ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
21.04.2026 18:45
Eco-Power Stadium
Referee: S. Stockbridge
Doncaster
Match Timeline
Lincoln
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
Robbie Gotts
Doncaster
🟨
33'
Jack Senior
Doncaster
43'
B. House · Assist: J. Moylan
Lincoln
🔄
46'
R. Gotts ↔ G. Broadbent
Doncaster
🔄
63'
R. One ↔ R. Hackett-Fairchild
Lincoln
🔄
64'
J. Sterry ↔ T. Nixon
Doncaster
🔄
65'
H. Clifton ↔ J. Gibson
Doncaster
72'
B. House · Assist: R. Street
Lincoln
🟨
74'
Sean Grehan
Doncaster
🔄
77'
H. Adelakun ↔ G. Middleton
Doncaster
🔄
77'
E. Lee ↔ D. Robinson
Doncaster
🔄
78'
T. Hamer ↔ D. Elerewe
Lincoln
🔄
79'
J. Moylan ↔ T. Bayliss
Lincoln
🔄
84'
B. House ↔ D. Jefferies
Lincoln
🔄
84'
R. Street ↔ A. Lloyd
Lincoln

Doncaster vs Lincoln Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 66.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 76%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
62.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
66.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
76%
-
Probability Distribution
Doncaster Win 30.3%
Draw 6.9%
Lincoln Win 62.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Doncaster1.03
Lincoln1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Doncaster Doncaster
WWDLW
52 GF / 70 GA
Lincoln Lincoln
WLDWL
82 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.86
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
24
BTTS Yes
23
25
Over 2.5
24
3.8
Shots on Goal
4.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Doncaster Doncaster 46 matches
Lincoln Lincoln 44 matches
Doncaster Statistic Lincoln
18 Wins 28
8 Draws 11
20 Losses 5
52 Goals For 82
70 Goals Against 39
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
24 BTTS Yes 23
33 Over 1.5 34
25 Over 2.5 24
10 Over 3.5 14
11 Clean Sheets 17
13 Failed To Score 5
3.8 Shots On Goal 4.56
12.58 Total Shots 12.33
4.4 Corners 4.23
49.8% Ball Possession 42.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Lincoln's more proactive style and Doncaster's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Lincoln. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Doncaster expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Lincoln in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lincoln having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Lincoln look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Lincoln carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 94 points while Doncaster sit 14 on 56, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Doncaster Analysis

With 56 points from 43 games and a place of 14, Doncaster still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 16 wins, 8 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 43:64 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on O. Bailey (13 goals), L. Molyneux (8 goals), B. Hanlan (5 goals), with creative support from L. Molyneux (7 assists), O. Bailey (4 assists), J. Gibson (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 9 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Lincoln Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 94 points from 43 games, Lincoln bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 28 wins, 10 draws, and 5 losses, with a 79:36 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Jack Moylan (10 goals), R. Hackett-Fairchild (9 goals), Robert Street (9 goals), with creative support from R. Hackett-Fairchild (7 assists), Jack Moylan (4 assists), A. Reach (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 11 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Doncaster won 6 times, Lincoln won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:11 from Doncaster's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.1%)
Predicted formations: Doncaster 4-1-4-1 / Lincoln 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Doncaster wins 6, draws 1, Lincoln wins 4

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7 46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two