Derby vs Swansea H2H Stats
Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.
View today's football H2H statsDerby
Match Timeline
Swansea
Derby vs Swansea Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
42.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
88.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 40.1%
Draw 17.8%
Swansea Win 42.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.28
Swansea1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby
WWDLW
11 GF / 12 GA
Swansea
WLDWL
7 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
6
BTTS Yes
2
5
Over 2.5
3
5.5
Shots on Goal
2
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derby
8 matches
Swansea
7 matches
| Derby | Statistic | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 4 | Losses | 2 |
| 11 | Goals For | 7 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.14 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.5 | Shots On Goal | 2 |
| 15 | Total Shots | 8 |
| 5.5 | Corners | 5.5 |
| 45.5% | Ball Possession | 64% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 5 times, Swansea won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:15 from Derby's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.31 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.2%)
Predicted formations: Derby 4-2-3-1 / Swansea 4-3-3
Missing players: Derby 4, Swansea 2
H2H summary: Derby wins 5, draws 3, Swansea wins 5
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Swansea
Away
|
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 9 | 23 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
| 2 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20:14 | 6 | 21 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 17 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 16 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 16 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 15 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 14 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 14 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 14 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:10 | 10 | 13 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 13 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 11 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 10 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 9 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 20 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 21 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15:19 | -4 | 8 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | -11 | 8 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 |
Derby
Home
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
| 24 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 4 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One