RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
02.05.2026 11:00
Anzhi Arena
Referee: V. Kazartsev
Dinamo Makhachkala
Match Timeline
FC Rostov
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
Hazem Mastouri
Dinamo Makhachkala
28'
J. Dapo
FC Rostov
🔄
46'
J. Dapo ↔ G. Agalarov
Dinamo Makhachkala
🔄
46'
M. Hosseinnejad ↔ R. Magomedov
Dinamo Makhachkala
VAR
58'
Razhab Magomedov
Dinamo Makhachkala
60'
G. Agalarov
Dinamo Makhachkala
🔄
63'
I. Komarov ↔ E. Golenkov
FC Rostov
🔄
70'
K. Shchetinin ↔ D. Prokhin
FC Rostov
🟨
74'
Viktor Melekhin
FC Rostov
76'
Ronaldo · Assist: E. Golenkov
FC Rostov
🔄
81'
I. Vakhania ↔ A. Langovich
FC Rostov
🔄
81'
M. Mohebi ↔ G. Ignatov
FC Rostov
🟨
90+6'
Danila Prokhin
FC Rostov
🟨
90+5'
Rustam Yatimov
FC Rostov
🟨
90+2'
Timur Suleymanov
FC Rostov
🔄
90'
T. Sundukov ↔ A. Ashurov
Dinamo Makhachkala
🔄
90+1'
M. Moubarik ↔ S. Kagermazov
Dinamo Makhachkala

Dinamo Makhachkala vs FC Rostov Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 33.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 62.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
33.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
62.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Dinamo Makhachkala Win 60.7%
Draw 13.2%
FC Rostov Win 26.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dinamo Makhachkala0.81
FC Rostov0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dinamo Makhachkala Dinamo Makhachkala
WWDLW
17 GF / 34 GA
FC Rostov FC Rostov
WLDWL
20 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
0.63
Average Goals Scored
0.74
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
10
BTTS Yes
11
6
Over 2.5
5
2.78
Shots on Goal
3.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dinamo Makhachkala Dinamo Makhachkala 27 matches
FC Rostov FC Rostov 27 matches
Dinamo Makhachkala Statistic FC Rostov
5 Wins 6
9 Draws 9
13 Losses 12
17 Goals For 20
34 Goals Against 29
0.63 Avg Goals Scored 0.74
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
10 BTTS Yes 11
17 Over 1.5 13
6 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 8
13 Failed To Score 10
2.78 Shots On Goal 3.63
10.04 Total Shots 11.74
4.56 Corners 4.44
46.7% Ball Possession 48.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dinamo Makhachkala expected to line up in 4-4-2 and FC Rostov in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Rostov having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Rostov. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Dinamo Makhachkala Analysis

With 24 points from 27 games and a place of 14, Dinamo Makhachkala still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 9 draws, and 13 defeats with a 17:34 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on G. Agalarov (6 goals), M. Hosseinnejad (4 goals), Hazem Mastouri (2 goals), with creative support from G. Agalarov (1 assists), M. Hosseinnejad (1 assists), N. Glushkov (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Rostov Analysis

FC Rostov are currently 11 in the standings with 27 points from 27 matches. The record of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 20:29 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ronaldo (5 goals), Timur Suleymanov (4 goals), Aleksey Mironov (2 goals), with creative support from Egor Golenkov (3 assists), M. Mohebi (2 assists), Kirill Shchetinin (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo Makhachkala won 2 times, FC Rostov won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:13 from Dinamo Makhachkala's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.8%)
Predicted formations: Dinamo Makhachkala 4-4-2 / FC Rostov 3-5-2
H2H summary: Dinamo Makhachkala wins 2, draws 4, FC Rostov wins 4

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13 30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation