ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar
Referee: A. Aragon
Deportivo Cuenca
Match Timeline
LDU de Quito
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
R. Ade
LDU de Quito
🟨
17'
J. Medina
LDU de Quito
🔄
29'
J. Medina ↔ M. Estrada
LDU de Quito
🟨
46'
M. Piedra
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
46'
I. Mosquera ↔ A. Lopez
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
46'
J. Caicedo ↔ Y. Quinonez
LDU de Quito
VAR
47'
LDU de Quito
LDU de Quito
🔄
55'
J. W. Cuero Mercado ↔ L. Quinonez
LDU de Quito
🔄
55'
R. Ade ↔ R. Mina
LDU de Quito
🔄
61'
B. Garcia ↔ M. Diaz
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
61'
D. Gonzalez ↔ J. Chacon
Deportivo Cuenca
🟨
63'
R. Mina
LDU de Quito
65'
J. Ordonez
Deportivo Cuenca
🔄
70'
M. Klimowicz ↔ G. Rivero
Deportivo Cuenca
71'
R. Redes · Assist: G. F. Allala Menendez
LDU de Quito
🟨
74'
L. Quinonez
LDU de Quito
🟨
77'
F. Cornejo
LDU de Quito
🔄
84'
K. Minda ↔ J. Pretell
LDU de Quito
🔄
88'
J. Ordonez ↔ N. Leguizamon
Deportivo Cuenca

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 75%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
75%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Cuenca Win 33.3%
Draw 25%
LDU de Quito Win 41.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Cuenca1.09
LDU de Quito1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca
WWDLW
20 GF / 18 GA
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
WLDWL
24 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
9
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
5
3.79
Shots on Goal
3.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 16 matches
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 20 matches
Deportivo Cuenca Statistic LDU de Quito
9 Wins 11
2 Draws 2
5 Losses 7
20 Goals For 24
18 Goals Against 17
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
9 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 13
7 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 8
2 Failed To Score 7
3.79 Shots On Goal 3.11
11.71 Total Shots 13.11
3.93 Corners 5
47.4% Ball Possession 48.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and LDU de Quito's more proactive style and Deportivo Cuenca's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward LDU de Quito. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Cuenca expected to line up in 3-4-3 and LDU de Quito in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward LDU de Quito having the stronger overall control.

Deportivo Cuenca Analysis

Deportivo Cuenca approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 23 points after 14 outings. With 7 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 16:16, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Ordonez (4 goals), Matias Klimowicz (4 goals), David González (2 goals), with creative support from David González (2 assists), G. Rivero (2 assists), C. Arboleda (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

