PERU › PRIMERA DIVISIóN

28.04.2026 00:00

Deportivo Garcilaso

1 - 0

FBC Melgar

Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega

Referee: B. Santos

Deportivo Garcilaso

Match Timeline

FBC Melgar

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Deportivo Garcilaso vs FBC Melgar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 56.6%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Probability 84.7%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 59.2%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	56.6%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS Yes	84.7%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	59.2%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	68.9%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Deportivo Garcilaso Win 56.6%

Draw 12.1%

FBC Melgar Win 31.3%

Expected Goals (xG)

Deportivo Garcilaso1.14

FBC Melgar1.61

Recent Form (Last 5)

Deportivo Garcilaso

WWDLW

11 GF / 16 GA

FBC Melgar

WLDWL

24 GF / 19 GA

Key Stats

Average Goals Scored

1.71

1.45

Average Goals Conceded

1.36

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.18

Shots on Goal

3.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Garcilaso 11 matches

FBC Melgar 14 matches

Deportivo Garcilaso	Statistic	FBC Melgar
2	Wins	7
4	Draws	2
5	Losses	5
11	Goals For	24
16	Goals Against	19
1	Avg Goals Scored	1.71
1.45	Avg Goals Conceded	1.36
7	BTTS Yes	10
7	Over 1.5	13
4	Over 2.5	10
3	Over 3.5	6
2	Clean Sheets	4
3	Failed To Score	1
4.18	Shots On Goal	3.82
12.73	Total Shots	12.45
3.64	Corners	4.82
48.8%	Ball Possession	50.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Garcilaso won 3 times, FBC Melgar won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:10 from Deportivo Garcilaso's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (87.9%)

Predicted formations: Deportivo Garcilaso 4-1-4-1 / FBC Melgar 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: Deportivo Garcilaso wins 3, draws 3, FBC Melgar wins 1

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Alianza Lima	17	12	4	1	30:8	22	40	D W W D W
2	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	17	10	4	3	25:21	4	34	D L W D L
3	Cienciano	17	10	3	4	34:22	12	33	W D L W W
4	Universitario	17	8	5	4	24:15	9	29	W D L D W
5	FBC Melgar Away	17	8	4	5	29:20	9	28	W D W D W
6	Cusco	17	8	3	6	21:24	-3	27	W W L D D
7	Deportivo Garcilaso Home	17	7	5	5	21:18	3	26	W D W W W
8	Alianza Atletico	17	5	6	6	20:18	2	21	L D W L W
9	Comerciantes Unidos	17	5	6	6	18:20	-2	21	L D L D L
10	ADT	17	5	5	7	22:21	1	20	L L W D W
11	Sport Boys	17	5	5	7	15:19	-4	20	W D W D L
12	Sporting Cristal	17	5	4	8	28:30	-2	19	L W L D D
13	UTC Cajamarca	17	4	6	7	21:26	-5	18	D D L L L
14	UCV Moquegua	17	5	3	9	17:24	-7	18	L D L D L
15	FC Cajamarca	17	4	5	8	23:28	-5	17	D D W W W
16	Atletico Grau	17	4	4	9	12:18	-6	16	W L W L L
17	Sport Huancayo	17	4	4	9	21:31	-10	16	L D L W L
18	Juan Pablo II College	17	4	4	9	22:40	-18	16	L D L L L

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