CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza
Referee: H. Jona
Deportes Limache
Match Timeline
U. Catolica
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
F. Zampedri · Assist: C. Montes
U. Catolica
🟨
28'
Marcos Arturia
Deportes Limache
🔄
36'
F. Zampedri ↔ J. Rossel
U. Catolica
38'
J. Rossel · Assist: C. Montes
U. Catolica
🟥
45+2'
Yerko González
Deportes Limache
🔄
46'
V. Alvarez ↔ C. Morales
Deportes Limache
🔄
60'
M. Arturia ↔ G. Sosa
Deportes Limache
🔄
71'
E. Mena ↔ C. Cuevas
U. Catolica
🔄
71'
F. Zuqui ↔ M. Palavecino
U. Catolica
🟨
74'
Alfonso Parot
Deportes Limache
🟨
75'
Justo Giani
U. Catolica
🟨
77'
Daniel Castro
Deportes Limache
🔄
83'
M. Llanten ↔ F. Marin
Deportes Limache
🔄
85'
J. Giani ↔ D. Corral
U. Catolica
🟨
86'
Gonzalo Sosa
Deportes Limache
🔄
89'
J. A. Martinez ↔ A. Canales
U. Catolica
🔄
89'
C. Montes ↔ M. Gomez
U. Catolica
🟨
90+4'
Gonzalo Sosa
Deportes Limache
🟥
90+4'
Gonzalo Sosa
Deportes Limache
🟨
90+6'
Cristián Cuevas
U. Catolica

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportes Limache Win 67.5%
Draw 0%
U. Catolica Win 32.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportes Limache1.92
U. Catolica1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportes Limache Deportes Limache
WWDLW
25 GF / 11 GA
U. Catolica U. Catolica
WLDWL
29 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
2.27
Average Goals Scored
1.93
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
6
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
11
4.82
Shots on Goal
5.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportes Limache Deportes Limache 11 matches
U. Catolica U. Catolica 15 matches
Deportes Limache Statistic U. Catolica
6 Wins 7
3 Draws 3
2 Losses 5
25 Goals For 29
11 Goals Against 21
2.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.93
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
6 BTTS Yes 11
9 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 3
4.82 Shots On Goal 5.07
11.82 Total Shots 12.27
3.64 Corners 4.47
44.6% Ball Possession 53.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors U. Catolica. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportes Limache expected to line up in 4-3-3 and U. Catolica in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward U. Catolica having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Deportes Limache Analysis

Deportes Limache approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 21 points after 11 outings. They have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a 25:11 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on D. Castro (8 goals), Jean David (4 goals), G. Sosa (3 goals), with creative support from Jean David (7 assists), D. Castro (5 assists), Y. Gonzalez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

