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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
20.09.2025 14:00
Pride Park
Referee: Lewis Smith, England
Derby
Match Timeline
Preston
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
29'
A. Devine · Assist: L. Dobbin
Preston
🔄
46'
C. Elder ↔ P. Agyemang
Derby
🟨
55'
Dion Sanderson
Derby
🔄
66'
B. Clark ↔ A. Weimann
Derby
🔄
67'
L. Dobbin ↔ H. Armstrong
Preston
🟨
72'
Daniel Iversen
Preston
🔄
74'
T. Small ↔ L. Lindsay
Preston
🔄
74'
M. Osmajic ↔ D. Jebbison
Preston
🟨
75'
Ebou Adams
Derby
🔄
85'
L. Gibson ↔ A. Vukcevic
Preston
🔄
85'
A. Devine ↔ M. Smith
Preston
🔄
87'
E. Adams ↔ J. Ward
Derby
🔄
87'
B. Brereton Diaz ↔ L. Salvesen
Derby
🟨
90+6'
Michael Smith
Preston

Derby vs Preston Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Preston Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.36
Preston1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby Derby
WWDLW
8 GF / 11 GA
Preston Preston
WLDWL
6 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1.2
2.2
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
2
2.2
Shots on Goal
2.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Derby Derby 5 matches
Preston Preston 5 matches
Derby Statistic Preston
1 Wins 2
2 Draws 2
2 Losses 1
8 Goals For 6
11 Goals Against 5
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
2.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 3
3 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
2.2 Shots On Goal 2.4
7 Total Shots 9.4
3.2 Corners 4
39% Ball Possession 42%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 8 times, Preston won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:8 from Derby's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Derby 3-4-2-1 / Preston 3-5-2
H2H summary: Derby wins 8, draws 3, Preston wins 4

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Home
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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