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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA B
08.10.2026 20:30
Depor FC
Live Timeline
Real Cartagena
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
17'
F. Montero
Real Cartagena
⚽
34'
Depor FC
Depor FC

Depor FC vs Real Cartagena Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 80.2%
Odds 1.61
BTTS
Yes
Probability 64.8%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 74.7%
Odds 1.93
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
80.2%
1.61 ▥
BTTS Yes
64.8%
1.91 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
74.7%
1.93 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.20 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.33 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Depor FC Win 16%
Draw 3.8%
Real Cartagena Win 80.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Depor FC1.04
Real Cartagena1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Depor FC Depor FC
WWDLW
25 GF / 40 GA
Real Cartagena Real Cartagena
WLDWL
53 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
15
BTTS Yes
20
13
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Depor FC Depor FC 26 matches
Real Cartagena Real Cartagena 34 matches
Depor FC Statistic Real Cartagena
5 Wins 15
8 Draws 10
13 Losses 9
25 Goals For 53
40 Goals Against 39
0.96 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
15 BTTS Yes 20
22 Over 1.5 26
13 Over 2.5 17
4 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 10
8 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Real Cartagena's more proactive style and Depor FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Real Cartagena having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Real Cartagena carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 55 points while Depor FC sit 14 on 23, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Depor FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Real Cartagena.

Depor FC Analysis

Depor FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 23 points from 26 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 8 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 25:40 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Cartagena Analysis

Real Cartagena come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 55 points from 34 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 10 draws, and 9 losses, while the 53:39 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Depor FC won 0 times, Real Cartagena won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:13 from Depor FC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
H2H summary: Depor FC wins 0, draws 0, Real Cartagena wins 5

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 40:28 12 59
L W W W L
2 32 16 9 7 33:21 12 57
W W L L D
3 34 15 11 8 46:31 15 56
D D W D D
4 34 15 10 9 53:39 14 55
L D D L W
5 32 15 8 9 45:31 14 53
D W D W L
6 32 12 9 11 32:26 6 45
W D W D W
7 26 11 9 6 28:20 8 42
W W L W D
8 32 9 11 12 28:35 -7 38
D L W D L
9 26 9 9 8 33:29 4 36
W W W W W
10 32 9 8 15 37:43 -6 35
D L L L L
11 26 9 7 10 30:34 -4 34
L L L W W
12 26 7 10 9 33:34 -1 31
D W W W W
13 26 6 9 11 20:28 -8 27
L D L D L
14 26 5 8 13 25:40 -15 23
L L L W W
15 26 4 8 14 16:41 -25 20
D L L D L
16 26 3 10 13 22:41 -19 19
L D D L D
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)