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Derry City
2
2
D
16.03.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pre
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
1
4
L
Last matches: Shamrock Rovers
28.07.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Ararat-Armenia
2
1
W
21.07.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Ararat-Armenia
0
2
L
14.07.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Floriana
5
1
W
07.07.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Floriana
0
2
L
03.07.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
2
1
W
30.06.26
Fri
Shamrock Rovers
Hibernian
1
0
W
26.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
3
1
W
22.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
2
0
W
12.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
1
2
L
29.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
25.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
2
1
W
22.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
1
2
L
15.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
3
1
W
04.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
4
1
W
01.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
1
0
W
24.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
0
1
L
17.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
H2H: Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers
31.07.26
H2H
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
0
0
D
04.05.26
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
4
1
L
16.03.26
H2H
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
0
0
D
12.09.25
H2H
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
31.08.25
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
2
1
L
16.06.25
H2H
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
L
09.05.25
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
3
0
L
14.03.25
H2H
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
L
18.10.24
H2H
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
11.08.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
1
1
D
31.05.24
H2H
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
29.04.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
4
0
L
22.10.23
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
5
0
L
07.07.23
H2H
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
0
0
D
19.05.23
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
1
2
W
Last matches: Drogheda United
03.07.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Bohemians
0
2
L
19.06.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
2
2
D
29.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Waterford
3
3
D
22.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Dundalk
1
1
D
08.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Derry City
1
0
W
01.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
17.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
1
3
L
06.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Galway United
2
3
L
03.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Bohemians
0
0
D
16.03.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
0
0
D
27.02.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
1
2
L
13.02.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Waterford
2
0
W
20.01.26
Fri
Drogheda United
UCD
1
1
D
09.01.26
Fri
Drogheda United
Bohemians
1
1
D
H2H at home: Drogheda United
31.07.26
H2H
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
0
0
D
16.03.26
H2H
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
0
0
D
12.09.25
H2H
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
16.06.25
H2H
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
L
14.03.25
H2H
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
L
18.10.24
H2H
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
31.05.24
H2H
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
07.07.23
H2H
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
0
0
D
Last matches: Shamrock Rovers
21.07.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Ararat-Armenia
0
2
L
07.07.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Floriana
0
2
L
03.07.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
2
1
W
19.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
2
0
W
12.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
1
2
L
25.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
3
1
W
24.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
0
1
L
10.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
03.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
1
1
D
16.03.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
2
0
W
09.03.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
2
2
D
27.02.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
2
3
L
11.12.25
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Breidablik
1
3
L
06.11.25
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
AEK Athens FC
1
1
D
02.10.25
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Sparta Praha
1
4
L
21.08.25
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Santa Clara
2
1
W
07.08.25
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Ballkani
0
1
L
H2H away: Shamrock Rovers
31.07.26
H2H
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
0
0
D
16.03.26
H2H
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
0
0
D
12.09.25
H2H
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
16.06.25
H2H
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
W
14.03.25
H2H
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
W
18.10.24
H2H
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
W
31.05.24
H2H
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
W
07.07.23
H2H
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
0
0
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.89
Draw 3.47
Home 4.45
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.51
Draw 2.22
Home 5.05
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.36
Over 1.75 1.45
Over 2.0 1.59
Over 2.25 1.87
Over 2.5 2.13
Over 2.75 2.48
Over 3.0 2.88
Over 3.5 3.88
Over 4.5 7.50
Under 1.5 3.23
Under 1.75 2.85
Under 2.0 2.45
Under 2.25 2.00
Under 2.5 1.76
Under 2.75 1.57
Under 3.0 1.43
Under 3.5 1.27
Under 4.5 1.10
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.80
Draw 3.30
Home 4.20
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.50
Draw 2.20
Home 4.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.10
Draw 2.40
Home 4.33
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.30
Over 2.5 2.05
Over 3.5 3.50
Over 4.5 7.00
Over 5.5 17.00
Over 6.5 34.00
Under 0.5 10.00
Under 1.5 3.40
Under 2.5 1.75
Under 3.5 1.28
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.85
Draw 3.35
Home 4.38
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.50
Draw 2.00
Home 5.12
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.19
Draw 2.42
Home 4.44
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.02
Over 1.0 1.04
Over 1.25 1.16
Over 1.5 1.29
Over 1.75 1.39
Over 2.0 1.51
Over 2.25 1.80
Over 2.5 2.05
Over 2.75 2.31
Over 3.0 2.85
Over 3.25 3.16
Over 3.5 3.52
Over 3.75 4.40
Over 4.0 6.25
Over 4.25 6.69
Over 4.5 7.10
Over 5.0 10.00
Over 5.5 13.50
Over 6.5 34.00
Under 0.5 8.50
Under 0.75 7.80
Under 1.0 7.10
Under 1.25 4.11
Under 1.5 3.05
Under 1.75 2.70
Under 2.0 2.33
Under 2.25 1.97
Under 2.5 1.74
Under 2.75 1.52
Under 3.0 1.35
Under 3.25 1.27
Under 3.5 1.22
Under 3.75 1.14
Under 4.0 1.06
Under 4.25 1.04
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.79
Draw 3.45
Home 4.30
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.35
Draw 2.15
Home 4.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.14
Draw 2.50
Home 4.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.29
Over 2.0 1.47
Over 2.5 1.93
Over 3.0 2.70
Over 3.25 3.00
Over 3.5 3.30
Over 4.0 5.50
Over 4.5 6.00
Under 1.5 3.15
Under 2.0 2.45
Under 2.5 1.75
Under 3.0 1.38
Under 3.25 1.32
Under 3.5 1.27
Under 4.0 1.10
Under 4.5 1.08

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 6 5 40:22 18 51
D W W D W
2 26 12 8 6 41:22 19 44
D D D W L
3 26 12 8 6 41:28 13 44
D W W W L
4 26 9 10 7 40:38 2 37
D D L L L
5 25 8 10 7 35:36 -1 34
L W D L D
6 26 6 12 8 33:32 1 30
D L W D L
7 25 7 8 10 33:40 -7 29
D D W L L
8 26 6 9 11 31:43 -12 27
D D W L L
9 26 5 10 11 34:47 -13 25
W D D W W
10 26 5 7 14 23:43 -20 22
D D L L D
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation