IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium
Referee: A. Patchell
Derry City
Match Timeline
Galway United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
44'
J. Clarke
Galway United
🔄
57'
D. Akinyemi ↔ J. Thomas
Derry City
🔄
57'
C. Winchester ↔ M. Duffy
Derry City
🔄
62'
F. Lomboto ↔ C. McCormack
Galway United
🔄
62'
F. Pierrot ↔ S. Walsh
Galway United
🔄
68'
G. Facchineri ↔ E. McCarthy
Galway United
🔄
69'
A. Bolger ↔ A. Piesold
Galway United
🟨
73'
Barry Cotter
Derry City
🔄
75'
C. Dummigan ↔ H. Rylah
Derry City
🟨
85'
Wasiri Ola Williams
Galway United
🟨
87'
Axel Piesold
Galway United
🔄
87'
D. Markey ↔ K. Santos
Derry City
🔄
88'
J. Keohane ↔ M. Wolfe
Galway United
90'
K. Santos · Assist: J. Olayinka
Derry City

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 85.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 79.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
85.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
79.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Derry City Win 55.8%
Draw 14.1%
Galway United Win 30.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derry City1.41
Galway United1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derry City Derry City
WWDLW
19 GF / 20 GA
Galway United Galway United
WLDWL
20 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
10
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
8
4.64
Shots on Goal
3.92

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Derry City Derry City 16 matches
Galway United Galway United 16 matches
Derry City Statistic Galway United
4 Wins 5
6 Draws 4
6 Losses 7
19 Goals For 20
20 Goals Against 28
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
10 BTTS Yes 9
10 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 5
4.64 Shots On Goal 3.92
13.07 Total Shots 11.92
5.93 Corners 4.69
51.4% Ball Possession 40.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Derry City's more proactive style and Galway United's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Galway United. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Derry City expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Galway United in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Galway United having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Derry City Analysis

Placed 5 with 18 points from 14 outings, Derry City continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 18:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Duffy (5 goals), D. Akinyemi (3 goals), James Clarke (3 goals), with creative support from Ben Doherty (2 assists), J. McClean (2 assists), M. Duffy (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Galway United Analysis

