ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Abel Sastre
Deportivo Madryn
Match Timeline
Atletico Mitre
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
J. Peinipil · Assist: N. Solis
Deportivo Madryn
🟨
16'
F. Cabral
Atletico Mitre
🟥
45+3'
D. Abello
Atletico Mitre
🔄
46'
L. Marinucci ↔ C. Machado
Deportivo Madryn
🔄
46'
F. Cabral ↔ G. Herdt
Atletico Mitre
🔄
46'
R. Gonzalez ↔ S. Rosales
Atletico Mitre
46'
N. Solis
Deportivo Madryn
61'
L. Silba · Assist: F. Recalde
Deportivo Madryn
🔄
62'
M. Meli ↔ J. Cosi
Deportivo Madryn
🔄
62'
N. Solis ↔ F. Bersano
Deportivo Madryn
🔄
62'
L. Silba ↔ N. Servetto
Deportivo Madryn
64'
F. Giacopuzzi · Assist: D. Martinez
Deportivo Madryn
🔄
68'
F. Giacopuzzi ↔ N. D. Ortiz
Deportivo Madryn
🔄
79'
P. Minissale ↔ L. Correa
Atletico Mitre
🔄
79'
M. Machado ↔ B. Mieres
Atletico Mitre

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.9%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.9%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 3-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Madryn Win 67.9%
Draw 6%
Atletico Mitre Win 26.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Madryn1.23
Atletico Mitre1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn
WWDLW
32 GF / 26 GA
Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre
WLDWL
25 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
14
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 25 matches
Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre 25 matches
Deportivo Madryn Statistic Atletico Mitre
9 Wins 6
10 Draws 11
6 Losses 8
32 Goals For 25
26 Goals Against 29
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.16
14 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 18
13 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 9
8 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Deportivo Madryn's more proactive style and Atletico Mitre's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atletico Mitre having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atletico Mitre. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Deportivo Madryn Analysis

Deportivo Madryn are currently 6 in the standings with 36 points from 23 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses, while the 30:22 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Atletico Mitre Analysis

Atletico Mitre are currently 11 in the standings with 28 points from 24 matches. The record of 6 wins, 10 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 24:28 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Madryn won 3 times, Atletico Mitre won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:10 from Deportivo Madryn's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.22 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94%)
H2H summary: Deportivo Madryn wins 3, draws 1, Atletico Mitre wins 5

