ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
23.08.2026 18:30
Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti
Deportivo Maipu
Match Timeline
Quilmes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
A. Kippes
Quilmes
🟨
42'
L. Romeo
Quilmes
🟨
44'
R. Martinez
Quilmes
50'
L. Cabrera · Assist: F. Saccone
Deportivo Maipu
🟨
53'
A. Ortega
Quilmes
🔄
55'
L. Romeo ↔ J. Novillo
Quilmes
🔄
55'
R. Martinez ↔ A. Lavezzi
Quilmes
🟨
63'
J. Gobetto
Deportivo Maipu
🔄
65'
L. Cabrera ↔ J. Giacone
Deportivo Maipu
🔄
66'
G. Vega ↔ T. Ortega
Quilmes
🔄
76'
U. Vera ↔ N. Colazo
Quilmes
🔄
76'
A. Spetale ↔ P. Bonacci
Quilmes
🟨
80'
N. Colazo
Quilmes
🔄
82'
T. Silva ↔ N. Fernandez
Deportivo Maipu
🔄
82'
M. Bonfigli ↔ A. Vera
Deportivo Maipu
🟨
87'
P. Bonacci
Quilmes
🔄
89'
J. Gobetto ↔ T. Ferreyra
Deportivo Maipu

Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.3%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Maipu Win 69.3%
Draw 6.7%
Quilmes Win 24%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Maipu1.09
Quilmes1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu
WWDLW
34 GF / 28 GA
Quilmes Quilmes
WLDWL
27 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
0.84
12
BTTS Yes
7
12
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 27 matches
Quilmes Quilmes 25 matches
Deportivo Maipu Statistic Quilmes
11 Wins 8
5 Draws 8
11 Losses 9
34 Goals For 27
28 Goals Against 21
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 0.84
12 BTTS Yes 7
15 Over 1.5 12
12 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 3
8 Clean Sheets 11
10 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Quilmes having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Quilmes. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Deportivo Maipu Analysis

From their first 24 matches, Deportivo Maipu have collected 32 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 31:26 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Quilmes Analysis

Quilmes are currently 12 in the standings with 29 points from 24 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, while the 24:21 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Maipu won 5 times, Quilmes won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:11 from Deportivo Maipu's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.09 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.3%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Maipu 4-2-3-1 / Quilmes -
H2H summary: Deportivo Maipu wins 5, draws 2, Quilmes wins 4

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 14 11 4 31:15 16 53
D D W L W
2 30 14 11 5 36:24 12 53
W D W W W
3 30 15 8 7 45:36 9 53
D W W D D
4 29 15 3 11 34:28 6 48
W W L L W
5 30 13 8 9 34:25 9 47
W W L L W
6 30 12 9 9 33:27 6 45
W D L W W
7 30 12 9 9 31:27 4 45
L D W W L
8 30 11 9 10 25:26 -1 42
W L L W D
9 30 11 8 11 37:31 6 41
D D D L W
10 30 11 7 12 29:30 -1 40
L W L W W
11 30 9 12 9 32:30 2 39
L W L D W
12 30 9 9 12 26:34 -8 36
W L W D L
13 30 9 8 13 28:27 1 35
L W L L L
14 30 9 8 13 26:36 -10 35
L D L W D
15 29 8 8 13 21:28 -7 32
L W L L L
16 29 5 15 9 23:30 -7 30
D D L W D
17 30 8 6 16 22:31 -9 30
W L L L L
18 30 5 8 17 23:51 -28 23
L L L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation