SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
20.09.2026 14:30
Stora Valla

Degerfors IF vs Hammarby FF Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 50.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 66.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
50.2%
-
BTTS Yes
66.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Degerfors IF Win 33%
Draw 16.9%
Hammarby FF Win 50.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Degerfors IF1.17
Hammarby FF1.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF
WWDLW
34 GF / 46 GA
Hammarby FF Hammarby FF
WLDWL
65 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
2.03
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
15
BTTS Yes
19
16
Over 2.5
18
3.19
Shots on Goal
7.16

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Degerfors IF Degerfors IF 29 matches
Hammarby FF Hammarby FF 32 matches
Degerfors IF Statistic Hammarby FF
9 Wins 15
5 Draws 9
15 Losses 8
34 Goals For 65
46 Goals Against 37
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 2.03
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.16
15 BTTS Yes 19
25 Over 1.5 28
16 Over 2.5 18
6 Over 3.5 12
4 Clean Sheets 10
10 Failed To Score 5
3.19 Shots On Goal 7.16
11.24 Total Shots 18.4
4.86 Corners 6.2
46.8% Ball Possession 53.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Hammarby FF's more proactive style and Degerfors IF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Hammarby FF. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Degerfors IF expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Hammarby FF in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Hammarby FF having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Hammarby FF carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 37 points while Degerfors IF sit 14 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Degerfors IF Analysis

With 19 points from 20 games and a place of 14, Degerfors IF still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 19:31, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through D. Vukojević (4 goals), Marcus Rafferty (2 goals), Arman Taranis (2 goals), with creative support from N. Girmai Netabay (3 assists), D. Sundgren (3 assists), D. Vukojević (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Hammarby FF Analysis

Hammarby FF approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 37 points after 20 outings. The return of 11 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 45:19, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through P. Abraham (11 goals), V. Lind (8 goals), N. Besara (5 goals), with creative support from V. Lind (8 assists), N. Besara (5 assists), P. Abraham (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Degerfors IF won 0 times, Hammarby FF won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:26 from Degerfors IF's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.1%)
Predicted formations: Degerfors IF 4-4-2 / Hammarby FF 4-3-3
H2H summary: Degerfors IF wins 0, draws 2, Hammarby FF wins 7

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 15 3 3 50:27 23 48
W W L L L
2 21 13 2 6 46:19 27 41
W W W W W
3 21 12 4 5 48:20 28 40
W D L W W
4 21 9 7 5 29:21 8 34
W L W D W
5 21 10 3 8 37:31 6 33
W D W L W
6 21 8 9 4 34:30 4 33
D D L W W
7 20 9 5 6 29:31 -2 32
L D W W W
8 21 9 5 7 32:35 -3 32
W L W D L
9 21 8 5 8 30:41 -11 29
W W W D L
10 21 7 6 8 25:20 5 27
L D W L L
11 21 7 6 8 30:35 -5 27
L W L W W
12 20 5 6 9 26:34 -8 21
D L L L W
13 21 5 4 12 21:31 -10 19
L L L D L
14 21 5 4 12 19:33 -14 19
L W L L W
15 21 3 6 12 24:47 -23 15
L D L D L
16 21 2 5 14 14:39 -25 11
L L W D L
Qualifying
Qualifying
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Relegation