Lineups

Deportivo Madryn
Formation
Atletico Mitre
Y. Bonnin
Y. Bonnin
A. Dionisio
A. Dionisio
F. Giacopuzzi
F. Giacopuzzi
C. Corvalan
C. Corvalan
D. Martinez
🎯
D. Martinez
L. Marinucci
L. Marinucci
F. Recalde
🎯
F. Recalde
M. Meli
M. Meli
N. Solis
🎯
N. Solis
L. Silba
L. Silba
J. Peinipil
J. Peinipil
I. Pietrobono
I. Pietrobono
P. Minissale
P. Minissale
Y. Cabral
Y. Cabral
D. Abello
D. Abello
F. Ferrari
F. Ferrari
M. Vazquez
M. Vazquez
J. Alessandroni
J. Alessandroni
E. Avaro
E. Avaro
F. Cabral
F. Cabral
M. Machado
M. Machado
R. Gonzalez
R. Gonzalez
Deportivo Madryn 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Y. Bonnin
4
A. Dionisio
2
F. Giacopuzzi
⚽ 64' ↓ 68'
6
C. Corvalan
3
D. Martinez
🎯 64'
7
L. Marinucci
↓ 46'
5
F. Recalde
🎯 61'
8
M. Meli
↓ 62'
10
N. Solis
⚽ 46' 🎯 14' ↓ 62'
9
L. Silba
⚽ 61' ↓ 62'
11
J. Peinipil
⚽ 14'
Substitutes
12
M. Montero
13
A. Gutierrez
14
N. D. Ortiz
↑ 68'
19
J. Cosi
↑ 62'
18
L. Diarte
15
E. Jara
16
F. Bersano
↑ 62'
17
C. Machado
↑ 46'
20
N. Servetto
↑ 62'
Atletico Mitre 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
I. Pietrobono
4
P. Minissale
↓ 79'
2
Y. Cabral
6
D. Abello
🟥 45+3'
3
F. Ferrari
8
M. Vazquez
5
J. Alessandroni
10
E. Avaro
7
F. Cabral
↓ 46' 🟨 16'
9
M. Machado
↓ 79'
11
R. Gonzalez
↓ 46'
Substitutes
14
L. Correa
↑ 79'
16
M. Ferrari
12
J. Ledesma
13
G. Herdt
↑ 46'
17
A. Lopez
19
L. Mendoza
15
B. Mieres
↑ 79'
18
S. Rosales
↑ 46'
20
J. Zarate
Last matches: Deportivo Madryn
25.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Godoy Cruz
2
0
W
16.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
San Martin Tucuman
2
2
D
08.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
CA Estudiantes
1
0
W
02.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
All Boys
2
0
W
26.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Los Andes
0
0
D
11.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Deportivo Moron
2
2
D
05.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Colon Santa Fe
1
2
L
21.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Los Andes
2
1
W
14.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
San Miguel
2
2
D
07.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
San Telmo
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Acassuso
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Chaco For Ever
2
1
W
17.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Central Norte
3
2
W
03.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Racing Cordoba
2
2
D
26.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Defensores De Belgrano
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Almirante Brown
2
1
W
05.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Atletico Mitre
3
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
San Martin Tucuman
1
1
D
Last matches: Atletico Mitre
15.08.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Club Atlético Güemes
1
1
D
09.08.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Defensores De Belgrano
2
1
W
02.08.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Ciudad de Bolívar
2
0
W
26.07.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
17.07.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Racing Cordoba
1
0
W
11.07.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
CA Estudiantes
0
3
L
05.07.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
All Boys
1
1
D
21.06.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Almirante Brown
1
3
L
14.06.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Los Andes
0
3
L
07.06.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Godoy Cruz
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Deportivo Moron
1
3
L
24.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Colon Santa Fe
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
San Miguel
4
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
San Telmo
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Acassuso
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Chaco For Ever
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Central Norte
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Deportivo Madryn
1
3
L
29.03.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Club Atlético Güemes
2
2
D
H2H: Deportivo Madryn vs Atletico Mitre
21.08.26
H2H
Deportivo Madryn
Atletico Mitre
4
0
W
05.04.26
H2H
Atletico Mitre
Deportivo Madryn
1
3
W
06.07.24
H2H
Deportivo Madryn
Atletico Mitre
1
0
W
18.02.24
H2H
Atletico Mitre
Deportivo Madryn
1
0
L
15.10.23
H2H
Deportivo Madryn
Atletico Mitre
0
2
L
05.06.23
H2H
Atletico Mitre
Deportivo Madryn
1
0
L
25.09.22
H2H
Atletico Mitre
Deportivo Madryn
1
0
L
22.11.14
H2H
Atletico Mitre
Deportivo Madryn
3
1
L
16.11.14
H2H
Deportivo Madryn
Atletico Mitre
1
1
D
Last matches: Deportivo Madryn
25.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Godoy Cruz
2
0
W
02.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
All Boys
2
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Colon Santa Fe
1
2
L
21.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Los Andes
2
1
W
14.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
San Miguel
2
2
D
31.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Acassuso
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Defensores De Belgrano
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Almirante Brown
2
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
San Martin Tucuman
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
CA Estudiantes
3
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Deportivo Moron
1
1
D
H2H at home: Deportivo Madryn
21.08.26
H2H
Deportivo Madryn
Atletico Mitre
4
0
W
06.07.24
H2H
Deportivo Madryn
Atletico Mitre
1
0
W
15.10.23
H2H
Deportivo Madryn
Atletico Mitre
0
2
L
16.11.14
H2H
Deportivo Madryn
Atletico Mitre
1
1
D
Last matches: Atletico Mitre
02.08.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Ciudad de Bolívar
2
0
W
11.07.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
CA Estudiantes
0
3
L
21.06.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Almirante Brown
1
3
L
07.06.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Godoy Cruz
1
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Colon Santa Fe
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
San Telmo
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Chaco For Ever
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Central Norte
1
1
D
29.03.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Club Atlético Güemes
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Defensores De Belgrano
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Racing Cordoba
0
0
D
14.02.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
All Boys
1
2
L
H2H away: Atletico Mitre
21.08.26
H2H
Deportivo Madryn
Atletico Mitre
4
0
L
06.07.24
H2H
Deportivo Madryn
Atletico Mitre
1
0
L
15.10.23
H2H
Deportivo Madryn
Atletico Mitre
0
2
W
16.11.14
H2H
Deportivo Madryn
Atletico Mitre
1
1
D

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 16 4 6 32:23 9 52
W W W L L
2 25 13 6 6 41:24 17 45
D W W L W
3 26 12 9 5 34:20 14 45
W W W D L
4 26 11 8 7 22:16 6 41
W L W W D
5 25 10 10 5 36:24 12 40
W D W W D
6 25 11 7 7 29:22 7 40
W L W W W
7 26 9 8 9 23:22 1 35
L W L D L
8 26 8 11 7 22:23 -1 35
D L L L W
9 25 8 9 8 20:15 5 33
L L L L D
10 26 8 8 10 24:29 -5 32
D D W L W
11 25 6 11 8 20:25 -5 29
L W L L D
12 26 6 11 9 25:33 -8 29
L D W W D
13 25 6 9 10 17:25 -8 27
W D D W L
14 26 5 12 9 15:24 -9 27
L W D L D
15 25 5 11 9 16:23 -7 26
L D L D D
16 25 6 7 12 22:29 -7 25
W L L W W
17 25 5 9 11 20:29 -9 24
D L L W L
18 25 5 7 13 18:30 -12 22
L D L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation