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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Derby
FT
1 - 0
Birmingham
Pride Park
Referee: G. Ward
Derby
Match Timeline
Birmingham
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
32'
Ibrahim Osman
Birmingham
⚽
43'
R. Brewster · Assist: D. Murkin
Derby
🟨
48'
Jonathan Panzo
Birmingham
🔄
58'
E. Laird ↔ T. Doyle
Birmingham
🔄
58'
I. Osman ↔ C. Vicente
Birmingham
🔄
59'
M. Ducksch ↔ J. E. Solis Romero
Birmingham
🔄
65'
R. Brewster ↔ J. Banel
Derby
🟨
70'
Patrick Agyemang
Derby
🔄
71'
J. Stansfield ↔ A. Priske
Birmingham
🔄
83'
P. Agyemang ↔ C. Morris
Derby
🔄
83'
S. Szmodics ↔ O. Fraulo
Derby
🔄
84'
B. Clark ↔ D. Ozoh
Derby
🔄
84'
J. Panzo ↔ K. Furuhashi
Birmingham
🟨
87'
Jack Robinson
Birmingham
🟨
90+2'
Jhon Solís
Birmingham

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Birmingham Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.38
Birmingham1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby Derby
WWDLW
56 GF / 51 GA
Birmingham Birmingham
WLDWL
52 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
26
BTTS Yes
23
20
Over 2.5
19
3.38
Shots on Goal
4.05

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Derby Derby 39 matches
Birmingham Birmingham 40 matches
Derby Statistic Birmingham
16 Wins 15
9 Draws 12
14 Losses 13
56 Goals For 52
51 Goals Against 51
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
26 BTTS Yes 23
30 Over 1.5 32
20 Over 2.5 19
10 Over 3.5 9
9 Clean Sheets 9
4 Failed To Score 9
3.38 Shots On Goal 4.05
10.33 Total Shots 14.05
4.54 Corners 5.83
43.1% Ball Possession 54.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 8 times, Birmingham won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:18 from Derby's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Derby 4-2-3-1 / Birmingham 3-4-3
H2H summary: Derby wins 8, draws 4, Birmingham wins 3
Stats
Derby Derby
Birmingham Birmingham
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
1
6 Corner Kicks 2
12 Fouls 16
3 Offsides 2
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Goal 0
5 Shots off Goal 2
6 Blocked Shots 1
10 Shots insidebox 2
7 Shots outsidebox 1
0 Goalkeeper Saves 5
332 Total passes 323
237 Passes accurate 234
1.16 expected_goals 0.16
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Derby
Formation
Birmingham
R. O'Donnell
R. O'Donnell
J. Ward
J. Ward
D. Sanderson
D. Sanderson
M. Clarke
M. Clarke
D. Murkin
🎯
D. Murkin
L. Travis
L. Travis
B. Clark
↓
B. Clark
B. Brereton Diaz
B. Brereton Diaz
S. Szmodics
↓
S. Szmodics
R. Brewster
⚽ ↓
R. Brewster
P. Agyemang
↓
P. Agyemang
J. Beadle
J. Beadle
C. Klarer
C. Klarer
J. Robinson
J. Robinson
J. Panzo
↓
J. Panzo
E. Laird
↓
E. Laird
T. Iwata
T. Iwata
Paik Seung-Ho
Paik Seung-Ho
I. Osman
↓
I. Osman
D. Gray
D. Gray
M. Ducksch
↓
M. Ducksch
J. Stansfield
↓
J. Stansfield
Derby 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
R. O'Donnell
G
23
J. Ward
D
28
D. Sanderson
D
5
M. Clarke
D
2
D. Murkin
🎯 43'
D
27
L. Travis
M
42
B. Clark
↓ 84'
M
25
B. Brereton Diaz
M
19
S. Szmodics
↓ 83'
M
10
R. Brewster
⚽ 43' ↓ 65'
M
7
P. Agyemang
↓ 83' 🟨 70'
F
Substitutes
51
J. Thompson
G
9
C. Morris
↑ 83'
F
34
J. Banel
↑ 65'
M
53
R. Canoville
D
3
C. Forsyth
D
29
O. Fraulo
↑ 83'
M
18
D. Ozoh
↑ 84'
M
54
C. Allen
44
I. Gordon
D
Birmingham 3-4-3
Starting XI
25
J. Beadle
G
4
C. Klarer
D
6
J. Robinson
🟨 87'
D
37
J. Panzo
↓ 84' 🟨 48'
D
2
E. Laird
↓ 58'
M
24
T. Iwata
M
8
Paik Seung-Ho
M
17
I. Osman
↓ 58' 🟨 32'
M
10
D. Gray
F
33
M. Ducksch
↓ 59'
F
28
J. Stansfield
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
21
R. Allsop
G
5
P. Neumann
D
7
T. Doyle
↑ 58'
M
29
A. Priske
↑ 71'
F
16
P. Roberts
M
26
B. Osayi-Samuel
D
9
K. Furuhashi
↑ 84'
F
23
C. Vicente
↑ 58'
F
14
J. E. Solis Romero
↑ 59' 🟨 90+2'
M
Last matches: Derby
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
Last matches: Birmingham
31.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Barcelona
2
2
D
25.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Crewe
2
1
W
22.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Burton Albion
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Solihull Moors
3
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Huddersfield
3
1
W
02.05.26
Cha
Birmingham
Portsmouth
1
1
D
25.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Bristol City
2
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Preston
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Hull City
1
1
D
12.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Wrexham
2
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Ipswich
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Blackburn
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
QPR
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Charlton
0
1
L
02.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
3
L
25.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Millwall
0
3
L
21.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Norwich
2
1
W
15.02.26
FA
Birmingham
Leeds
1
1
D
10.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
West Brom
0
0
D
H2H: Derby vs Birmingham
21.03.26
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
26.12.25
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
1
1
D
30.01.22
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
2
2
D
10.09.21
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
2
0
L
24.04.21
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
2
L
29.12.20
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
0
4
W
22.07.20
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
1
3
W
28.09.19
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
3
2
W
19.04.19
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
2
2
D
03.11.18
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
3
1
W
13.01.18
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
0
3
W
23.09.17
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
1
D
08.04.17
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
1
2
W
27.12.16
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.01.16
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
0
3
L
Last matches: Derby
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Derby
Leeds
1
3
L
04.01.26
Cha
Derby
Wrexham
1
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
1
D
10.12.25
Cha
Derby
Millwall
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Derby
Watford
2
3
L
04.11.25
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
1
W
25.10.25
Cha
Derby
QPR
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
0
W
04.10.25
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D
H2H at home: Derby
21.03.26
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
30.01.22
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
2
2
D
24.04.21
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
2
L
28.09.19
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
3
2
W
03.11.18
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
3
1
W
23.09.17
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
1
D
27.12.16
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.01.16
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
0
3
L
Last matches: Birmingham
25.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Crewe
2
1
W
22.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Burton Albion
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Solihull Moors
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Birmingham
Portsmouth
1
1
D
18.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Hull City
1
1
D
06.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Ipswich
1
2
L
07.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Charlton
0
1
L
25.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Millwall
0
3
L
21.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Norwich
2
1
W
31.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Oxford United
2
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
17.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Swansea
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Birmingham
Cambridge United
3
2
W
01.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Watford
0
3
L
20.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
0
3
L
09.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
QPR
1
2
L
06.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Southampton
1
3
L
26.11.25
Cha
Birmingham
West Brom
1
1
D
08.11.25
Cha
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
25.10.25
Cha
Birmingham
Bristol City
0
1
L
H2H away: Birmingham
21.03.26
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
L
30.01.22
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
2
2
D
24.04.21
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
2
W
28.09.19
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
3
2
L
03.11.18
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
3
1
L
23.09.17
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
1
D
27.12.16
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
L
16.01.16
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
0
3
W

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Home
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham Away
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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