CHILE PRIMERA B
05.09.2026 19:00
Deportes Santa Cruz
Match Timeline
Union Espanola
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
1'
L. Molina
Union Espanola
🟨
9'
G. Norambuena
Union Espanola
15'
A. Vilches Araneda
Union Espanola
🟨
45'
R. Alarcon
Union Espanola
🟨
50'
K. Contreras
Union Espanola
🟨
51'
B. Camisassa
Deportes Santa Cruz
🟨
55'
M. Pinto
Deportes Santa Cruz
60'
M. Pinto
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
65'
J. Delgado ↔ C. Moreno
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
65'
P. Brito ↔ S. Mederos
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
65'
B. Droguett ↔ R. Vasquez
Union Espanola
🔄
71'
M. Pinto ↔ F. Orellana
Deportes Santa Cruz
🟥
75'
N. Romero
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
76'
L. Molina ↔ W. Machado
Union Espanola
🔄
76'
A. Vilches Araneda ↔ M. Ortiz
Union Espanola
🟨
89'
M. Ortiz
Union Espanola
🔄
90'
N. Zeineddin ↔ H. Cavero
Deportes Santa Cruz

Deportes Santa Cruz vs Union Espanola Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.7%
Odds 3.04
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 2.06
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.88
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.7%
3.04
BTTS No
50.8%
2.06
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
1.88
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00
Correct Score 0-3
-
29.00
Probability Distribution
Deportes Santa Cruz Win 24.6%
Draw 16.7%
Union Espanola Win 58.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportes Santa Cruz1.3
Union Espanola1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Santa Cruz
WWDLW
37 GF / 44 GA
Union Espanola Union Espanola
WLDWL
33 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.34
18
BTTS Yes
16
15
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Santa Cruz 29 matches
Union Espanola Union Espanola 29 matches
Deportes Santa Cruz Statistic Union Espanola
8 Wins 11
9 Draws 6
12 Losses 12
37 Goals For 33
44 Goals Against 39
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.34
18 BTTS Yes 16
21 Over 1.5 23
15 Over 2.5 16
11 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Union Espanola's more proactive style and Deportes Santa Cruz's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Union Espanola having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Deportes Santa Cruz have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Union Espanola carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 34 points while Deportes Santa Cruz sit 15 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Union Espanola.

Deportes Santa Cruz Analysis

Deportes Santa Cruz sit 15 with 16 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats with a 24:37 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Union Espanola Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 34 points from 21 games, Union Espanola bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 10 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a 29:27 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Santa Cruz won 0 times, Union Espanola won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from Deportes Santa Cruz's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.3%)
H2H summary: Deportes Santa Cruz wins 0, draws 0, Union Espanola wins 1

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 12 8 4 40:25 15 44
L W W W D
2 24 11 9 4 42:27 15 42
D L W L W
3 24 11 8 5 38:29 9 41
W W W L W
4 25 11 7 7 41:38 3 40
W D D L W
5 25 10 8 7 42:26 16 38
L D L W W
6 25 10 8 7 36:33 3 38
D W W D W
7 25 9 9 7 31:23 8 36
W L W L L
8 25 10 6 9 32:32 0 36
D L D L W
9 25 10 4 11 26:31 -5 34
L L W L L
10 25 8 8 9 40:35 5 32
D W L W L
11 24 8 7 9 33:38 -5 31
D L L L W
12 25 6 10 9 33:30 3 28
W L L L W
13 25 6 9 10 22:38 -16 27
L W L D W
14 25 4 10 11 26:38 -12 22
D W D D L
15 23 5 7 11 15:37 -22 22
D D L L W
16 25 4 6 15 23:40 -17 18
L W W W W