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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Derby
FT
1 - 1
Southampton
Pride Park
Referee: Oliver Langford, England
Derby
Match Timeline
Southampton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
A. Armstrong
Southampton
🟨
15'
Ross Stewart
Southampton
🟨
22'
Craig Forsyth
Derby
🔄
30'
R. Stewart ↔ T. Fellows
Southampton
🟨
32'
Lewis Travis
Derby
🟨
33'
Max Johnston
Derby
⚽
40'
P. Agyemang · Assist: A. Weimann
Derby
🔄
60'
L. Scienza ↔ D. Downs
Southampton
🟨
61'
Andreas Weimann
Derby
🔄
68'
B. Clark ↔ R. Brewster
Derby
🔄
69'
D. Ozoh ↔ E. Adams
Derby
🔄
79'
P. Agyemang ↔ K. Jackson
Derby
🔄
79'
A. Weimann ↔ J. Ward
Derby
🔄
79'
S. Charles ↔ F. Downes
Southampton
🔄
79'
R. Fraser ↔ F. Azaz
Southampton
🟨
85'
Flynn Downes
Southampton
🔄
86'
C. Morris ↔ L. Salvesen
Derby

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Southampton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.3
Southampton1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby Derby
WWDLW
10 GF / 14 GA
Southampton Southampton
WLDWL
10 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
6
BTTS Yes
7
3
Over 2.5
5
2.38
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Derby Derby 8 matches
Southampton Southampton 8 matches
Derby Statistic Southampton
1 Wins 2
4 Draws 4
3 Losses 2
10 Goals For 10
14 Goals Against 11
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
6 BTTS Yes 7
6 Over 1.5 7
3 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
2.38 Shots On Goal 4.25
8.13 Total Shots 14.63
3.38 Corners 6
43.5% Ball Possession 59.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 0 times, Southampton won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:14 from Derby's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.83 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Derby 4-2-3-1 / Southampton 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Derby wins 0, draws 4, Southampton wins 2
Stats
Derby Derby
Southampton Southampton
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
3
3 Corner Kicks 5
11 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 2
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Goal 6
4 Shots off Goal 4
0 Blocked Shots 3
7 Shots insidebox 7
2 Shots outsidebox 6
5 Goalkeeper Saves 4
338 Total passes 578
266 Passes accurate 501
1.36 expected_goals 1.06
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Derby
Formation
Southampton
J. Widell Zetterstrom
J. Widell Zetterstrom
M. Johnston
M. Johnston
D. Sanderson
D. Sanderson
M. Clarke
M. Clarke
C. Forsyth
C. Forsyth
L. Travis
L. Travis
D. Ozoh
↓
D. Ozoh
A. Weimann
🎯 ↓
A. Weimann
C. Morris
↓
C. Morris
B. Clark
↓
B. Clark
P. Agyemang
⚽ ↓
P. Agyemang
A. McCarthy
A. McCarthy
R. Edwards
R. Edwards
N. Wood
N. Wood
J. Quarshie
J. Quarshie
R. Manning
R. Manning
C. Jander
C. Jander
S. Charles
↓
S. Charles
R. Fraser
↓
R. Fraser
L. Scienza
↓
L. Scienza
A. Armstrong
⚽
A. Armstrong
R. Stewart
↓
R. Stewart
Derby 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Widell Zetterstrom
G
22
M. Johnston
🟨 33'
D
28
D. Sanderson
D
5
M. Clarke
D
3
C. Forsyth
🟨 22'
D
27
L. Travis
🟨 32'
M
18
D. Ozoh
↓ 69'
M
14
A. Weimann
🎯 40' ↓ 79' 🟨 61'
M
9
C. Morris
↓ 86'
M
42
B. Clark
↓ 68'
M
7
P. Agyemang
⚽ 40' ↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
31
J. Vickers
G
4
D. Batth
D
10
R. Brewster
↑ 68'
F
15
L. Salvesen
↑ 86'
F
19
K. Jackson
↑ 79'
F
23
J. Ward
↑ 79'
M
24
R. Nyambe
D
32
E. Adams
↑ 69'
M
48
L. Wheeldon
F
Southampton 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
A. McCarthy
G
12
R. Edwards
D
15
N. Wood
D
17
J. Quarshie
D
3
R. Manning
D
20
C. Jander
M
24
S. Charles
↓ 79'
M
26
R. Fraser
↓ 79'
M
13
L. Scienza
↓ 60'
M
9
A. Armstrong
⚽ 7'
M
11
R. Stewart
↓ 30' 🟨 15'
F
Substitutes
31
G. Bazunu
G
2
M. Roerslev Rasmussen
D
38
E. Jelert
D
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
D
4
F. Downes
↑ 79' 🟨 85'
M
18
T. Fellows
↑ 30'
M
10
F. Azaz
↑ 79'
M
42
D. Downs
↑ 60'
F
19
C. Archer
F
Last matches: Derby
15.08.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
Last matches: Southampton
16.08.26
Cha
Southampton
Watford
1
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Southampton
Preußen Münster
2
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eastleigh
3
1
W
12.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
09.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Preston
3
1
W
28.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Ipswich
2
2
D
25.04.26
FA
Southampton
Manchester City
1
2
L
21.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Bristol City
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Swansea
2
1
W
14.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Blackburn
3
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Derby
2
1
W
07.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Wrexham
5
1
W
04.04.26
FA
Southampton
Arsenal
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Oxford United
2
0
W
18.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Norwich
1
0
W
14.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Coventry
2
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
Southampton
West Brom
1
1
D
08.03.26
FA
Southampton
Fulham
1
0
W
H2H: Derby vs Southampton
11.04.26
H2H
Southampton
Derby
2
1
L
04.10.25
H2H
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D
16.01.19
H2H
Southampton
Derby
4
4
D
05.01.19
H2H
Derby
Southampton
2
2
D
18.02.12
H2H
Southampton
Derby
4
0
L
15.10.11
H2H
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D
Last matches: Derby
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Derby
Leeds
1
3
L
04.01.26
Cha
Derby
Wrexham
1
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
1
D
10.12.25
Cha
Derby
Millwall
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Derby
Watford
2
3
L
04.11.25
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
1
W
25.10.25
Cha
Derby
QPR
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
0
W
H2H at home: Derby
04.10.25
H2H
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D
05.01.19
H2H
Derby
Southampton
2
2
D
15.10.11
H2H
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D
Last matches: Southampton
16.08.26
Cha
Southampton
Watford
1
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Southampton
Preußen Münster
2
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eastleigh
3
1
W
09.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Preston
3
1
W
25.04.26
FA
Southampton
Manchester City
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Swansea
2
1
W
07.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Wrexham
5
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Coventry
2
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
Southampton
West Brom
1
1
D
08.03.26
FA
Southampton
Fulham
1
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
10.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Leicester
4
3
W
31.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Stoke City
2
0
W
25.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Portsmouth
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Southampton
Doncaster
3
2
W
04.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
0
4
L
29.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Birmingham
1
1
D
26.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Oxford United
1
2
L
H2H away: Southampton
04.10.25
H2H
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D
05.01.19
H2H
Derby
Southampton
2
2
D
15.10.11
H2H
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton Away
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Home
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation