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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Derby
FT
3 - 1
Blackburn
Pride Park
Referee: L. Doughty
Derby
Match Timeline
Blackburn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
36'
Sammie Szmodics
Derby
🟨
36'
Adam Forshaw
Blackburn
🟨
45'
Lewis Travis
Derby
⚽
45'
H. Carter · Assist: Y. Ribeiro
Blackburn
🟨
46'
Bobby Clark
Derby
⚽
55'
B. Brereton Diaz · Assist: D. Murkin
Derby
🔄
56'
A. Forshaw ↔ K. Montgomery
Blackburn
🟨
58'
Eiran Cashin
Blackburn
🟨
60'
Yuri Ribeiro
Blackburn
🔄
62'
C. Morris ↔ R. Brewster
Derby
🔄
69'
Y. Ribeiro ↔ H. Pickering
Blackburn
🔄
69'
A. Gudjohnsen ↔ M. Jorgensen
Blackburn
⚽
74'
M. Clarke
Derby
🟨
79'
Hayden Carter
Blackburn
🔄
80'
S. Szmodics ↔ D. Ozoh
Derby
🔄
80'
M. Baradji ↔ D. De Neve
Blackburn
🔄
80'
H. Carter ↔ T. Gardner-Hickman
Blackburn
⚽
82'
R. Brewster · Assist: D. Murkin
Derby
🔄
87'
D. Murkin ↔ C. Forsyth
Derby
🔄
87'
M. Clarke ↔ O. Fraulo
Derby

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Blackburn Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.35
Blackburn1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby Derby
WWDLW
50 GF / 48 GA
Blackburn Blackburn
WLDWL
32 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
0.91
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
24
BTTS Yes
16
18
Over 2.5
14
3.34
Shots on Goal
3.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Derby Derby 35 matches
Blackburn Blackburn 35 matches
Derby Statistic Blackburn
13 Wins 10
9 Draws 9
13 Losses 16
50 Goals For 32
48 Goals Against 43
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 0.91
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
24 BTTS Yes 16
28 Over 1.5 25
18 Over 2.5 14
9 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 10
3 Failed To Score 12
3.34 Shots On Goal 3.31
10.06 Total Shots 11.71
4.69 Corners 5.54
42.7% Ball Possession 49.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 5 times, Blackburn won 9 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:24 from Derby's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Derby 4-2-3-1 / Blackburn 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Derby wins 5, draws 1, Blackburn wins 9
Stats
Derby Derby
Blackburn Blackburn
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
4
2 Corner Kicks 3
10 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 1
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Goal 3
6 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 4
8 Shots insidebox 9
6 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
348 Total passes 354
261 Passes accurate 262
1.44 expected_goals 0.90
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Derby
Formation
Blackburn
J. Vickers
J. Vickers
J. Ward
J. Ward
D. Sanderson
D. Sanderson
M. Clarke
⚽ ↓
M. Clarke
D. Murkin
🎯 ↓
D. Murkin
B. Clark
B. Clark
L. Travis
L. Travis
B. Brereton Diaz
⚽
B. Brereton Diaz
S. Szmodics
↓
S. Szmodics
P. Agyemang
P. Agyemang
C. Morris
↓
C. Morris
B. Toth
B. Toth
H. Carter
⚽ ↓
H. Carter
S. McLoughlin
S. McLoughlin
E. Cashin
E. Cashin
R. Alebiosu
R. Alebiosu
A. Forshaw
↓
A. Forshaw
M. Baradji
↓
M. Baradji
Y. Ribeiro
🎯 ↓
Y. Ribeiro
R. Morishita
R. Morishita
Y. Ohashi
Y. Ohashi
A. Gudjohnsen
↓
A. Gudjohnsen
Derby 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
31
J. Vickers
G
23
J. Ward
D
28
D. Sanderson
D
5
M. Clarke
⚽ 74' ↓ 87'
D
2
D. Murkin
🎯 55' 🎯 82' ↓ 87'
D
42
B. Clark
🟨 46'
M
27
L. Travis
🟨 45'
M
25
B. Brereton Diaz
⚽ 55'
M
19
S. Szmodics
↓ 80' 🟨 36'
M
7
P. Agyemang
M
9
C. Morris
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
12
R. O'Donnell
G
34
J. Banel
M
37
O. Eames
M
3
C. Forsyth
↑ 87'
D
10
R. Brewster
⚽ 82' ↑ 62'
F
29
O. Fraulo
↑ 87'
M
18
D. Ozoh
↑ 80'
M
54
C. Allen
44
I. Gordon
D
Blackburn 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
22
B. Toth
G
17
H. Carter
⚽ 45' ↓ 80' 🟨 79'
D
15
S. McLoughlin
D
20
E. Cashin
🟨 58'
D
2
R. Alebiosu
M
28
A. Forshaw
↓ 56' 🟨 36'
M
24
M. Baradji
↓ 80'
M
4
Y. Ribeiro
🎯 45' ↓ 69' 🟨 60'
M
25
R. Morishita
F
23
Y. Ohashi
F
11
A. Gudjohnsen
↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
35
N. Michalski
G
3
H. Pickering
↑ 69'
D
14
D. De Neve
↑ 80'
D
29
M. Jorgensen
↑ 69'
F
21
O. Afolayan
F
5
T. Gardner-Hickman
↑ 80'
M
31
K. Montgomery
↑ 56'
M
26
C. O'Riordan
D
38
T. Atcheson
D
Last matches: Derby
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
Last matches: Blackburn
01.08.26
Fri
Blackburn
Huddersfield
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Blackburn
Strasbourg
2
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Blackburn
Nottingham Forest
0
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Blackburn
Barnsley
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Blackburn
