ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
28.02.2026 12:30
Pride Park
Referee: L. Doughty
Derby
Match Timeline
Blackburn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
36'
Sammie Szmodics
Derby
🟨
36'
Adam Forshaw
Blackburn
🟨
45'
Lewis Travis
Derby
⚽
45'
H. Carter · Assist: Y. Ribeiro
Blackburn
🟨
46'
Bobby Clark
Derby
⚽
55'
B. Brereton Diaz · Assist: D. Murkin
Derby
🔄
56'
A. Forshaw ↔ K. Montgomery
Blackburn
🟨
58'
Eiran Cashin
Blackburn
🟨
60'
Yuri Ribeiro
Blackburn
🔄
62'
C. Morris ↔ R. Brewster
Derby
🔄
69'
Y. Ribeiro ↔ H. Pickering
Blackburn
🔄
69'
A. Gudjohnsen ↔ M. Jorgensen
Blackburn
⚽
74'
M. Clarke
Derby
🟨
79'
Hayden Carter
Blackburn
🔄
80'
S. Szmodics ↔ D. Ozoh
Derby
🔄
80'
M. Baradji ↔ D. De Neve
Blackburn
🔄
80'
H. Carter ↔ T. Gardner-Hickman
Blackburn
⚽
82'
R. Brewster · Assist: D. Murkin
Derby
🔄
87'
D. Murkin ↔ C. Forsyth
Derby
🔄
87'
M. Clarke ↔ O. Fraulo
Derby

Derby vs Blackburn Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Blackburn Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.35
Blackburn1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby Derby
WWDLW
50 GF / 48 GA
Blackburn Blackburn
WLDWL
32 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
0.91
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
24
BTTS Yes
16
18
Over 2.5
14
3.34
Shots on Goal
3.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Derby Derby 35 matches
Blackburn Blackburn 35 matches
Derby Statistic Blackburn
13 Wins 10
9 Draws 9
13 Losses 16
50 Goals For 32
48 Goals Against 43
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 0.91
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
24 BTTS Yes 16
28 Over 1.5 25
18 Over 2.5 14
9 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 10
3 Failed To Score 12
3.34 Shots On Goal 3.31
10.06 Total Shots 11.71
4.69 Corners 5.54
42.7% Ball Possession 49.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 5 times, Blackburn won 9 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:24 from Derby's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Derby 4-2-3-1 / Blackburn 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Derby wins 5, draws 1, Blackburn wins 9

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Home
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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