BELARUS PREMIER LEAGUE
19.09.2026 17:00
Dinamo Stadium
Dinamo Minsk
Match Timeline
Bate Borisov
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
vladislav kalinin · Assist: Artem Sokolovskiy
Dinamo Minsk
23'
Evgeni Malashevich · Assist: Moustapha Djimet
Dinamo Minsk
🔄
45'
Andrey Zhurin ↔ Nikolay Bochko
Bate Borisov
🔄
45'
Vladislav Varaksa ↔ yaroslav khramtsevich
Bate Borisov
🔄
66'
vladislav yatskevich ↔ Luka Đorđević
Bate Borisov
🔄
69'
karen vardanyan ↔ Aleksey Zhechko
Dinamo Minsk
🟨
77'
vladislav kalinin
Dinamo Minsk
🔄
78'
Ivan Mikhniuk ↔ Egor Rusakov
Bate Borisov
🔄
81'
Artem Sokolovskiy ↔ Gulzhigit Alykulov
Dinamo Minsk
🔄
83'
Yuriy Kovalev ↔ Marat Titov
Bate Borisov
🟨
90+4'
Evgeni Malashevich
Dinamo Minsk

Dinamo Minsk vs Bate Borisov Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.1%
Odds 1.46
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.77
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.96
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.1%
1.46
BTTS No
65.8%
1.77
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
1.96
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
68.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.08
Correct Score 2-0
-
6.50
Probability Distribution
Dinamo Minsk Win 84.1%
Draw 5.7%
Bate Borisov Win 10.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dinamo Minsk1.52
Bate Borisov0.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk
WWDLW
59 GF / 27 GA
Bate Borisov Bate Borisov
WLDWL
22 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.74
Average Goals Scored
0.69
0.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
15
BTTS Yes
13
15
Over 2.5
10
1.84
Shots on Goal
0.96

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 34 matches
Bate Borisov Bate Borisov 32 matches
Dinamo Minsk Statistic Bate Borisov
21 Wins 4
6 Draws 15
7 Losses 13
59 Goals For 22
27 Goals Against 38
1.74 Avg Goals Scored 0.69
0.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
15 BTTS Yes 13
20 Over 1.5 19
15 Over 2.5 10
11 Over 3.5 4
13 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 17
1.84 Shots On Goal 0.96
0 Total Shots 0.58
2.08 Corners 1.38
20.1% Ball Possession 18.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Dinamo Minsk's more proactive style and Bate Borisov's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Dinamo Minsk arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 40 points compared to Bate Borisov in 13 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Bate Borisov. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dinamo Minsk expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Bate Borisov in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bate Borisov having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Dinamo Minsk Analysis

Dinamo Minsk come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 40 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 35:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Bate Borisov Analysis

So far, Bate Borisov have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 17 points from 20 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 14:23 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo Minsk won 2 times, Bate Borisov won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from Dinamo Minsk's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: Dinamo Minsk 4-3-3 / Bate Borisov 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Dinamo Minsk wins 2, draws 3, Bate Borisov wins 0

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 13 6 3 37:18 19 45
L W D W D
2 21 12 8 1 42:17 25 44
W D D D W
3 21 13 4 4 37:16 21 43
W L D W L
4 23 12 4 7 38:23 15 40
W W W L D
5 23 11 6 6 33:18 15 39
W L W W D
6 22 11 4 7 26:20 6 37
W W D W W
7 23 10 6 7 28:21 7 36
W D L W W
8 23 10 4 9 30:28 2 34
L W W L L
9 22 7 6 9 28:29 -1 27
L L L W D
10 22 6 7 9 23:26 -3 25
L L W L D
11 23 6 7 10 24:38 -14 25
L D W W D
12 23 5 8 10 24:41 -17 23
L D D L L
13 22 5 6 11 22:36 -14 21
W D D D L
14 22 3 9 10 16:27 -11 18
L D L L W
15 23 2 10 11 20:36 -16 16
L D L D D
16 23 3 5 15 20:54 -34 14
W D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga