ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
11.07.2026 18:00
Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano
Deportivo Moron
Match Timeline
Deportivo Madryn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
G. Berterame ↔ F. Toloza
Deportivo Moron
🟨
48'
J. Cosi
Deportivo Madryn
53'
M. Burruchaga · Assist: J. Olivares
Deportivo Moron
🔄
60'
A. Sosa ↔ A. Dionisio
Deportivo Madryn
🔄
60'
L. Marinucci ↔ G. Gudino
Deportivo Madryn
🔄
60'
M. Meli ↔ C. Machado
Deportivo Madryn
🔄
60'
J. Cosi ↔ N. Servetto
Deportivo Madryn
64'
F. Fagundez · Assist: F. Toloza
Deportivo Moron
🔄
68'
J. Olivares ↔ E. Contreras
Deportivo Moron
🔄
68'
J. Esquivel ↔ E. Franco
Deportivo Moron
70'
C. Machado
Deportivo Madryn
🔄
84'
S. Kubiszyn ↔ M. Gonzalez
Deportivo Moron
🔄
84'
L. Silba ↔ J. Peinipil
Deportivo Madryn
85'
G. Gudino · Assist: J. Peinipil
Deportivo Madryn
🔄
86'
M. Burruchaga ↔ M. Levato
Deportivo Moron
🟨
90+2'
F. Giacopuzzi
Deportivo Madryn

Deportivo Moron vs Deportivo Madryn Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
83.3%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Moron Win 48.7%
Draw 16.7%
Deportivo Madryn Win 34.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Moron1.27
Deportivo Madryn1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron
WWDLW
29 GF / 19 GA
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn
WLDWL
25 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
10
BTTS Yes
12
9
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 21 matches
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 20 matches
Deportivo Moron Statistic Deportivo Madryn
11 Wins 7
4 Draws 7
6 Losses 6
29 Goals For 25
19 Goals Against 22
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
10 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 11
3 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo Madryn. Deportivo Moron come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Madryn having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Deportivo Moron Analysis

Deportivo Moron come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 34 points after 18 matches. The return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 26:15, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Deportivo Madryn Analysis

Placed 5 with 28 points from 18 outings, Deportivo Madryn continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 24:18 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Moron won 2 times, Deportivo Madryn won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from Deportivo Moron's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.29 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.3%)
H2H summary: Deportivo Moron wins 2, draws 4, Deportivo Madryn wins 1

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 17 7 6 35:25 10 58
W D D D W
2 29 16 7 6 47:27 20 55
W W W D D
3 29 14 7 8 36:25 11 49
W W W L W
4 29 12 10 7 42:28 14 46
L W L W W
5 29 12 10 7 23:16 7 46
D D W W L
6 29 12 9 8 35:25 10 45
L L L W W
7 30 11 9 10 27:25 2 42
W W L D L
8 30 9 12 9 24:27 -3 39
L D L W D
9 29 8 13 8 22:17 5 37
D D D D L
10 29 9 8 12 26:34 -8 35
L L W D D
11 29 8 9 12 26:29 -3 33
D W D W W
12 29 7 12 10 22:26 -4 33
W D W L L
13 30 6 14 10 17:26 -9 32
D L W D L
14 30 6 14 10 27:37 -10 32
L D D D L
15 29 6 13 10 19:27 -8 31
D D D D W
16 30 6 13 11 24:34 -10 31
D D L L L
17 30 7 10 13 23:34 -11 31
L W D L W
18 30 6 8 16 21:34 -13 26
W L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation