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VENEZUELA › PRIMERA DIVISIóN
25.10.2026 23:30
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV

Deportivo La Guaira vs Metropolitanos FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 75.2%
Odds 3.38
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.01
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
75.2%
3.38 ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.73 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.01 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.54 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Deportivo La Guaira Win 19.5%
Draw 5.3%
Metropolitanos FC Win 75.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo La Guaira1.1
Metropolitanos FC1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira
L D L L L
3 GF / 9 GA
Metropolitanos FC Metropolitanos FC
D W W W W
14 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
23
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
14
3.17
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 40 matches
Metropolitanos FC Metropolitanos FC 32 matches
Deportivo La Guaira Statistic Metropolitanos FC
13 Wins 19
15 Draws 8
12 Losses 5
50 Goals For 52
46 Goals Against 28
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
23 BTTS Yes 15
29 Over 1.5 21
15 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 10
14 Clean Sheets 14
9 Failed To Score 5
3.17 Shots On Goal 0
8.67 Total Shots 0
3.5 Corners 0
43% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo La Guaira expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Metropolitanos FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Metropolitanos FC having the stronger overall control. Metropolitanos FC look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Metropolitanos FC. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Deportivo La Guaira Analysis

With 44 points from 26 games and a place of 3, Deportivo La Guaira still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 37:24, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Metropolitanos FC Analysis

Metropolitanos FC approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 57 points after 26 outings. With 17 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 47:21, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, which underlines an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo La Guaira won 2 times, Metropolitanos FC won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:6 from Deportivo La Guaira's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo La Guaira 4-3-3 / Metropolitanos FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Deportivo La Guaira wins 2, draws 2, Metropolitanos FC wins 1

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 17 6 3 47:21 26 57
D W W W W
2 26 15 6 5 47:29 18 51
D W W D L
3 26 12 8 6 37:24 13 44
L D L L L
4 26 10 11 5 38:24 14 41
D W D W W
5 26 10 10 6 35:26 9 40
D W W D L
6 26 9 12 5 34:24 10 39
D D L W D
7 26 11 6 9 37:35 2 39
D L D W W
8 26 10 7 9 36:34 2 37
D L D L W
9 26 7 11 8 30:33 -3 32
W W D L L
10 26 8 5 13 31:39 -8 29
D W D W W
11 26 6 7 13 26:41 -15 25
L L L L L
12 26 7 4 15 31:52 -21 25
L L D W D
13 26 4 6 16 23:46 -23 18
W L D L W
14 26 4 5 17 23:47 -24 17
W L D L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2