CROATIA HNL
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Maksimir
Referee: A. Terzic
Dinamo Zagreb
Match Timeline
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
54'
N. Galesic ↔ R. Torrente
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
54'
F. Topic ↔ J. Cordoba
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
54'
M. Lisica ↔ S. Sunta
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
62'
M. Pajac ↔ P. Kostelac
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🔄
71'
D. Beljo ↔ M. Bakrar
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
75'
J. Vasilj ↔ M. Susak
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🔄
78'
I. Bennacer ↔ C. Varela
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
84'
M. Subotic ↔ M. Leovac
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🔄
84'
P. Smiljanic ↔ D. Antolic
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Dinamo Zagreb Win 78.7%
Draw 0%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Win 21.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dinamo Zagreb2.05
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
WWDLW
109 GF / 50 GA
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
WLDWL
40 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
2.42
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.49
26
BTTS Yes
23
33
Over 2.5
15
5.87
Shots on Goal
3.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 45 matches
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 35 matches
Dinamo Zagreb Statistic NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
30 Wins 10
6 Draws 13
9 Losses 12
109 Goals For 40
50 Goals Against 52
2.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.49
26 BTTS Yes 23
43 Over 1.5 32
33 Over 2.5 15
22 Over 3.5 7
15 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 7
5.87 Shots On Goal 3.31
15.42 Total Shots 10.23
6.02 Corners 4.6
55.8% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Dinamo Zagreb's more proactive style and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Dinamo Zagreb arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 85 points compared to NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in 6 on 43, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Dinamo Zagreb come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.

Dinamo Zagreb Analysis

Dinamo Zagreb approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 85 points after 35 outings. The return of 27 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 93:28, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through D. Beljo (31 goals), M. Bakrar (10 goals), M. Zajc (8 goals), with creative support from L. Stojkovic (12 assists), M. Lisica (7 assists), M. Zajc (6 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, their record of 14 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Analysis

From their first 35 matches, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have collected 43 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 10 wins, 13 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 40:52 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Stojakovic (9 goals), Marko Pajač (6 goals), Blaž Bošković (3 goals), with creative support from Marko Pajač (5 assists), M. Vesovic (4 assists), A. Stojakovic (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo Zagreb won 9 times, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:16 from Dinamo Zagreb's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Dinamo Zagreb 4-2-3-1 / NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Dinamo Zagreb wins 9, draws 3, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb wins 3

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 93:28 65 86
D W W W W
2 36 20 8 8 61:36 25 68
W D L W D
3 36 15 9 12 47:46 1 54
W W D L L
4 36 14 11 11 49:36 13 53
W D W W D
5 36 10 14 12 40:52 -12 44
D D D L D
6 36 12 7 17 39:50 -11 43
L D W W L
7 36 10 11 15 46:61 -15 41
L L W L D
8 36 11 8 17 40:48 -8 41
L W L L W
9 36 8 11 17 27:49 -22 35
W L L L D
10 36 6 10 20 37:73 -36 28
L L L W D
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation