GEORGIA › EROVNULI LIGA
10.05.2026 17:00
Adjarabet Arena
Referee: G. Avazashvili
Dinamo Batumi
Match Timeline
Samgurali
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
22'
N. Kalandarishvili · Assist: U. Mara
Dinamo Batumi
🟨
27'
L. Kutaladze
Samgurali
🟨
27'
L. Kupatadze
Dinamo Batumi
🟨
30'
M. Shatirishvili
Samgurali
🟨
34'
I. Janjgava
Samgurali
⚽
35'
M. Kobakhidze · Assist: U. Mara
Dinamo Batumi
🟨
41'
R. Chiteishvili
Dinamo Batumi
🟨
43'
T. Kirkitadze
Dinamo Batumi
🟨
45+1'
G. Japaridze
Dinamo Batumi
🔄
46'
Jefinho ↔ L. Papava
Samgurali
🔄
54'
D. Mandricenco ↔ G. Kokhreidze
Dinamo Batumi
⚽
55'
G. Kokhreidze · Assist: U. Mara
Dinamo Batumi
🔄
62'
G. Japaridze ↔ G. Putkaradze
Dinamo Batumi
🔄
69'
I. Janjgava ↔ O. Aptsiauri
Samgurali
🔄
69'
Claudio Cebolinha ↔ G. Gogolashvili
Samgurali
🔄
69'
N. Tsetskhladze ↔ G. Gogia
Samgurali
⚽
71'
L. Papava
Samgurali
🔄
80'
T. Kirkitadze ↔ D. Abuselidze
Dinamo Batumi
🔄
80'
A. Mylchenko ↔ L. Khozrevanidze
Dinamo Batumi
🔄
84'
J. Carlos ↔ S. Chkhetiani
Samgurali

Dinamo Batumi vs Samgurali Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 77.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
77.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Dinamo Batumi Win 43.5%
Draw 22.5%
Samgurali Win 34.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dinamo Batumi1.13
Samgurali1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi
WWDLW
14 GF / 27 GA
Samgurali Samgurali
WLDWL
29 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
0.93
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
8
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
11
3.18
Shots on Goal
3.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 15 matches
Samgurali Samgurali 19 matches
Dinamo Batumi Statistic Samgurali
2 Wins 7
5 Draws 5
8 Losses 7
14 Goals For 29
27 Goals Against 27
0.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
8 BTTS Yes 13
12 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 6
1 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 2
3.18 Shots On Goal 3.82
0 Total Shots 0
4.64 Corners 6.36
54% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Samgurali. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Samgurali having the stronger overall control.

Dinamo Batumi Analysis

Dinamo Batumi approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 8 points from 10 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats with a 10:17 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on N. Kalandarishvili (3 goals), D. Mandricenco (2 goals), A. Mylchenko (1 goals), with creative support from T. Kirkitadze (3 assists), U. Mara (2 assists), G. Japaridze (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Samgurali Analysis

Samgurali approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 11 points from 10 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 10:17, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Claudio Cebolinha (2 goals), Wellissol (2 goals), G. Gogolashvili (1 goals), with creative support from L. Shergelashvili (1 assists), N. Khorkheli (1 assists), L. Gegetchkori (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo Batumi won 7 times, Samgurali won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:19 from Dinamo Batumi's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.5%)
Predicted formations: Dinamo Batumi 4-1-2-3 / Samgurali 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Dinamo Batumi wins 7, draws 4, Samgurali wins 4

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 13 8 6 46:36 10 47
W D W W W
2 26 14 4 8 37:28 9 46
W W W L W
3 27 13 7 7 32:23 9 46
L W D L D
4 26 12 9 5 43:29 14 45
W W D D W
5 27 12 4 11 38:30 8 40
W L D W W
6 27 9 9 9 43:34 9 36
L W D D L
7 27 9 5 13 38:52 -14 32
L L L L D
8 27 6 11 10 25:37 -12 29
D L D L W
9 27 5 10 12 34:43 -9 25
L L D D L
10 27 2 11 14 20:44 -24 17
D L D D W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2