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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
04.10.2025 14:00
Derby
FT
1 - 1
Southampton
Pride Park
Referee: Oliver Langford, England
Derby
Match Timeline
Southampton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
A. Armstrong
Southampton
🟨
15'
Ross Stewart
Southampton
🟨
22'
Craig Forsyth
Derby
🔄
30'
R. Stewart ↔ T. Fellows
Southampton
🟨
32'
Lewis Travis
Derby
🟨
33'
Max Johnston
Derby
⚽
40'
P. Agyemang · Assist: A. Weimann
Derby
🔄
60'
L. Scienza ↔ D. Downs
Southampton
🟨
61'
Andreas Weimann
Derby
🔄
68'
B. Clark ↔ R. Brewster
Derby
🔄
69'
D. Ozoh ↔ E. Adams
Derby
🔄
79'
P. Agyemang ↔ K. Jackson
Derby
🔄
79'
A. Weimann ↔ J. Ward
Derby
🔄
79'
S. Charles ↔ F. Downes
Southampton
🔄
79'
R. Fraser ↔ F. Azaz
Southampton
🟨
85'
Flynn Downes
Southampton
🔄
86'
C. Morris ↔ L. Salvesen
Derby

Derby vs Southampton Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Southampton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.3
Southampton1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby Derby
WWDLW
10 GF / 14 GA
Southampton Southampton
WLDWL
10 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
6
BTTS Yes
7
3
Over 2.5
5
2.38
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Derby Derby 8 matches
Southampton Southampton 8 matches
Derby Statistic Southampton
1 Wins 2
4 Draws 4
3 Losses 2
10 Goals For 10
14 Goals Against 11
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
6 BTTS Yes 7
6 Over 1.5 7
3 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
2.38 Shots On Goal 4.25
8.13 Total Shots 14.63
3.38 Corners 6
43.5% Ball Possession 59.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 0 times, Southampton won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:14 from Derby's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.83 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Derby 4-2-3-1 / Southampton 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Derby wins 0, draws 4, Southampton wins 2

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton Away
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Home
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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