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14.11.2026 19:00
GN Bouw Stadion

Dordrecht vs Heracles Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 67.4%
Odds 1.42
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.44
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
67.4%
1.42 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.44 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Dordrecht Win 15.5%
Draw 17.1%
Heracles Win 67.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dordrecht1.41
Heracles2.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dordrecht Dordrecht
D L L W L
5 GF / 10 GA
Heracles Heracles
W W D W W
16 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.52
Average Goals Scored
3
2.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
11
BTTS Yes
11
15
Over 2.5
12
4.57
Shots on Goal
8.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dordrecht Dordrecht 21 matches
Heracles Heracles 17 matches
Dordrecht Statistic Heracles
6 Wins 13
4 Draws 2
11 Losses 2
32 Goals For 51
47 Goals Against 21
1.52 Avg Goals Scored 3
2.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
11 BTTS Yes 11
18 Over 1.5 16
15 Over 2.5 12
10 Over 3.5 10
4 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 1
4.57 Shots On Goal 8.71
13.64 Total Shots 22.14
5.43 Corners 8.29
52.7% Ball Possession 55.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Heracles's more proactive style and Dordrecht's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Heracles. Heracles carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 35 points while Dordrecht sit 18 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Heracles look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Dordrecht Analysis

Dordrecht sit 18 with 12 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats with a 18:34 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Ouarghi (3 goals), M. Vetkal (3 goals), N. Rossi (2 goals), with creative support from A. Ouarghi (4 assists), N. Rossi (2 assists), D. Šits (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Heracles Analysis

Heracles come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 35 points after 14 matches. With 11 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 44:15, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by T. van Gilst (11 goals), J. N'djoli (9 goals), Jean-Paul N'Djoli (6 goals), with creative support from C. Abbas (6 assists), D. van der Kust (3 assists), T. Bruns (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Dordrecht won 0 times, Heracles won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:18 from Dordrecht's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (84.5%)
Predicted formations: Dordrecht 4-2-3-1 / Heracles 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Dordrecht wins 0, draws 1, Heracles wins 4

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Period 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
3 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
5 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
6 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
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