Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 56.9%
Draw 8.3%
Valencia Win 34.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.57
Valencia1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby
WWDLW
3 GF / 3 GA
Valencia
WLDWL
5 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
1
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derby
2 matches
Valencia
3 matches
| Derby | Statistic | Valencia |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 1 |
| 0 | Draws | 0 |
| 1 | Losses | 2 |
| 3 | Goals For | 5 |
| 3 | Goals Against | 5 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 2 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 0 times, Valencia won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Derby's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
Predicted formations: Derby 4-2-3-1 / Valencia 4-4-2
H2H summary: Derby wins 0, draws 0, Valencia wins 1
Last matches: Derby
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
Last matches: Valencia
25.07.26
Fri
Valencia
Castellón
1
2
L
22.07.26
Fri
Valencia
Eldense
3
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Valencia
Petro de Luanda
1
3
L
23.05.26
La
Valencia
Barcelona
3
1
W
17.05.26
La
Valencia
Real Sociedad
4
3
W
14.05.26
La
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
1
1
D
10.05.26
La
Valencia
Athletic Club
1
0
W
02.05.26
La
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
0
2
L
25.04.26
La
Valencia
Girona
2
1
W
21.04.26
La
Valencia
Mallorca
1
1
D
11.04.26
La
Valencia
Elche
0
1
L
05.04.26
La
Valencia
Celta Vigo
2
3
L
21.03.26
La
Valencia
Sevilla
2
0
W
14.03.26
La
Valencia
Oviedo
0
1
L
08.03.26
La
Valencia
Alaves
3
2
W
01.03.26
La
Valencia
Osasuna
1
0
W
22.02.26
La
Valencia
Villarreal
1
2
L
15.02.26
La
Valencia
Levante
2
0
W
08.02.26
La
Valencia
Real Madrid
0
2
L
04.02.26
Cop
Valencia
Athletic Club
1
2
L
H2H: Derby vs Valencia
28.07.26
H2H
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
Last matches: Derby
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Derby
Leeds
1
3
L
04.01.26
Cha
Derby
Wrexham
1
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
1
D
10.12.25
Cha
Derby
Millwall
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Derby
Watford
2
3
L
04.11.25
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
1
W
25.10.25
Cha
Derby
QPR
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
0
W
04.10.25
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D
H2H at home: Derby
28.07.26
H2H
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
Last matches: Valencia
18.07.26
Fri
Valencia
Petro de Luanda
1
3
L
17.05.26
La
Valencia
Real Sociedad
4
3
W
10.05.26
La
Valencia
Athletic Club
1
0
W
21.04.26
La
Valencia
Mallorca
1
1
D
11.04.26
La
Valencia
Elche
0
1
L
21.03.26
La
Valencia
Sevilla
2
0
W
14.03.26
La
Valencia
Oviedo
0
1
L
22.02.26
La
Valencia
Villarreal
1
2
L
15.02.26
La
Valencia
Levante
2
0
W
01.02.26
La
Valencia
Real Betis
1
2
L
18.01.26
La
Valencia
Getafe
1
0
W
15.01.26
Cop
Valencia
Burgos
2
0
W
03.01.26
La
Valencia
Celta Vigo
1
4
L
16.12.25
Cop
Valencia
Sporting Gijon
2
0
W
13.12.25
La
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
04.12.25
Cop
Valencia
FC Cartagena
2
1
W
01.12.25
La
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
1
1
D
01.11.25
La
Valencia
Real Madrid
0
4
L
28.10.25
Cop
Valencia
Maracena
5
0
W
20.10.25
La
Valencia
Alaves
0
0
D
H2H away: Valencia
28.07.26
H2H
Derby
Valencia
1
2
W