ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Alejandro Serrano Aguilar
Referee: Parra Leon Patricio Javier, Ecuador
Deportivo Cuenca
Match Timeline
Tecnico Universitario
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
M. Klimowicz · Assist: D. Gonzalez
Deportivo Cuenca
🟨
27'
David González
Deportivo Cuenca
34'
J. Anaya · Assist: M. Castano
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
36'
S. Morocho ↔ J. Ordonez
Deportivo Cuenca
🟨
42'
Johan Bocanegra
Tecnico Universitario
🟨
45+2'
Jonathan Majao
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
46'
D. Gonzalez ↔ M. Diaz
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
46'
E. Guevara ↔ I. Mosquera
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
46'
E. Vega ↔ B. Garcia
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
46'
M. Klimowicz ↔ J. Mejia
Deportivo Cuenca
🟥
67'
Miguel Perea
Tecnico Universitario
VAR
70'
Jeremy Mejia
Deportivo Cuenca
73'
J. Ordonez
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
79'
Johan Bocanegra ↔ J. Caicedo
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
79'
J. Montes ↔ W. Caicedo
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
84'
J. Majao ↔ B. Delgado
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
84'
L. Estupinan ↔ A. Castillo
Tecnico Universitario
🟨
85'
Mateo Maccari
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
89'
E. E. Mesa Mercado ↔ L. Fernandez
Tecnico Universitario

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 43.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 52.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
43.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
52.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Cuenca Win 48.4%
Draw 18.6%
Tecnico Universitario Win 33.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Cuenca1.14
Tecnico Universitario0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca
WWDLW
16 GF / 17 GA
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario
WLDWL
8 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
0.67
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1
8
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
2
3.55
Shots on Goal
4.09

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 13 matches
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 12 matches
Deportivo Cuenca Statistic Tecnico Universitario
6 Wins 3
2 Draws 2
5 Losses 7
16 Goals For 8
17 Goals Against 12
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1
8 BTTS Yes 4
9 Over 1.5 6
6 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 6
3.55 Shots On Goal 4.09
11.64 Total Shots 13.55
4.18 Corners 5
46.5% Ball Possession 43.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Tecnico Universitario. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Cuenca expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Tecnico Universitario in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tecnico Universitario having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Deportivo Cuenca Analysis

Deportivo Cuenca approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 14 points from 11 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats with a 12:15 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Ordonez (3 goals), G. Rivero (2 goals), Matias Klimowicz (2 goals), with creative support from G. Rivero (2 assists), C. Arboleda (2 assists), J. Ordonez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tecnico Universitario Analysis

