Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
65.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
65.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.7%
|
- |
Deportivo Riestra
Independiente
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Deportivo Riestra
15 matches
Independiente
15 matches
| Deportivo Riestra | Statistic | Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 6 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 7 | Losses | 3 |
| 4 | Goals For | 26 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 0.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.73 |
| 0.8 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.27 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 0 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 3.29 | Shots On Goal | 4.14 |
| 10.14 | Total Shots | 13.07 |
| 4.21 | Corners | 6 |
| 39.8% | Ball Possession | 53.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Riestra expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Independiente in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Independiente having the stronger overall control. Independiente carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 131 points while Deportivo Riestra sit 20 on 107, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Independiente. Deportivo Riestra have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Deportivo Riestra approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 107 points from 87 matches. Across the season they have posted - wins, - draws, and - defeats, and the 0:0 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Alonso (2 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 87 matches, Independiente have collected 131 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted - wins, - draws, and - losses, while the 0:0 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on G. Avalos (9 goals), M. Abaldo (4 goals), I. Malcorra (1 goals), with creative support from G. Avalos (5 assists), I. Malcorra (3 assists), S. Arias (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Riestra won 2 times, Independiente won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Deportivo Riestra's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.
Deportivo Riestra
4
2
2
2
2
8
Lineups
Deportivo Riestra
Estudiantes L.P.
Deportivo Riestra
Barracas Central
Deportivo Riestra
Defensa Y Justicia
Deportivo Riestra
Boca Juniors
Deportivo Riestra
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
Lanus
Deportivo Riestra
Talleres Cordoba
Deportivo Riestra
Instituto Cordoba
Deportivo Riestra
Union Santa Fe
Deportivo Riestra
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Deportivo Riestra
Gimnasia M.
Deportivo Riestra
Platense
Deportivo Riestra
Velez Sarsfield
Deportivo Riestra
Huracan
Deportivo Riestra
Newells Old Boys
Deportivo Riestra
Estudiantes L.P.
Deportivo Riestra
Deportivo Maipu
Deportivo Riestra
Barracas Central
Deportivo Riestra
Defensa Y Justicia
Independiente
Platense
Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
Independiente
Newells Old Boys
Independiente
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Rosario Central
Independiente
San Lorenzo
Independiente
Defensa Y Justicia
Independiente
Boca Juniors
Independiente
Racing Club
Independiente
Atenas
Independiente
Talleres Cordoba
Independiente
Instituto Cordoba
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Independiente
Gimnasia M.
Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
Independiente
Lanus
Independiente
Platense
Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
Deportivo Riestra
Estudiantes L.P.
Deportivo Riestra
Barracas Central
Deportivo Riestra
Boca Juniors
Deportivo Riestra
Instituto Cordoba
Deportivo Riestra
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
Gimnasia M.
Deportivo Riestra
Platense
Deportivo Riestra
Huracan
Deportivo Riestra
Newells Old Boys
Deportivo Riestra
Deportivo Maipu
Deportivo Riestra
Defensa Y Justicia
Deportivo Riestra
Colegiales
Deportivo Riestra
Defensores Unidos
Deportivo Riestra
Sacachispas
Deportivo Riestra
All Boys
Deportivo Riestra
Barracas Central
Deportivo Riestra
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Riestra
Acassuso
Deportivo Riestra
Atlanta
Deportivo Riestra
Talleres Remedios
Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
Independiente
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Rosario Central
Independiente
San Lorenzo
Independiente
Boca Juniors
Independiente
Instituto Cordoba
Independiente
Gimnasia M.
Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
Independiente
Platense
Independiente
Newells Old Boys
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 5 |
Independiente
Away
|
16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
| 6 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 15 |
Deportivo Riestra
Home
|
16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
W
L
L
W
D
|