ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
06.09.2026 19:00
Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti
Deportivo Maipu
Match Timeline
Patronato
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
S. Paulini
Deportivo Maipu
🟨
32'
F. Heredia
Patronato
🔄
46'
B. Bravo ↔ H. Rivero
Patronato
🔄
54'
L. Cabrera ↔ M. Viguet
Deportivo Maipu
🔄
59'
D. Diaz ↔ J. Barolin
Patronato
🔄
64'
T. Silva ↔ D. Yavante Gaitan
Deportivo Maipu
🔄
64'
J. Vera ↔ J. Giacone
Deportivo Maipu
🔄
77'
F. Heredia ↔ F. Evangelista
Patronato
🔄
77'
J. Salas ↔ G. Salega
Patronato
🟨
80'
A. Sosa
Patronato
🔄
84'
G. Diaz ↔ F. N. Diaz
Patronato
🔄
89'
J. de la Reta ↔ N. Fernandez
Deportivo Maipu
🔄
89'
M. Bonfigli ↔ B. Orosco
Deportivo Maipu

Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.3%
Odds 2.06
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.69
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.3%
2.06
BTTS Yes
75%
2.20
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.69
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.36
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Maipu Win 78.3%
Draw 4.9%
Patronato Win 16.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Maipu1.17
Patronato0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu
WWDLW
35 GF / 29 GA
Patronato Patronato
WLDWL
23 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
0.85
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
12
BTTS Yes
10
12
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 29 matches
Patronato Patronato 27 matches
Deportivo Maipu Statistic Patronato
12 Wins 5
5 Draws 13
12 Losses 9
35 Goals For 23
29 Goals Against 30
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 0.85
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
12 BTTS Yes 10
15 Over 1.5 17
12 Over 2.5 7
7 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 9
11 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Deportivo Maipu's more proactive style and Patronato's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Patronato having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Deportivo Maipu arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 38 points compared to Patronato in 16 on 28, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Patronato.

Deportivo Maipu Analysis

Deportivo Maipu sit 6 with 38 points after 26 league matches. The record of 11 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 34:27 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Patronato Analysis

With 28 points from 26 games and a place of 16, Patronato still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 13 draws, and 8 defeats with a 23:29 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Maipu won 2 times, Patronato won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from Deportivo Maipu's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Maipu 4-2-3-1 / Patronato -
H2H summary: Deportivo Maipu wins 2, draws 2, Patronato wins 1

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 14 12 4 31:15 16 54
D D D W L
2 30 14 11 5 36:24 12 53
W D W W W
3 30 15 8 7 45:36 9 53
D W W D D
4 30 15 4 11 34:28 6 49
D W W L L
5 30 13 8 9 34:25 9 47
W W L L W
6 30 12 9 9 33:27 6 45
W D L W W
7 30 12 9 9 31:27 4 45
L D W W L
8 30 11 9 10 25:26 -1 42
W L L W D
9 30 11 8 11 37:31 6 41
D D D L W
10 30 11 7 12 29:30 -1 40
L W L W W
11 30 9 12 9 32:30 2 39
L W L D W
12 30 9 9 12 26:34 -8 36
W L W D L
13 30 9 8 13 28:27 1 35
L W L L L
14 30 9 8 13 26:36 -10 35
L D L W D
15 29 8 8 13 21:28 -7 32
L W L L L
16 29 5 15 9 23:30 -7 30
D D L W D
17 30 8 6 16 22:31 -9 30
W L L L L
18 30 5 8 17 23:51 -28 23
L L L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation