VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.1%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Tachira FC Win 69.1%
Draw 4.2%
Caracas FC Win 26.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Tachira FC1.4
Caracas FC1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Tachira FC Deportivo Tachira FC
WWDLW
41 GF / 29 GA
Caracas FC Caracas FC
WLDWL
21 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
17
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
8
2.43
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Tachira FC Deportivo Tachira FC 29 matches
Caracas FC Caracas FC 18 matches
Deportivo Tachira FC Statistic Caracas FC
17 Wins 4
5 Draws 8
7 Losses 6
41 Goals For 21
29 Goals Against 25
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
17 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 14
14 Over 2.5 8
8 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 3
2.43 Shots On Goal 0
6.14 Total Shots 0
2.57 Corners 0
23.9% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Deportivo Tachira FC's more proactive style and Caracas FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Deportivo Tachira FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 24 points compared to Caracas FC in 10 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Caracas FC. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Caracas FC having the stronger overall control.

Deportivo Tachira FC Analysis

Deportivo Tachira FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 24 points after 13 matches. With 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 17:12, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Caracas FC Analysis

From their first 13 matches, Caracas FC have collected 15 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 15:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Tachira FC won 4 times, Caracas FC won 1 times, while 10 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:10 from Deportivo Tachira FC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
H2H summary: Deportivo Tachira FC wins 4, draws 10, Caracas FC wins 1
Last matches: Deportivo Tachira FC
22.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Metropolitanos FC
1
3
L
16.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Monagas SC
3
2
W
09.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Trujillanos FC
3
1
W
04.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Portuguesa FC
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Atletico Nacional
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Carabobo FC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Metropolitanos FC
1
0
W
12.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Metropolitanos FC
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Carabobo FC
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Carabobo FC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
UCV
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
3
L
04.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Puerto Cabello
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
0
W
18.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Rayo Zuliano
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Zamora FC
2
1
W
07.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Caracas FC
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Metropolitanos FC
0
1
L
Last matches: Caracas FC
21.08.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
1
1
D
15.08.26
Pri
Caracas FC
UCV
1
0
W
10.08.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
2
L
06.08.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Puerto Cabello
1
3
L
03.08.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Rayo Zuliano
2
1
W
20.04.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Zamora FC
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Anzoátegui FC
1
3
L
03.04.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Metropolitanos FC
1
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Monagas SC
1
1
D
17.03.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Trujillanos FC
4
2
W
14.03.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Portuguesa FC
1
1
D
07.03.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Caracas FC
UCV
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
01.02.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
2
D
H2H: Deportivo Tachira FC vs Caracas FC
07.03.26
H2H
Caracas FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
0
1
W
05.11.25
H2H
Caracas FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
0
0
D
22.10.25
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Caracas FC
2
3
L
02.08.25
H2H
Caracas FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
1
D
23.02.25
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Caracas FC
1
0
W
12.11.24
H2H
Caracas FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
0
4
W
29.10.24
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Caracas FC
2
0
W
21.08.24
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Caracas FC
1
1
D
03.03.24
H2H
Caracas FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
0
0
D
25.11.23
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Caracas FC
1
1
D
12.11.23
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Caracas FC
1
1
D
21.10.23
H2H
Caracas FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
0
0
D
23.07.23
H2H
Caracas FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
2
2
D
23.04.23
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Caracas FC
1
1
D
29.07.22
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Caracas FC
0
0
D
Last matches: Deportivo Tachira FC
16.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Monagas SC
3
2
W
04.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Portuguesa FC
1
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
0
W
12.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Metropolitanos FC
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Carabobo FC
3
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Carabobo FC
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
3
L
22.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Zamora FC
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Metropolitanos FC
0
1
L
20.02.26
CON
Deportivo Tachira FC
Deportes Tolima
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Trujillanos FC
0
0
D
11.02.26
CON
Deportivo Tachira FC
The Strongest
1
0
W
29.01.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Anzoátegui FC
3
1
W
H2H at home: Deportivo Tachira FC
22.10.25
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Caracas FC
2
3
L
23.02.25
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Caracas FC
1
0
W
29.10.24
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Caracas FC
2
0
W
21.08.24
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Caracas FC
1
1
D
25.11.23
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Caracas FC
1
1
D
12.11.23
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Caracas FC
1
1
D
23.04.23
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Caracas FC
1
1
D
29.07.22
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Caracas FC
0
0
D
Last matches: Caracas FC
15.08.26
Pri
Caracas FC
UCV
1
0
W
06.08.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Puerto Cabello
1
3
L
20.04.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Zamora FC
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Monagas SC
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Portuguesa FC
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
14.02.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
2
L
01.02.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
2
D
H2H away: Caracas FC
22.10.25
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Caracas FC
2
3
W
23.02.25
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Caracas FC
1
0
L
29.10.24
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Caracas FC
2
0
L
21.08.24
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Caracas FC
1
1
D
25.11.23
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Caracas FC
1
1
D
12.11.23
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Caracas FC
1
1
D
23.04.23
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Caracas FC
1
1
D
29.07.22
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
Caracas FC
0
0
D

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 6 0 15:6 9 27
W D W D W
2 13 7 4 2 17:10 7 25
W W D L W
3 13 7 3 3 17:12 5 24
W D L W W
4 13 7 2 4 24:20 4 23
L D L W L
5 13 5 5 3 20:12 8 20
W D W L D
6 13 6 2 5 21:18 3 20
L W W W L
7 13 4 7 2 23:14 9 19
L W W D D
8 13 4 5 4 16:14 2 17
D W L L D
9 13 4 5 4 14:14 0 17
D D D W W
10 13 3 6 4 15:17 -2 15
W D L W D
11 13 4 2 7 13:23 -10 14
L L L W D
12 13 3 2 8 14:22 -8 11
D L W L D
13 13 2 3 8 15:25 -10 9
D L W L L
14 13 0 4 9 9:26 -17 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)