VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
06.09.2026 20:00

Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
77.2%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo La Guaira Win 51.9%
Draw 25.2%
UCV Win 22.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo La Guaira1.4
UCV1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira
WWDLW
45 GF / 37 GA
UCV UCV
WLDWL
49 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
21
BTTS Yes
20
13
Over 2.5
20
3.17
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 34 matches
UCV UCV 34 matches
Deportivo La Guaira Statistic UCV
12 Wins 13
14 Draws 7
8 Losses 14
45 Goals For 49
37 Goals Against 52
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
21 BTTS Yes 20
25 Over 1.5 29
13 Over 2.5 20
7 Over 3.5 11
12 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 10
3.17 Shots On Goal 3.5
8.67 Total Shots 10.83
3.5 Corners 1.5
43% Ball Possession 38.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward UCV having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors UCV. UCV arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Deportivo La Guaira Analysis

Deportivo La Guaira come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 27 points after 13 matches. They have recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 0 losses, with a 15:6 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

UCV Analysis

With 23 points from 13 games and a place of 4, UCV still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 24:20 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo La Guaira won 4 times, UCV won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:16 from Deportivo La Guaira's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (77.2%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo La Guaira 4-3-3 / UCV 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Deportivo La Guaira wins 4, draws 6, UCV wins 5

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 14 5 3 35:18 17 47
W W W D W
2 22 12 7 3 34:17 17 43
L W D L W
3 22 13 4 5 36:23 13 43
L W W D L
4 22 10 5 7 31:27 4 35
W L D W D
5 22 8 10 4 31:21 10 34
D D D D D
6
UCV Away
22 10 4 8 34:30 4 34
W D D W L
7 22 8 9 5 33:21 12 33
W W L D D
8 22 8 8 6 28:21 7 32
L D D W D
9 21 5 10 6 23:26 -3 25
W D D D W
10 22 6 7 9 23:31 -8 25
L D L D W
11 22 6 3 13 25:43 -18 21
D L W L L
12 21 5 3 13 23:34 -11 18
L W L D L
13 22 3 5 14 18:39 -21 14
W L L W D
14 22 3 4 15 20:43 -23 13
L L L L D
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2