Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
55.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
85.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
79.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Derry City
Galway United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derry City
16 matches
Galway United
16 matches
| Derry City | Statistic | Galway United |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 5 |
| 6 | Draws | 4 |
| 6 | Losses | 7 |
| 19 | Goals For | 20 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.75 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.64 | Shots On Goal | 3.92 |
| 13.07 | Total Shots | 11.92 |
| 5.93 | Corners | 4.69 |
| 51.4% | Ball Possession | 40.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Derry City's more proactive style and Galway United's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Galway United. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Derry City expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Galway United in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Galway United having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Placed 5 with 18 points from 14 outings, Derry City continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 18:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Duffy (5 goals), D. Akinyemi (3 goals), James Clarke (3 goals), with creative support from Ben Doherty (2 assists), J. McClean (2 assists), M. Duffy (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Galway United sit 7 with 16 points after 13 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 17:19 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Twardek (5 goals), Aaron Bolger (2 goals), D. Hurley (2 goals), with creative support from K. Twardek (3 assists), D. Hurley (3 assists), Stephen Walsh (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Derry City won 3 times, Galway United won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:12 from Derry City's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.18 goals per game.
Derry City
7
2
5
2
7
3
Lineups
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Shelbourne
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
Derry City
Galway United
Dundalk
Galway United
Shelbourne
Galway United
Bohemians
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
Waterford
Galway United
Dundalk
Galway United
Drogheda United
Galway United
Derry City
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
Waterford
Galway United
Bohemians
Galway United
Dundalk
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
Shelbourne
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
Waterford
Galway United
Dundalk
Galway United
Drogheda United
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
Bohemians
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
Shelbourne
Galway United
Cork City
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 50 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 43 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 42 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35:35 | 0 | 34 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
Derry City
Home
|
25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
| 7 |
Galway United
Away
|
23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 8 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:41 | -12 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 21 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20:40 | -20 | 20 |
L
L
D
L
L
|