Galway United sit 7 with 16 points after 13 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 17:19 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Twardek (5 goals), Aaron Bolger (2 goals), D. Hurley (2 goals), with creative support from K. Twardek (3 assists), D. Hurley (3 assists), Stephen Walsh (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Derry City won 3 times, Galway United won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:12 from Derry City's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.18 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.9%)
Predicted formations: Derry City 4-3-3 / Galway United 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Derry City wins 3, draws 4, Galway United wins 4
Stats
Derry City Derry City
Galway United Galway United
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
3
8 Corner Kicks 1
11 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 3
70% Ball Possession 30%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Goal 2
5 Shots off Goal 2
7 Blocked Shots 3
11 Shots insidebox 5
8 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 6
444 Total passes 201
341 Passes accurate 95
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Derry City
Formation
Galway United
E. Beach
E. Beach
B. Cotter
B. Cotter
J. Stott
J. Stott
P. McClean
P. McClean
B. Doherty
B. Doherty
C. Dummigan
C. Dummigan
C. Winchester
C. Winchester
J. Olayinka
🎯
J. Olayinka
D. Markey
D. Markey
D. Akinyemi
D. Akinyemi
J. Clarke
J. Clarke
E. Watts
E. Watts
C. Barratt
C. Barratt
W. Williams
W. Williams
K. Brouder
K. Brouder
G. Facchineri
G. Facchineri
J. Keohane
J. Keohane
D. Hurley
D. Hurley
A. Bolger
A. Bolger
F. Pierrot
F. Pierrot
L. Devitt
L. Devitt
F. Lomboto
F. Lomboto
Derry City 4-3-3
Starting XI
13
E. Beach
G
2
B. Cotter
🟨 73'
D
4
J. Stott
D
3
P. McClean
D
14
B. Doherty
D
23
C. Dummigan
↓ 75'
M
20
C. Winchester
↓ 57'
M
28
J. Olayinka
🎯 90'
M
10
D. Markey
↓ 87'
F
9
D. Akinyemi
↓ 57'
F
15
J. Clarke
⚽ 44'
F
Substitutes
26
S. Callister
G
17
J. Thomas
↑ 57'
F
22
C. Barr
D
31
C. Downey
M
7
M. Duffy
↑ 57'
M
25
A. Bannon
D
21
K. Santos
⚽ 90' ↑ 87'
M
24
H. Rylah
↑ 75'
M
Galway United 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
E. Watts
G
3
C. Barratt
D
15
W. Williams
🟨 85'
D
5
K. Brouder
D
12
G. Facchineri
↓ 68'
D
4
J. Keohane
↓ 88'
M
10
D. Hurley
M
8
A. Bolger
↓ 69'
M
23
F. Pierrot
↓ 62'
20
L. Devitt
M
9
F. Lomboto
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
16
H. Cunha
G
22
C. McCormack
↑ 62'
M
7
S. Walsh
↑ 62'
F
11
K. Twardek
M
14
M. Wolfe
↑ 88'
M
24
E. McCarthy
↑ 68'
M
30
A. Kazeem
D
6
A. Piesold
↑ 69' 🟨 87'
M
29
N. Fleuriau Chateau
F
Last matches: Derry City
09.07.26
UEF
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
2
3
L
03.07.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
4
L
26.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
2
0
W
22.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
4
1
W
29.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
1
2
L
25.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
0
1
L
01.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
W
17.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
2
2
D
06.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
2
L
20.03.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
2
2
D
16.03.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
1
2
L
Last matches: Galway United
11.07.26
Pre
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
3
2
W
03.07.26
Pre
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
0
3
L
26.06.26
Pre
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
1
3
L
19.06.26
Pre
Galway United
Derry City
2
1
W
12.06.26
Pre
Galway United
Dundalk
0
1
L
29.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Shelbourne
1
1
D
22.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Bohemians
2
4
L
16.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
4
1
W
08.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
1
3
L
01.05.26
Pre
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Waterford
1
1
D
17.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Dundalk
1
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Drogheda United
3
2
W
03.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Derry City
2
1
W
20.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
16.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Waterford
4
3
W
13.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Bohemians
0
1
L
06.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Dundalk
2
2
D
02.03.26
Pre
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pre
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
H2H: Derry City vs Galway United
19.06.26
H2H
Galway United
Derry City
2
1
L
04.05.26
H2H
Derry City
Galway United
1
1
D
03.04.26
H2H
Galway United
Derry City
2
1
L
22.08.25
H2H
Galway United
Derry City
1
2
W
13.06.25
H2H
Derry City
Galway United
1
1
D
18.04.25
H2H
Galway United
Derry City
2
3
W
07.03.25
H2H
Derry City
Galway United
1
1
D
30.08.24
H2H
Galway United
Derry City
1
0
L
07.06.24
H2H
Derry City
Galway United
2
0
W
03.05.24
H2H
Galway United
Derry City
0
0
D
29.03.24
H2H
Derry City
Galway United
0
1
L
Last matches: Derry City
03.07.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
4
L
26.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
2
0
W
12.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
4
1
W
25.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
24.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
W
20.03.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
2
2
D
13.03.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
1
2
L
27.02.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
4
2
W
20.02.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
0
1
L
13.02.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
2
2
D
06.02.26
Pre
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
2
1
W
H2H at home: Derry City
04.05.26
H2H
Derry City
Galway United
1
1
D
13.06.25
H2H
Derry City
Galway United
1
1
D
07.03.25
H2H
Derry City
Galway United
1
1
D
07.06.24
H2H
Derry City
Galway United
2
0
W
29.03.24
H2H
Derry City
Galway United
0
1
L
Last matches: Galway United
03.07.26
Pre
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
0
3
L
26.06.26
Pre
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
1
3
L
29.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Shelbourne
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
4
1
W
24.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Waterford
1
1
D
17.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Dundalk
1
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Drogheda United
3
2
W
20.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Bohemians
0
1
L
02.03.26
Pre
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
0
1
L
20.02.26
Pre
Galway United
Shelbourne
1
1
D
29.01.26
Fri
Galway United
Cork City
1
3
L
24.01.26
Fri
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
0
6
L
H2H away: Galway United
04.05.26
H2H
Derry City
Galway United
1
1
D
13.06.25
H2H
Derry City
Galway United
1
1
D
07.03.25
H2H
Derry City
Galway United
1
1
D
07.06.24
H2H
Derry City
Galway United
2
0
L
29.03.24
H2H
Derry City
Galway United
0
1
W

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 5 5 40:22 18 50
W W D W L
2 25 12 7 6 40:27 13 43
W W W L L
3 24 12 6 6 39:20 19 42
D W L W W
4 24 9 8 7 38:36 2 35
L L L W W
5 24 8 10 6 35:35 0 34
W D L D W
6 25 6 11 8 32:31 1 29
L W D L W
7 23 7 6 10 32:39 -7 27
W L L W L
8 24 6 7 11 29:41 -12 25
W L L D L
9 24 4 9 11 33:47 -14 21
D W W L W
10 24 5 5 14 20:40 -20 20
L L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1