Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Stoke City Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.42
Stoke City1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby
WWDLW
11 GF / 15 GA
Stoke City
WLDWL
6 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
6
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
3
3.67
Shots on Goal
2.33
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derby
9 matches
Stoke City
7 matches
| Derby | Statistic | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 1 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 5 | Losses | 4 |
| 11 | Goals For | 6 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.86 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.71 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 3.67 | Shots On Goal | 2.33 |
| 12.67 | Total Shots | 10.33 |
| 5.33 | Corners | 2.33 |
| 46% | Ball Possession | 43.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 5 times, Stoke City won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:14 from Derby's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Derby 4-2-3-1 / Stoke City 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Derby wins 5, draws 4, Stoke City wins 5