Derby
Match Timeline
Cardiff
Derby vs Cardiff Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
51.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 35.8%
Draw 12.8%
Cardiff Win 51.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.57
Cardiff2.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby
WWDLW
9 GF / 10 GA
Cardiff
WLDWL
16 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
3.2
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
2
5
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
4
4
Shots on Goal
3
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derby
7 matches
Cardiff
5 matches
| Derby | Statistic | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 3 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 4 | Losses | 1 |
| 9 | Goals For | 16 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 3.2 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 15 | Total Shots | 11 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 55% | Ball Possession | 67% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 4 times, Cardiff won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:21 from Derby's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.2%)
Predicted formations: Derby 4-2-3-1 / Cardiff 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Derby 3, Cardiff 2
H2H summary: Derby wins 4, draws 4, Cardiff wins 7
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 17 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 15 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 15 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 14 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 12 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 11 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 11 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 10 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 9 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 21 |
Cardiff
Away
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
| 22 |
Derby
Home
|
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 5 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
| 23 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 4 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 4 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One