Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Birmingham Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.4
Birmingham1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby
WWDLW
2 GF / 0 GA
Birmingham
WLDWL
6 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
3
0
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
0
BTTS Yes
1
0
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derby
1 matches
Birmingham
2 matches
| Derby | Statistic | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 2 |
| 0 | Draws | 0 |
| 0 | Losses | 0 |
| 2 | Goals For | 6 |
| 0 | Goals Against | 1 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 3 |
| 0 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.5 |
| 0 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 1 | Over 1.5 | 2 |
| 0 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 8 times, Birmingham won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:18 from Derby's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Derby 4-2-3-1 / Birmingham 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Derby wins 8, draws 4, Birmingham wins 3
Last matches: Derby
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
20.01.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
2
1
W
Last matches: Birmingham
15.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Solihull Moors
3
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Huddersfield
3
1
W
02.05.26
Cha
Birmingham
Portsmouth
1
1
D
25.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Bristol City
2
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Preston
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Hull City
1
1
D
12.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Wrexham
2
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Ipswich
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Blackburn
0
1
L
21.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Derby
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
QPR
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Charlton
0
1
L
02.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
3
L
25.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Millwall
0
3
L
21.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Norwich
2
1
W
15.02.26
FA
Birmingham
Leeds
1
1
D
10.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
West Brom
0
0
D
07.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Leicester
2
1
W
31.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Oxford United
2
0
W
H2H: Derby vs Birmingham
21.03.26
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
26.12.25
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
1
1
D
30.01.22
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
2
2
D
10.09.21
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
2
0
L
24.04.21
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
2
L
29.12.20
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
0
4
W
22.07.20
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
1
3
W
28.09.19
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
3
2
W
19.04.19
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
2
2
D
03.11.18
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
3
1
W
13.01.18
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
0
3
W
23.09.17
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
1
D
08.04.17
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
1
2
W
27.12.16
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.01.16
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
0
3
L
Last matches: Derby
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Derby
Leeds
1
3
L
04.01.26
Cha
Derby
Wrexham
1
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
1
D
10.12.25
Cha
Derby
Millwall
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Derby
Watford
2
3
L
04.11.25
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
1
W
25.10.25
Cha
Derby
QPR
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
0
W
04.10.25
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D
H2H at home: Derby
21.03.26
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
30.01.22
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
2
2
D
24.04.21
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
2
L
28.09.19
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
3
2
W
03.11.18
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
3
1
W
23.09.17
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
1
D
27.12.16
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.01.16
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
0
3
L
Last matches: Birmingham
15.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Solihull Moors
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Birmingham
Portsmouth
1
1
D
18.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Hull City
1
1
D
06.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Ipswich
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Derby
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Charlton
0
1
L
25.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Millwall
0
3
L
21.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Norwich
2
1
W
31.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Oxford United
2
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
17.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Swansea
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Birmingham
Cambridge United
3
2
W
01.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Watford
0
3
L
20.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
0
3
L
09.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
QPR
1
2
L
06.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Southampton
1
3
L
26.11.25
Cha
Birmingham
West Brom
1
1
D
08.11.25
Cha
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
25.10.25
Cha
Birmingham
Bristol City
0
1
L
21.10.25
Cha
Birmingham
Preston
1
0
W
H2H away: Birmingham
21.03.26
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
L
30.01.22
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
2
2
D
24.04.21
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
2
W
28.09.19
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
3
2
L
03.11.18
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
3
1
L
23.09.17
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
1
D
27.12.16
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
L
16.01.16
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
0
3
W