U. Catolica Analysis

U. Catolica come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 17 points from 11 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 24:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by F. Zampedri (11 goals), J. Giani (6 goals), C. Montes (2 goals), with creative support from Matías Palavecino (4 assists), C. Cuevas (4 assists), J. Giani (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Limache won 0 times, U. Catolica won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:5 from Deportes Limache's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Deportes Limache 4-3-3 / U. Catolica 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Deportes Limache wins 0, draws 0, U. Catolica wins 3
Stats
Deportes Limache Deportes Limache
U. Catolica U. Catolica
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
2 Corner Kicks 7
11 Fouls 6
2 Offsides 4
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 7
2 Blocked Shots 2
4 Shots insidebox 9
5 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
326 Total passes 445
244 Passes accurate 366
0.97 expected_goals 1.32
🟨 5 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 2 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Deportes Limache
Formation
U. Catolica
M. Borquez
M. Borquez
Y. Gonzalez
Y. Gonzalez
A. Aguirre
A. Aguirre
A. Parot
A. Parot
M. Flores
M. Flores
M. Llanten
M. Llanten
C. Fuentes
C. Fuentes
Jean David
Jean David
V. Alvarez
V. Alvarez
M. Arturia
M. Arturia
D. Castro
D. Castro
V. Bernedo
V. Bernedo
S. Arancibia
S. Arancibia
D. Gonzalez
D. Gonzalez
B. Ampuero
B. Ampuero
E. Mena
E. Mena
A. Farias
A. Farias
C. Montes
🎯
C. Montes
F. Zuqui
F. Zuqui
J. A. Martinez
J. A. Martinez
J. Giani
J. Giani
F. Zampedri
F. Zampedri
Deportes Limache 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
M. Borquez
23
Y. Gonzalez
🟥 45+2'
D
2
A. Aguirre
D
24
A. Parot
🟨 74'
D
4
M. Flores
D
25
M. Llanten
↓ 83'
6
C. Fuentes
M
16
Jean David
M
15
V. Alvarez
↓ 46'
F
26
M. Arturia
↓ 60' 🟨 28'
F
19
D. Castro
🟨 77'
F
Substitutes
17
C. Gonzalez
G
3
B. Molina
D
9
G. Sosa
↑ 60' 🟨 86' 🟨 90+4' 🟥 90+4'
F
7
C. Morales
↑ 46'
11
F. Marin
↑ 83'
M
28
V. Vargas
M
18
G. Aban
M
29
F. Oyarzun
M
U. Catolica 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
V. Bernedo
6
S. Arancibia
2
D. Gonzalez
M
19
B. Ampuero
D
3
E. Mena
↓ 71'
D
5
A. Farias
M
11
C. Montes
🎯 6' 🎯 38' ↓ 89'
M
8
F. Zuqui
↓ 71'
M
14
J. A. Martinez
↓ 89'
M
7
J. Giani
↓ 85' 🟨 75'
M
9
F. Zampedri
⚽ 6' ↓ 36'
F
Substitutes
27
D. Melo
G
15
C. Cuevas
↑ 71' 🟨 90+6'
M
13
A. Canales
↑ 89'
M
25
D. Corral
↑ 85'
F
18
J. Rossel
⚽ 38' ↑ 36'
F
28
B. Cerezo
D
10
M. Palavecino
↑ 71'
M
36
B. Gonzalez
22
M. Gomez
↑ 89'
M
Last matches: Deportes Limache
31.05.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Coquimbo Unido
2
3
L
24.05.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
D. La Serena
1
4
L
25.04.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
A. Italiano
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Universidad de Concepcion
3
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Palestino
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Union La Calera
4
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Cobresal
5
2
W
07.03.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Everton de Vina
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Huachipato
3
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Universidad de Chile
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
O'Higgins
2
1
W
08.02.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Nublense
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Colo Colo
3
1
W
Last matches: U. Catolica
31.05.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Huachipato
3
0
W
29.05.26
CON
U. Catolica
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Colo Colo
1
2
L
22.05.26
CON
U. Catolica
Barcelona SC
2
0
W
07.05.26
CON
U. Catolica
Cruzeiro
0
0
D
30.04.26
CON
U. Catolica
Barcelona SC
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Universidad de Chile
0
1
L
21.04.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Union La Calera
1
2
L
15.04.26
CON
U. Catolica
Cruzeiro
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
U. Catolica
A. Italiano
4
3
W
08.04.26
CON
U. Catolica
Boca Juniors
1
2
L
02.04.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Palestino
6
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Everton de Vina
2
2
D
07.03.26
Pri
U. Catolica
O'Higgins
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Nublense
2
1
W
21.02.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Coquimbo Unido
3
1
W
14.02.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Cobresal
2
3
L
08.02.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Concepción
2
0
W
01.02.26
Pri
U. Catolica
D. La Serena
2
2
D
H2H: Deportes Limache vs U. Catolica
17.05.26
H2H
Deportes Limache
U. Catolica
0
2
L
13.09.25
H2H
Deportes Limache
U. Catolica
0
1
L
19.04.25
H2H
U. Catolica
Deportes Limache
2
1
L
Last matches: Deportes Limache
31.05.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Coquimbo Unido
2
3
L
18.04.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Universidad de Concepcion
3
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Union La Calera
4
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Huachipato
3
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
O'Higgins
2
1
W
31.01.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Colo Colo
3
1
W
H2H at home: Deportes Limache
17.05.26
H2H
Deportes Limache
U. Catolica
0
2
L
13.09.25
H2H
Deportes Limache
U. Catolica
0
1
L
Last matches: U. Catolica
31.05.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Huachipato
3
0
W
29.05.26
CON
U. Catolica
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
30.04.26
CON
U. Catolica
Barcelona SC
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Universidad de Chile
0
1
L
15.04.26
CON
U. Catolica
Cruzeiro
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
U. Catolica
A. Italiano
4
3
W
07.03.26
Pri
U. Catolica
O'Higgins
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Nublense
2
1
W
14.02.26
Pri
U. Catolica
Cobresal
2
3
L
01.02.26
Pri
U. Catolica
D. La Serena
2
2
D
H2H away: U. Catolica
17.05.26
H2H
Deportes Limache
U. Catolica
0
2
W
13.09.25
H2H
Deportes Limache
U. Catolica
0
1
W

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 11 0 3 26:12 14 33
?
2 14 7 2 5 30:19 11 23
?
3 14 7 2 5 22:18 4 23
?
4 14 6 4 4 18:13 5 22
?
5 14 7 1 6 21:20 1 22
?
6 14 6 3 5 28:20 8 21
?
7 14 6 3 5 21:20 1 21
?
8 14 5 6 3 16:17 -1 21
?
9 13 5 5 3 13:8 5 20
?
10 13 6 1 6 19:20 -1 19
?
11 14 5 4 5 12:21 -9 19
?
12 14 4 5 5 20:24 -4 17
?
13 14 4 3 7 17:20 -3 15
?
14 14 4 1 9 19:26 -7 13
?
15 14 3 2 9 11:21 -10 11
?
16 14 3 2 9 12:26 -14 11
?