Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
65.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
76.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
71.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Derby
Sheffield Utd
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derby
46 matches
Sheffield Utd
46 matches
| Derby | Statistic | Sheffield Utd |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 17 |
| 9 | Draws | 6 |
| 17 | Losses | 23 |
| 67 | Goals For | 67 |
| 60 | Goals Against | 69 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.46 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 30 | BTTS Yes | 26 |
| 35 | Over 1.5 | 34 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 27 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 3.5 | Shots On Goal | 4.2 |
| 10.76 | Total Shots | 13.57 |
| 4.52 | Corners | 6.78 |
| 44.1% | Ball Possession | 53% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Derby's more proactive style and Sheffield Utd's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Sheffield Utd arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sheffield Utd. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
From their first 45 matches, Derby have collected 69 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 20 wins, 9 draws, and 16 defeats, together with a 66:57 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through C. Morris (12 goals), P. Agyemang (10 goals), B. Brereton Diaz (7 goals), with creative support from J. Ward (8 assists), C. Elder (5 assists), Matthew Clarke (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Sheffield Utd approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 57 points from 45 matches. Across the season they have posted 17 wins, 6 draws, and 22 defeats, and the 64:65 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on P. Bamford (12 goals), C. O'Hare (9 goals), Andre Brooks (6 goals), with creative support from Gustavo Hamer (11 assists), C. O'Hare (7 assists), F. Seriki (5 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 8 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with S. Sachdev unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 3 times, Sheffield Utd won 9 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:21 from Derby's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.62 goals per game.
Derby
6
8
5
5
6
2
Lineups
Derby
QPR
Derby
Norwich
Derby
Oxford United
Derby
Southampton
Derby
Stoke City
Derby
Coventry
Derby
Birmingham
Derby
Portsmouth
Derby
Millwall
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
Derby
Blackburn
Derby
Hull City
Derby
Watford
Derby
Swansea
Derby
Ipswich
Derby
Bristol City
Derby
West Brom
Derby
Charlton
Derby
Preston
Derby
Leeds
Sheffield Utd
Preston
Sheffield Utd
Blackburn
Sheffield Utd
Watford
Sheffield Utd
Hull City
Sheffield Utd
Bristol City
Sheffield Utd
Swansea
Sheffield Utd
Wrexham
Sheffield Utd
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
Norwich
Sheffield Utd
West Brom
Sheffield Utd
QPR
Sheffield Utd
Coventry
Sheffield Utd
Sheffield Wednesday
Sheffield Utd
Portsmouth
Sheffield Utd
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Utd
Oxford United
Sheffield Utd
Millwall
Sheffield Utd
Ipswich
Sheffield Utd
Southampton
Sheffield Utd
Charlton
Derby
Oxford United
Derby
Stoke City
Derby
Birmingham
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
Derby
Blackburn
Derby
Swansea
Derby
Ipswich
Derby
West Brom
Derby
Leeds
Derby
Wrexham
Derby
Middlesbrough
Derby
Portsmouth
Derby
Millwall
Derby
Leicester
Derby
Watford
Derby
Hull City
Derby
QPR
Derby
Norwich
Derby
Southampton
Derby
Charlton
Sheffield Utd
Watford
Sheffield Utd
Bristol City
Sheffield Utd
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
Norwich
Sheffield Utd
QPR
Sheffield Utd
Portsmouth
Sheffield Utd
Millwall
Sheffield Utd
Southampton
Sheffield Utd
Charlton
Sheffield Utd
Stoke City
Sheffield Utd
Wrexham
Sheffield Utd
West Brom
Sheffield Utd
Leicester
Sheffield Utd
Sheffield Wednesday
Sheffield Utd
Coventry
Sheffield Utd
Preston
Sheffield Utd
Blackburn
Sheffield Utd
Hull City
Sheffield Utd
Oxford United
Sheffield Utd
Ipswich
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 |
Derby
Home
|
46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 9 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 |
Sheffield Utd
Away
|
46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 14 | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
W
L
L
D
D
|