Tecnico Universitario sit 13 with 11 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 8:11, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Cesar Castano (2 goals), Julian Anaya (2 goals), M. Cagua (2 goals), with creative support from Cesar Castano (1 assists), Johan Bocanegra (1 assists), Kener Arce (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Cuenca won 7 times, Tecnico Universitario won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:19 from Deportivo Cuenca's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.4%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Cuenca 4-1-4-1 / Tecnico Universitario 5-4-1
H2H summary: Deportivo Cuenca wins 7, draws 4, Tecnico Universitario wins 4
Stats
Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
9
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
2
3 Corner Kicks 9
20 Fouls 6
2 Offsides 0
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Goal 9
1 Shots off Goal 9
1 Blocked Shots 2
4 Shots insidebox 9
3 Shots outsidebox 11
8 Goalkeeper Saves 3
350 Total passes 379
279 Passes accurate 314
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Deportivo Cuenca
Formation
Tecnico Universitario
F. Ferrero
F. Ferrero
P. Boolsen
P. Boolsen
E. Guevara
E. Guevara
S. Postel
S. Postel
S. Morocho
S. Morocho
E. Vega
E. Vega
M. Maccari
M. Maccari
C. Arboleda
C. Arboleda
D. Gonzalez
🎯
D. Gonzalez
M. Klimowicz
M. Klimowicz
N. Leguizamon
N. Leguizamon
S. Razzeto
S. Razzeto
M. Cagua
M. Cagua
J. Anaya
J. Anaya
Y. Arce
Y. Arce
M. Perea
M. Perea
M. Castano
🎯
M. Castano
J. Majao
J. Majao
E. E. Mesa Mercado
E. E. Mesa Mercado
Johan Bocanegra
Johan Bocanegra
J. Montes
J. Montes
L. Estupinan
L. Estupinan
Deportivo Cuenca 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
F. Ferrero
G
28
P. Boolsen
D
23
E. Guevara
↓ 46'
D
6
S. Postel
D
21
S. Morocho
↓ 36'
M
8
E. Vega
↓ 46'
M
30
M. Maccari
🟨 85'
M
37
C. Arboleda
M
49
D. Gonzalez
🎯 8' ↓ 46' 🟨 27'
F
29
M. Klimowicz
⚽ 8' ↓ 46'
F
9
N. Leguizamon
F
Substitutes
12
E. Minda
G
43
J. Ordonez
⚽ 73' ↑ 36'
F
19
M. Diaz
↑ 46'
F
2
I. Mosquera
↑ 46'
D
14
J. Chacon
M
25
A. Lopez
D
20
B. Garcia
↑ 46'
M
53
Y. H. Erique Villigua
D
16
J. Mejia
↑ 46'
50
M. Siguenza
F
Tecnico Universitario 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
S. Razzeto
5
M. Cagua
D
13
J. Anaya
⚽ 34'
D
85
Y. Arce
D
28
M. Perea
🟥 67'
M
70
M. Castano
🎯 34'
M
33
J. Majao
↓ 84' 🟨 45+2'
M
23
E. E. Mesa Mercado
↓ 89'
M
10
Johan Bocanegra
↓ 79' 🟨 42'
F
17
J. Montes
↓ 79'
F
7
L. Estupinan
↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
30
K. Arce
D
67
M. A. Carrasco Bonilla
M
25
B. Delgado
↑ 84'
F
8
M. Chaves
F
6
L. B. Torres Nazareno
D
9
L. Fernandez
↑ 89'
F
16
J. Caicedo
↑ 79'
M
11
C. Arteaga
F
27
A. Copete
M
19
A. Castillo
↑ 84'
F
90
W. Caicedo
↑ 79'
F
Last matches: Deportivo Cuenca
11.08.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
1
2
L
02.08.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
0
1
L
28.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
2
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
0
3
L
18.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
0
2
L
15.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
12.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
0
1
L
05.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Barcelona SC
0
2
L
31.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Delfin SC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
16.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
1
0
W
09.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
1
4
L
22.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
1
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
05.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
Last matches: Tecnico Universitario
10.08.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
0
3
L
01.08.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
0
5
L
26.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
1
0
W
22.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
0
3
L
19.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
0
1
L
15.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
0
1
L
11.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
0
2
L
07.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
2
1
W
02.06.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
2
1
W
15.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
1
2
L
09.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Delfin SC
4
0
W
26.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
22.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
0
1
L
18.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
0
2
L
05.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
2
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
1
2
L
19.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
1
0
W
13.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
2
1
W
H2H: Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario
02.05.26
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
14.09.25
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
0
2
W
17.05.25
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
2
0
W
05.10.24
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
1
1
D
18.04.24
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
2
1
L
29.08.23
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
1
1
D
02.04.23
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
3
0
L
04.10.22
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
L
07.05.22
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
23.11.21
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
3
1
L
30.05.21
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
28.11.20
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
01.09.20
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
2
2
D
11.08.19
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
1
2
W
19.03.19
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
4
3
W
Last matches: Deportivo Cuenca
11.08.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
1
2
L
28.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
2
1
W
18.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
0
2
L
12.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
0
1
L
31.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Delfin SC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
22.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
1
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
21.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Barcelona SC
2
1
W
08.02.26
Fri
Deportivo Cuenca
Guayaquil City FC
2
1
W
H2H at home: Deportivo Cuenca
02.05.26
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
17.05.25
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
2
0
W
05.10.24
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
1
1
D
29.08.23
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
1
1
D
07.05.22
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
30.05.21
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
01.09.20
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
2
2
D
19.03.19
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
4
3
W
Last matches: Tecnico Universitario
01.08.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
0
5
L
22.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
0
3
L
15.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
0
1
L
07.07.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
2
1
W
15.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
18.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
0
1
L
05.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
2
0
W
19.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
1
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
08.02.26
Fri
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
0
1
L
H2H away: Tecnico Universitario
02.05.26
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
L
17.05.25
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
2
0
L
05.10.24
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
1
1
D
29.08.23
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
1
1
D
07.05.22
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
L
30.05.21
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
L
01.09.20
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
2
2
D
19.03.19
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
4
3
L

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 20 1 3 58:22 36 61
W W W W W
2 24 12 5 7 32:24 8 41
W W W W L
3 24 12 5 7 29:25 4 41
W W L L W
4 24 11 6 7 39:21 18 39
L W D W W
5 24 9 8 7 25:20 5 35
L D L L W
6 24 10 5 9 23:20 3 35
L W W D L
7 24 9 6 9 26:27 -1 33
W W W W L
8 24 8 8 8 24:25 -1 32
L D W D W
9 24 8 7 9 32:34 -2 31
W W L D W
10 24 9 4 11 22:30 -8 31
L L W L L
11 24 7 8 9 20:25 -5 29
D L D D W
12 24 7 6 11 28:36 -8 27
D L L W L
13 24 7 8 9 19:28 -9 26
D L L D L
14 24 8 2 14 20:32 -12 26
L L W L L
15 24 6 6 12 15:24 -9 24
D L L L W
16 24 4 5 15 11:30 -19 17
W L L D L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs