Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
72.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
82.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Draw |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-1 |
-
|
- |
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Deportivo Cuenca
23 matches
Emelec
21 matches
| Deportivo Cuenca | Statistic | Emelec |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 7 |
| 4 | Draws | 7 |
| 9 | Losses | 7 |
| 23 | Goals For | 18 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.86 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.14 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.81 | Shots On Goal | 2.95 |
| 12.43 | Total Shots | 10 |
| 4.19 | Corners | 4.48 |
| 50.6% | Ball Possession | 43.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Cuenca expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Emelec in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Emelec having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Emelec. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Deportivo Cuenca have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.
Deportivo Cuenca approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 28 points from 20 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats with a 19:23 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Jorge Ordóñez (5 goals), Matías Klimowicz (3 goals), David González (2 goals), with creative support from David González (2 assists), Germán Rivero (2 assists), Carlos Arboleda (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Emelec have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 24 points from 20 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 17:23 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Luca Klimowicz (4 goals), Romario Caicedo (2 goals), Ignacio Guerrico (1 goals), with creative support from Angelo Mina (2 assists), Francisco Pizzini (2 assists), Luca Klimowicz (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Cuenca won 5 times, Emelec won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:25 from Deportivo Cuenca's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Deportivo Cuenca
2
5
7
4
6
2
Lineups
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
Barcelona SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Delfin SC
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
Guayaquil City FC
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Aucas
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Orense SC
Emelec
Barcelona SC
Emelec
Delfin SC
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Macara
Emelec
Manta FC
Emelec
Libertad
Emelec
Leones del Norte
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Aucas
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
Delfin SC
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
Macara
Deportivo Cuenca
Leones del Norte
Deportivo Cuenca
Barcelona SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Orense SC
Emelec
Delfin SC
Emelec
Manta FC
Emelec
Leones del Norte
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Aucas
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Barcelona SC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 64:26 | 38 | 67 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30:26 | 4 | 44 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 45:23 | 22 | 43 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33:25 | 8 | 42 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 26:20 | 6 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 39 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 35 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 34 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 33 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 |
Deportivo Cuenca
Home
|
26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 22:32 | -10 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
| 12 | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 |
Emelec
Away
|
26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21:31 | -10 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
| 14 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 23:37 | -14 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 17:28 | -11 | 24 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 12:37 | -25 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
L
|