COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
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Santiago de las Atalayas

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52%
Odds 2.30
BTTS
No
Probability 71.7%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.65
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52%
2.30
BTTS No
71.7%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.65
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
81.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75
Correct Score 1-0
-
7.00
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Pereira Win 52%
Draw 16.6%
Jaguares Win 31.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Pereira1.12
Jaguares1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira
WWDLW
15 GF / 33 GA
Jaguares Jaguares
WLDWL
21 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
0.71
Average Goals Scored
0.91
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.74
8
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
11
3.19
Shots on Goal
3.35

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 21 matches
Jaguares Jaguares 23 matches
Deportivo Pereira Statistic Jaguares
1 Wins 5
8 Draws 4
12 Losses 14
15 Goals For 21
33 Goals Against 40
0.71 Avg Goals Scored 0.91
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.74
8 BTTS Yes 11
11 Over 1.5 18
8 Over 2.5 11
7 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 4
12 Failed To Score 8
3.19 Shots On Goal 3.35
8.9 Total Shots 10.74
2.33 Corners 3.83
43.6% Ball Possession 43.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Jaguares. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Deportivo Pereira Analysis

Deportivo Pereira approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 10 points from 19 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats with a 15:32 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Jaguares Analysis

Jaguares sit 16 with 18 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 11 defeats with a 20:33 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Pereira won 7 times, Jaguares won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:11 from Deportivo Pereira's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.23 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.4%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Pereira 4-2-3-1 / Jaguares 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Deportivo Pereira wins 7, draws 3, Jaguares wins 3
Last matches: Deportivo Pereira
22.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Alianza Valledupar
0
0
D
01.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Fortaleza FC
0
0
D
24.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Llaneros
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
America de Cali
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Atletico Nacional
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Deportes Tolima
0
2
L
10.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Once Caldas
0
0
D
06.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Alianza Valledupar
2
3
L
02.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Chico
0
1
L
29.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Cali
0
1
L
24.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Cucuta
2
2
D
18.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Internacional de Bogota
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Águilas Doradas
0
1
L
10.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Bucaramanga
0
3
L
27.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Millonarios
1
5
L
21.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Pasto
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Independiente Medellin
1
1
D
09.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
0
1
L
03.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Junior
2
3
L
28.01.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Santa Fe
2
2
D
Last matches: Jaguares
29.08.26
Pri
Jaguares
America de Cali
2
2
D
21.08.26
Pri
Jaguares
Chico
1
0
W
09.08.26
Pri
Jaguares
Once Caldas
1
1
D
05.08.26
Pri
Jaguares
Internacional de Bogota
0
1
L
02.08.26
Pri
Jaguares
Atletico Nacional
0
3
L
25.07.26
Pri
Jaguares
Deportivo Cali
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Jaguares
Cucuta
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Jaguares
Bucaramanga
2
2
D
17.04.26
Pri
Jaguares
Deportivo Pasto
2
3
L
07.04.26
Pri
Jaguares
Atletico Nacional
1
2
L
02.04.26
Pri
Jaguares
Millonarios
1
0
W
28.03.26
Pri
Jaguares
Deportes Tolima
1
3
L
23.03.26
Pri
Jaguares
Águilas Doradas
1
1
D
19.03.26
Pri
Jaguares
Alianza Valledupar
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Jaguares
Independiente Medellin
1
2
L
09.03.26
Pri
Jaguares
Llaneros
0
2
L
05.03.26
Pri
Jaguares
Fortaleza FC
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Jaguares
Junior
0
2
L
23.02.26
Pri
Jaguares
America de Cali
0
3
L
17.02.26
Pri
Jaguares
Santa Fe
3
1
W
H2H: Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares
16.08.26
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
0
0
D
26.05.26
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
1
0
W
09.02.26
H2H
Jaguares
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
L
01.11.24
H2H
Jaguares
Deportivo Pereira
1
2
W
14.04.24
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
0
0
D
19.08.23
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
3
0
W
26.02.23
H2H
Jaguares
Deportivo Pereira
2
0
L
14.08.22
H2H
Jaguares
Deportivo Pereira
1
2
W
16.02.22
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
2
1
W
06.11.21
