Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
82.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
86.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
78.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Deportivo Garcilaso
UTC Cajamarca
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Deportivo Garcilaso
14 matches
UTC Cajamarca
16 matches
| Deportivo Garcilaso | Statistic | UTC Cajamarca |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 5 | Losses | 6 |
| 15 | Goals For | 21 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.31 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.14 | Shots On Goal | 4.64 |
| 12.21 | Total Shots | 12.21 |
| 3.86 | Corners | 4.29 |
| 47.8% | Ball Possession | 50% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring UTC Cajamarca. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Garcilaso expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and UTC Cajamarca in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward UTC Cajamarca having the stronger overall control. UTC Cajamarca arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Deportivo Garcilaso sit 8 with 19 points after 14 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, while the 15:17 goal ratio supports the view of good form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on B. Da Silva (5 goals), C. Olivares (3 goals), A. Ascues (2 goals), with creative support from B. Da Silva (3 assists), Kevin Sandoval (2 assists), Agustín González (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 16 points from 14 games and a place of 13, UTC Cajamarca still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats with a 19:22 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Marlon de Jesús (4 goals), D. Camacho (3 goals), A. Arroyo (2 goals), with creative support from M. Rasmussen (3 assists), A. Munoz (2 assists), M. Lliuya (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Garcilaso won 2 times, UTC Cajamarca won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:5 from Deportivo Garcilaso's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.57 goals per game.
Deportivo Garcilaso
5
3
5
4
2
3
Lineups
Deportivo Garcilaso
Juan Pablo II College
Deportivo Garcilaso
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Atletico
Deportivo Garcilaso
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Deportivo Garcilaso
FBC Melgar
Deportivo Garcilaso
Universitario
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Huancayo
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Boys
Deportivo Garcilaso
Atletico Grau
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Lima
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cusco
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
ADT
Deportivo Garcilaso
FC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sporting Cristal
UTC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
Cienciano
UTC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
UTC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
UTC Cajamarca
Universitario
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
Cusco
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
Juan Pablo II College
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Atletico
Deportivo Garcilaso
FBC Melgar
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Boys
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Lima
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
ADT
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sporting Cristal
UTC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
UTC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
UTC Cajamarca
Universitario
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 7 |
Deportivo Garcilaso
Home
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
| 8 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 |
UTC Cajamarca
Away
|
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
L
D
L
L
L
|