GEORGIA › EROVNULI LIGA
16.05.2026 15:00
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
Referee: G. Kruashvili
Dinamo Tbilisi
Match Timeline
FC Iberia 1999
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
A. Zohouri
Saburtalo
🟨
23'
A. Yoro
Dinamo Tbilisi
⚽
33'
N. K. Donkor
Dinamo Tbilisi
⚽
45'
A. Yoro · Assist: R. Ramos
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
46'
G. Kutsia ↔ A. Bartishvili
FC Iberia 1999
🟨
47'
N. Dadiani
Saburtalo
🔄
59'
A. Dzagania ↔ G. Goshteliani
FC Iberia 1999
🔄
59'
P. Ghudushauri ↔ I. Bidzinashvili
FC Iberia 1999
🔄
61'
M. Vatsadze ↔ Leo Santos
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
61'
N. K. Donkor ↔ I. Siradze
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
70'
R. Ramos ↔ T. Kvaratskhelia
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
70'
R. Monteiro ↔ J. Onomah
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
79'
V. Bedoshvili ↔ G. Khachidze
FC Iberia 1999
🔄
79'
N. Dadiani ↔ T. Akhvlediani
FC Iberia 1999
🔄
81'
B. Osei ↔ G. Kharaishvili
Dinamo Tbilisi
🟨
87'
A. Kalandadze
Dinamo Tbilisi

Dinamo Tbilisi vs FC Iberia 1999 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 74.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
74.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Dinamo Tbilisi Win 25.2%
Draw 0%
FC Iberia 1999 Win 74.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dinamo Tbilisi1.07
FC Iberia 19991.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi
WWDLW
22 GF / 27 GA
FC Iberia 1999 FC Iberia 1999
WLDWL
24 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
12
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
8
5.42
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 19 matches
FC Iberia 1999 FC Iberia 1999 16 matches
Dinamo Tbilisi Statistic FC Iberia 1999
5 Wins 8
8 Draws 5
6 Losses 3
22 Goals For 24
27 Goals Against 15
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
12 BTTS Yes 9
14 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 3
5.42 Shots On Goal 3.67
0 Total Shots 0
4.92 Corners 3.42
51.8% Ball Possession 46.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Saburtalo. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Saburtalo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Dinamo Tbilisi Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 18 points from 12 games, Dinamo Tbilisi bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 15:13, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Vatsadze (4 goals), R. Monteiro (3 goals), N. K. Donkor (2 goals), with creative support from N. Ninua (5 assists), G. Gvasalia (2 assists), R. Ramos (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

FC Iberia 1999 Analysis

Saburtalo approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 24 points after 12 outings. The return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 19:9, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Dzagania (4 goals), P. Ghudushauri (4 goals), J. Jinjolava (3 goals), with creative support from V. Bedoshvili (2 assists), G. Kutsia (2 assists), A. Bartishvili (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo Tbilisi won 7 times, FC Iberia 1999 won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:13 from Dinamo Tbilisi's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Dinamo Tbilisi 4-3-3 / FC Iberia 1999 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Dinamo Tbilisi wins 7, draws 1, FC Iberia 1999 wins 7

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 13 8 6 46:36 10 47
W D W W W
2 26 14 4 8 37:28 9 46
W W W L W
3 27 13 7 7 32:23 9 46
L W D L D
4 26 12 9 5 43:29 14 45
W W D D W
5 27 12 4 11 38:30 8 40
W L D W W
6 27 9 9 9 43:34 9 36
L W D D L
7 27 9 5 13 38:52 -14 32
L L L L D
8 27 6 11 10 25:37 -12 29
D L D L W
9 27 5 10 12 34:43 -9 25
L L D D L
10 27 2 11 14 20:44 -24 17
D L D D W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2