LDU de Quito Analysis

LDU de Quito come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 23 points after 14 matches. The return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 15:12, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Deyverson (4 goals), J. Corozo (3 goals), C. Luna Tobar (1 goals), with creative support from M. Estrada (2 assists), J. Quintero (2 assists), Deyverson (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Cuenca won 2 times, LDU de Quito won 6 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:28 from Deportivo Cuenca's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Cuenca 3-4-3 / LDU de Quito 5-3-2
H2H summary: Deportivo Cuenca wins 2, draws 7, LDU de Quito wins 6
Stats
Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
1
2 Corner Kicks 2
5 Fouls 17
4 Offsides 1
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Goal 5
7 Shots off Goal 7
5 Blocked Shots 1
10 Shots insidebox 7
9 Shots outsidebox 6
4 Goalkeeper Saves 6
465 Total passes 354
394 Passes accurate 279
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Deportivo Cuenca
Formation
LDU de Quito
F. Ferrero
F. Ferrero
P. Boolsen
P. Boolsen
M. Piedra
M. Piedra
Y. H. Erique Villigua
Y. H. Erique Villigua
I. Mosquera
I. Mosquera
E. Vega
E. Vega
M. Maccari
M. Maccari
B. Garcia
B. Garcia
D. Gonzalez
D. Gonzalez
M. Klimowicz
M. Klimowicz
J. Ordonez
J. Ordonez
G. Valle
G. Valle
G. F. Allala Menendez
🎯
G. F. Allala Menendez
R. Ade
R. Ade
L. Segovia
L. Segovia
J. W. Cuero Mercado
J. W. Cuero Mercado
G. Villamil
G. Villamil
K. Minda
K. Minda
C. Luna Tobar
C. Luna Tobar
J. Caicedo
J. Caicedo
J. Medina
J. Medina
R. Redes
R. Redes
Deportivo Cuenca 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
F. Ferrero
G
28
P. Boolsen
D
18
M. Piedra
🟨 46'
D
53
Y. H. Erique Villigua
D
2
I. Mosquera
↓ 46'
M
8
E. Vega
M
30
M. Maccari
M
20
B. Garcia
↓ 61'
M
49
D. Gonzalez
↓ 61'
F
29
M. Klimowicz
↓ 70'
F
43
J. Ordonez
⚽ 65' ↓ 88'
F
Substitutes
12
E. Minda
G
23
E. Guevara
D
9
N. Leguizamon
↑ 88'
F
19
M. Diaz
↑ 61'
F
21
S. Morocho
D
6
S. Postel
D
14
J. Chacon
↑ 61'
M
25
A. Lopez
↑ 46'
D
37
C. Arboleda
F
11
G. Rivero
↑ 70'
F
16
J. Mejia
LDU de Quito 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
G. Valle
G
30
G. F. Allala Menendez
🎯 71'
D
4
R. Ade
↓ 55' 🟨 12'
D
44
L. Segovia
D
28
J. W. Cuero Mercado
↓ 55'
M
15
G. Villamil
M
5
K. Minda
↓ 84'
M
99
C. Luna Tobar
M
26
J. Caicedo
↓ 46'
M
9
J. Medina
↓ 29' 🟨 17'
F
7
R. Redes
⚽ 71'
F
Substitutes
22
A. Dominguez
G
20
F. Cornejo
🟨 77'
M
10
A. Alvarado
M
27
R. Mina
16
Deyverson
F
14
J. Quintero
D
11
M. Estrada
↑ 29'
F
33
L. Quinonez
↑ 55' 🟨 74'
D
8
J. Pretell
↑ 84'
M
3
R. Mina
↑ 55' 🟨 63'
D
23
Y. Quinonez
↑ 46'
F
32
A. Gomez
Last matches: Deportivo Cuenca
05.07.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Barcelona SC
0
2
L
31.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Delfin SC
1
0
W
16.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
1
0
W
09.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
1
4
L
22.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
1
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
05.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
1
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Barcelona SC
2
1
W
22.02.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Delfin SC
0
1
L
14.02.26
Fri
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
2
1
W
08.02.26
Fri
Deportivo Cuenca
Guayaquil City FC
2
1
W
Last matches: LDU de Quito
05.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Macara
0
1
L
01.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
3
0
W
18.06.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
17.06.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
26.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
3
2
W
21.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Lanus
2
0
W
15.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
12.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
3
1
W
07.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
0
2
L
02.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
28.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Lanus
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Emelec
0
1
L
23.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Aucas
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
2
0
W
15.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
2
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
0
1
L
08.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
1
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
1
0
W
18.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
2
0
W
H2H: Deportivo Cuenca vs LDU de Quito
24.05.26
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
13.11.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
2
0
L
20.07.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
2
2
D
29.03.25
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
1
2
L
01.12.24
H2H
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
5
0
L
28.08.24
H2H
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
3
0
L
02.06.24
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
2
2
D
08.08.23
H2H
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
2
0
L
23.03.23
H2H
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
25.02.23
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
2
0
W
19.02.23
H2H
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
3
0
L
16.02.23
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
16.07.22
H2H
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
26.02.22
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
2
0
W
15.08.21
H2H
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
3
3
D
Last matches: Deportivo Cuenca
31.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Delfin SC
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
22.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
1
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
21.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
Deportivo Cuenca
Barcelona SC
2
1
W
08.02.26
Fri
Deportivo Cuenca
Guayaquil City FC
2
1
W
H2H at home: Deportivo Cuenca
24.05.26
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
29.03.25
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
1
2
L
02.06.24
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
2
2
D
25.02.23
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
2
0
W
16.02.23
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
26.02.22
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
2
0
W
Last matches: LDU de Quito
05.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Macara
0
1
L
12.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
3
1
W
07.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
0
2
L
28.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Lanus
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Emelec
0
1
L
19.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
2
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
0
1
L
08.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
1
0
W
18.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
2
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Libertad
1
2
L
21.02.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
2
1
W
H2H away: LDU de Quito
24.05.26
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
29.03.25
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
1
2
W
02.06.24
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
2
2
D
25.02.23
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
2
0
L
16.02.23
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
26.02.22
H2H
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
2
0
L

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 13 1 3 36:18 18 40
W W L W W
2 17 8 5 4 20:13 7 29
W L W W L
3 17 8 5 4 20:16 4 29
W D W L W
4 17 8 3 6 19:14 5 27
L W D W W
5 17 8 3 6 18:19 -1 27
L W D W W
6 17 7 5 5 28:17 11 26
L L W D L
7 17 7 2 8 19:17 2 23
W W W L W
8 17 6 5 6 16:18 -2 23
W D L L W
9 17 6 4 7 22:24 -2 22
L L L W W
10 17 5 6 6 22:23 -1 21
W D D L L
11 17 5 5 7 18:19 -1 20
W D L W L
12 17 6 5 6 14:17 -3 20
D W W D D
13 17 5 4 8 14:20 -6 19
L L D L L
14 17 4 5 8 9:16 -7 17
D L L D L
15 17 4 5 8 17:25 -8 17
L L W L D
16 17 3 3 11 7:23 -16 12
L W L D L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs