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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
20.10.2026 18:45
Eco-Power Stadium

Doncaster vs Stockport County Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 70.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
70.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Doncaster Win 25.3%
Draw 4.6%
Stockport County Win 70.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Doncaster1.25
Stockport County1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Doncaster Doncaster
WWDLW
22 GF / 16 GA
Stockport County Stockport County
WLDWL
24 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
2
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
6
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
6
3.75
Shots on Goal
5.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Doncaster Doncaster 15 matches
Stockport County Stockport County 12 matches
Doncaster Statistic Stockport County
5 Wins 8
5 Draws 1
5 Losses 3
22 Goals For 24
16 Goals Against 11
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
6 BTTS Yes 5
10 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 2
3.75 Shots On Goal 5.11
13.75 Total Shots 16.33
4.63 Corners 7.33
49% Ball Possession 58.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Stockport County's more proactive style and Doncaster's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Doncaster expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Stockport County in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Stockport County having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Stockport County. Stockport County carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 16 points while Doncaster sit 16 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Doncaster Analysis

With 9 points from 8 games and a place of 16, Doncaster still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 9:9, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. May (2 goals), L. Ayinde (1 goals), O. Bailey (1 goals), with creative support from A. May (1 assists), L. Ayinde (1 assists), J. Thomas (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Stockport County Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 16 points from 9 games, Stockport County bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 20:11, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by K. Wootton (6 goals), J. Diamond (3 goals), H. Wood (3 goals), with creative support from L. Bate (3 assists), O. Norwood (2 assists), J. Adigun (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Doncaster won 1 times, Stockport County won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:15 from Doncaster's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.63 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Doncaster 3-4-1-2 / Stockport County 3-4-3
H2H summary: Doncaster wins 1, draws 2, Stockport County wins 5

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 18:12 6 19
W W L W W
2 9 5 2 2 8:5 3 17
D D W W W
3 9 5 1 3 20:11 9 16
W W D L W
4 9 4 4 1 16:9 7 16
D W L D D
5 9 4 4 1 14:11 3 16
W D D W D
6 9 4 3 2 22:11 11 15
W D D W L
7 8 4 3 1 15:8 7 15
D D D W W
8 7 4 2 1 15:8 7 14
W D W W L
9 8 3 3 2 12:8 4 12
W L W W D
10 10 3 3 4 14:16 -2 12
L L W D L
11 9 3 3 3 7:10 -3 12
L D D W W
12 9 3 2 4 13:11 2 11
D L W L D
13 8 3 2 3 16:15 1 11
W L L D W
14 8 3 2 3 12:14 -2 11
W D D L L
15 9 2 4 3 14:20 -6 10
L D W W D
16 8 2 3 3 9:9 0 9
W W L L D
17 8 2 3 3 10:14 -4 9
L D W L W
18 8 2 2 4 13:14 -1 8
L L D L L
19 8 2 2 4 8:15 -7 8
L D L L W
20 9 2 2 5 7:14 -7 8
W L L D L
21 8 2 2 4 9:20 -11 8
L W D L L
22 8 1 4 3 8:11 -3 7
L L L D D
23 8 0 6 2 9:15 -6 6
L D D D L
24 8 1 1 6 5:13 -8 4
L L D L W
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two