Accrington ST
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Blackburn
Leicester
0
1
L
22.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
Sheffield Utd
3
1
W
17.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
Coventry
1
1
D
14.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
Southampton
0
3
L
11.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
Stoke City
1
1
D
06.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
West Brom
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
Birmingham
1
0
W
21.03.26
Cha
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
14.03.26
Cha
Blackburn
Millwall
2
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
Blackburn
Oxford United
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Blackburn
Portsmouth
1
1
D
24.02.26
Cha
Blackburn
Bristol City
1
2
L
20.02.26
Cha
Blackburn
Preston
1
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Blackburn
QPR
3
1
W
07.02.26
Cha
Blackburn
Norwich
0
2
L
H2H: Derby vs Blackburn
28.02.26
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
08.11.25
H2H
Blackburn
Derby
1
2
W
08.03.25
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
2
1
W
09.08.24
H2H
Blackburn
Derby
4
2
L
15.03.22
H2H
Blackburn
Derby
3
1
L
30.10.21
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
1
2
L
16.04.21
H2H
Blackburn
Derby
2
1
L
26.09.20
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
0
4
L
08.03.20
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
3
0
W
07.12.19
H2H
Blackburn
Derby
1
0
L
09.04.19
H2H
Blackburn
Derby
2
0
L
18.09.18
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
0
0
D
28.02.17
H2H
Blackburn
Derby
1
0
L
24.09.16
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
1
2
L
24.02.16
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
1
0
W
Last matches: Derby
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Derby
Leeds
1
3
L
04.01.26
Cha
Derby
Wrexham
1
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
1
D
10.12.25
Cha
Derby
Millwall
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Derby
Watford
2
3
L
04.11.25
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
1
W
25.10.25
Cha
Derby
QPR
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
0
W
04.10.25
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D
H2H at home: Derby
28.02.26
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
08.03.25
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
2
1
W
30.10.21
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
1
2
L
26.09.20
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
0
4
L
08.03.20
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
3
0
W
18.09.18
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
0
0
D
24.09.16
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
1
2
L
24.02.16
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
1
0
W
Last matches: Blackburn
01.08.26
Fri
Blackburn
Huddersfield
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Blackburn
Strasbourg
2
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Blackburn
Nottingham Forest
0
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
Blackburn
Accrington ST
0
0
D
22.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
Sheffield Utd
3
1
W
14.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
Southampton
0
3
L
11.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
Stoke City
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
Birmingham
1
0
W
14.03.26
Cha
Blackburn
Millwall
2
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
Blackburn
Oxford United
0
1
L
14.02.26
Cha
Blackburn
QPR
3
1
W
07.02.26
Cha
Blackburn
Norwich
0
2
L
20.01.26
Cha
Blackburn
Swansea
1
3
L
17.01.26
Cha
Blackburn
Ipswich
0
3
L
11.01.26
FA
Blackburn
Hull City
0
0
D
29.12.25
Cha
Blackburn
Sheffield Wednesday
0
0
D
26.12.25
Cha
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
13.12.25
Cha
Blackburn
Portsmouth
1
2
L
29.11.25
Cha
Blackburn
Wrexham
1
1
D
21.11.25
Cha
Blackburn
Preston
2
1
W
H2H away: Blackburn
28.02.26
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
L
08.03.25
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
2
1
L
30.10.21
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
1
2
W
26.09.20
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
0
4
W
08.03.20
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
3
0
L
18.09.18
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
0
0
D
24.09.16
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
1
2
W
24.02.16
H2H
Derby
Blackburn
1
0
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Home
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn Away
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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