Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Stoke City Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.6
Stoke City0.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby
WWDLW
2 GF / 0 GA
Stoke City
WLDWL
1 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
0.5
0
Average Goals Conceded
1
0
BTTS Yes
1
0
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derby
1 matches
Stoke City
2 matches
| Derby | Statistic | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 0 |
| 0 | Draws | 1 |
| 0 | Losses | 1 |
| 2 | Goals For | 1 |
| 0 | Goals Against | 2 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.5 |
| 0 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 0 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 1 | Over 1.5 | 1 |
| 0 | Over 2.5 | 0 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 5 times, Stoke City won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:14 from Derby's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Derby 4-2-3-1 / Stoke City 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Derby wins 5, draws 4, Stoke City wins 5
Last matches: Derby
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
20.01.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
2
1
W
Last matches: Stoke City
18.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
Crewe
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
SC Braga
0
1
L
02.05.26
Cha
Stoke City
Bristol City
0
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Portsmouth
1
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Millwall
1
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Wrexham
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Blackburn
1
1
D
06.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Derby
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
20.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Preston
1
3
L
14.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Watford
3
1
W
10.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Ipswich
3
3
D
07.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Swansea
0
2
L
28.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Coventry
1
2
L
25.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Oxford United
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Leicester
2
2
D
15.02.26
FA
Stoke City
Fulham
1
2
L
11.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Charlton
0
1
L
07.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
West Brom
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Southampton
0
2
L
H2H: Derby vs Stoke City
06.04.26
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
09.08.25
H2H
Stoke City
Derby
3
1
L
03.05.25
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
0
0
D
02.11.24
H2H
Stoke City
Derby
2
1
L
22.07.23
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
3
0
W
30.12.21
H2H
Stoke City
Derby
1
2
W
18.09.21
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
2
1
W
20.03.21
H2H
Stoke City
Derby
1
0
L
12.12.20
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
0
0
D
31.01.20
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
4
0
W
17.08.19
H2H
Stoke City
Derby
2
2
D
13.03.19
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
0
0
D
28.11.18
H2H
Stoke City
Derby
2
1
L
28.01.12
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
0
2
L
Last matches: Derby
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Derby
Leeds
1
3
L
04.01.26
Cha
Derby
Wrexham
1
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
1
D
10.12.25
Cha
Derby
Millwall
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Derby
Watford
2
3
L
04.11.25
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
1
W
25.10.25
Cha
Derby
QPR
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
0
W
04.10.25
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D
H2H at home: Derby
06.04.26
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.05.25
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
0
0
D
22.07.23
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
3
0
W
18.09.21
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
2
1
W
12.12.20
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
0
0
D
31.01.20
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
4
0
W
13.03.19
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
0
0
D
28.01.12
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
0
2
L
Last matches: Stoke City
18.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
Crewe
1
1
D
02.05.26
Cha
Stoke City
Bristol City
0
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Wrexham
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Derby
0
2
L
20.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Preston
1
3
L
07.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Swansea
0
2
L
28.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Coventry
1
2
L
11.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Charlton
0
1
L
07.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
West Brom
0
0
D
24.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Birmingham
1
1
D
04.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Norwich
2
0
W
01.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Hull City
1
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Watford
0
1
L
10.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Ipswich
0
1
L
06.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Utd
0
4
L
22.11.25
Cha
Stoke City
Leicester
1
2
L
04.11.25
Cha
Stoke City
Oxford United
3
0
W
25.10.25
Cha
Stoke City
Portsmouth
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Stoke City
Millwall
0
2
L
04.10.25
Cha
Stoke City
Blackburn
1
1
D
H2H away: Stoke City
06.04.26
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
L
03.05.25
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
0
0
D
22.07.23
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
3
0
L
18.09.21
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
2
1
L
12.12.20
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
0
0
D
31.01.20
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
4
0
L
13.03.19
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
0
0
D
28.01.12
H2H
Derby
Stoke City
0
2
W
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 4 |
Derby
Home
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 16 |
Stoke City
Away
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
?
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One