Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atletico Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
67.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Atletico
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Deportivo Garcilaso
13 matches
Alianza Atletico
14 matches
| Deportivo Garcilaso | Statistic | Alianza Atletico |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 5 | Losses | 5 |
| 13 | Goals For | 15 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.07 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.92 | Shots On Goal | 4.54 |
| 12.08 | Total Shots | 12.38 |
| 3.62 | Corners | 3.15 |
| 47.2% | Ball Possession | 46.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Alianza Atletico's more proactive style and Deportivo Garcilaso's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Alianza Atletico. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Garcilaso expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Alianza Atletico in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Alianza Atletico having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
So far, Deportivo Garcilaso have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 16 points from 13 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, while the 13:16 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on B. Da Silva (5 goals), A. Salazar (2 goals), C. Olivares (2 goals), with creative support from B. Da Silva (3 assists), Kevin Sandoval (2 assists), Agustín González (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Alianza Atletico are currently 8 in the standings with 17 points from 13 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, while the 15:12 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Franco Coronel (3 goals), V. Robaldo (3 goals), C. Penilla (2 goals), with creative support from Franco Coronel (2 assists), C. Penilla (2 assists), F. Flores (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Garcilaso won 2 times, Alianza Atletico won 6 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:16 from Deportivo Garcilaso's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.88 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42:18 | 24 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:27 | 16 | 49 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 44:28 | 16 | 45 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
Deportivo Garcilaso
Home
|
26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:24 | 11 | 45 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
| 5 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35:44 | -9 | 41 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | 7 | 40 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Alianza Atletico
Away
|
26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:34 | 4 | 37 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
| 9 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | 3 | 37 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 45:39 | 6 | 35 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34:42 | -8 | 32 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:52 | -14 | 31 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 30 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 40:50 | -10 | 27 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 22 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|