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
0
0
D
25.02.21
H2H
Jaguares
Deportivo Pereira
2
0
L
19.02.20
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
1
0
W
24.04.19
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
5
1
W
14.03.19
H2H
Jaguares
Deportivo Pereira
2
2
D
Last matches: Deportivo Pereira
25.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Atletico Nacional
1
0
W
10.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Once Caldas
0
0
D
06.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Alianza Valledupar
2
3
L
24.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Cucuta
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Águilas Doradas
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Pasto
2
2
D
03.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Junior
2
3
L
24.01.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Fortaleza FC
0
0
D
16.01.26
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Llaneros
0
2
L
07.11.25
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Independiente Medellin
1
4
L
25.10.25
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Águilas Doradas
1
5
L
15.10.25
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Millonarios
3
2
W
27.09.25
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Union Magdalena
2
2
D
14.09.25
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Llaneros
0
0
D
30.08.25
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Bucaramanga
0
1
L
14.08.25
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
America de Cali
2
1
W
03.08.25
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Once Caldas
2
1
W
23.07.25
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Atletico Nacional
2
1
W
13.07.25
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Santa Fe
2
2
D
23.05.25
Pri
Deportivo Pereira
Internacional de Bogota
3
0
W
H2H at home: Deportivo Pereira
16.08.26
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
0
0
D
26.05.26
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
1
0
W
14.04.24
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
0
0
D
19.08.23
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
3
0
W
16.02.22
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
2
1
W
06.11.21
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
0
0
D
19.02.20
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
1
0
W
24.04.19
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
5
1
W
Last matches: Jaguares
05.08.26
Pri
Jaguares
Internacional de Bogota
0
1
L
25.07.26
Pri
Jaguares
Deportivo Cali
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Jaguares
Bucaramanga
2
2
D
07.04.26
Pri
Jaguares
Atletico Nacional
1
2
L
28.03.26
Pri
Jaguares
Deportes Tolima
1
3
L
19.03.26
Pri
Jaguares
Alianza Valledupar
0
1
L
09.03.26
Pri
Jaguares
Llaneros
0
2
L
05.03.26
Pri
Jaguares
Fortaleza FC
1
2
L
23.02.26
Pri
Jaguares
America de Cali
0
3
L
12.02.26
Pri
Jaguares
Chico
0
5
L
01.02.26
Pri
Jaguares
Once Caldas
1
1
D
19.11.25
Pri
Jaguares
Internacional Palmira
4
1
W
11.11.25
Pri
Jaguares
Cucuta
2
2
D
31.10.25
Pri
Jaguares
Huila
2
2
D
18.10.25
Pri
Jaguares
Patriotas
1
2
L
05.10.25
Pri
Jaguares
Internacional Palmira
0
1
L
21.09.25
Pri
Jaguares
Cucuta
2
1
W
05.09.25
Pri
Jaguares
Leones FC
1
0
W
16.08.25
Pri
Jaguares
Tigres FC
2
1
W
03.08.25
Pri
Jaguares
Depor FC
1
0
W
H2H away: Jaguares
16.08.26
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
0
0
D
26.05.26
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
1
0
L
14.04.24
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
0
0
D
19.08.23
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
3
0
L
16.02.22
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
2
1
L
06.11.21
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
0
0
D
19.02.20
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
1
0
L
24.04.19
H2H
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
5
1
L
Showing odds from: Bet365
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 3.20
Home 2.30
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.05
Home 3.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.30
Home 2.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.36
Over 2.5 2.20
Over 3.5 4.00
Over 4.5 9.00
Over 5.5 19.00
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 0.5 8.00
Under 1.5 3.00
Under 2.5 1.65
Under 3.5 1.22
Under 4.5 1.07
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W W L W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
D L D L L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L L L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
D W D W W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
D D L D W
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
D W L W W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
D D W D L
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D D D L W
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
L D W L W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W D W W L
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L W W W L
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D D W W W
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
D W D D W
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L W D W D
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D L W L D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D W D L L
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L L D L L
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
D L L L W
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
W W D L D
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D D L L W
Post season qualification