COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71.6%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Depor FC Win 16.8%
Draw 11.6%
Real Cartagena Win 71.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Depor FC0.98
Real Cartagena1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Depor FC Depor FC
WWDLW
16 GF / 29 GA
Real Cartagena Real Cartagena
WLDWL
40 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
1.54
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
13
BTTS Yes
16
8
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Depor FC Depor FC 18 matches
Real Cartagena Real Cartagena 26 matches
Depor FC Statistic Real Cartagena
1 Wins 12
8 Draws 8
9 Losses 6
16 Goals For 40
29 Goals Against 29
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
13 BTTS Yes 16
15 Over 1.5 20
8 Over 2.5 13
4 Over 3.5 7
1 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Real Cartagena's more proactive style and Depor FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Real Cartagena. Real Cartagena carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 27 points while Depor FC sit 15 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Real Cartagena having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Depor FC Analysis

With 9 points from 15 games and a place of 15, Depor FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 12:23, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Cartagena Analysis

With 27 points from 17 games and a place of 5, Real Cartagena still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 26:19 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Depor FC won 1 times, Real Cartagena won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:27 from Depor FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.4%)
H2H summary: Depor FC wins 1, draws 3, Real Cartagena wins 10
Last matches: Depor FC
06.08.26
Pri
Depor FC
Real Santander
2
2
D
02.08.26
Pri
Depor FC
Barranquilla
2
2
D
28.07.26
Pri
Depor FC
Ind. Yumbo
0
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Depor FC
Union Magdalena
1
3
L
12.04.26
Pri
Depor FC
Quindio
1
2
L
06.04.26
Pri
Depor FC
Envigado
1
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Depor FC
Popayan
1
1
D
25.03.26
Pri
Depor FC
Real Soacha
2
1
W
16.03.26
Pri
Depor FC
Tigres FC
1
2
L
11.03.26
Pri
Depor FC
Orsomarso
1
1
D
03.03.26
Pri
Depor FC
Leones FC
0
0
D
27.02.26
Pri
Depor FC
Bogota FC
0
1
L
20.02.26
Pri
Depor FC
Patriotas
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pri
Depor FC
Real Cartagena
1
4
L
09.02.26
Pri
Depor FC
Internacional Palmira
0
1
L
04.02.26
Pri
Depor FC
Real Santander
1
1
D
30.01.26
Pri
Depor FC
Barranquilla
0
2
L
25.01.26
Pri
Depor FC
Ind. Yumbo
1
1
D
24.10.25
Pri
Depor FC
Patriotas
1
3
L
18.10.25
Pri
Depor FC
Leones FC
0
1
L
Last matches: Real Cartagena
07.08.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Ind. Yumbo
0
2
L
02.08.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Real Soacha
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
5
1
W
29.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Envigado
1
1
D
26.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Envigado
2
3
L
22.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
2
1
W
18.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
2
1
W
12.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
0
3
L
09.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
2
0
W
27.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
1
3
L
13.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Patriotas
0
1
L
01.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Quindio
2
1
W
27.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Popayan
1
1
D
23.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
2
1
W
16.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Envigado
1
1
D
11.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Internacional Palmira
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Orsomarso
4
0
W
03.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Tigres FC
0
0
D
H2H: Depor FC vs Real Cartagena
13.02.26
H2H
Real Cartagena
Depor FC
4
1
L
05.10.25
H2H
Real Cartagena
Depor FC
4
0
L
25.04.25
H2H
Depor FC
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
12.09.24
H2H
Real Cartagena
Depor FC
1
0
L
04.04.24
H2H
Depor FC
Real Cartagena
0
2
L
24.08.23
H2H
Real Cartagena
Depor FC
3
1
L
09.03.23
H2H
Depor FC
Real Cartagena
1
3
L
15.09.22
H2H
Depor FC
Real Cartagena
0
2
L
06.03.22
H2H
Real Cartagena
Depor FC
0
0
D
26.10.21
H2H
Real Cartagena
Depor FC
1
1
D
23.01.21
H2H
Depor FC
Real Cartagena
3
0
W
24.07.20
H2H
Depor FC
Real Cartagena
0
0
D
05.03.20
H2H
Real Cartagena
Depor FC
1
1
D
21.02.20
H2H
Depor FC
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
09.02.20
H2H
Real Cartagena
Depor FC
2
1
L
Last matches: Depor FC
06.08.26
Pri
Depor FC
Real Santander
2
2
D
28.07.26
Pri
Depor FC
Ind. Yumbo
0
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Depor FC
Union Magdalena
1
3
L
06.04.26
Pri
Depor FC
Envigado
1
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Depor FC
Popayan
1
1
D
11.03.26
Pri
Depor FC
Orsomarso
1
1
D
03.03.26
Pri
Depor FC
Leones FC
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
Depor FC
Patriotas
1
1
D
09.02.26
Pri
Depor FC
Internacional Palmira
0
1
L
30.01.26
Pri
Depor FC
Barranquilla
0
2
L
24.10.25
Pri
Depor FC
Patriotas
1
3
L
13.10.25
Pri
Depor FC
Popayan
0
1
L
30.09.25
Pri
Depor FC
Cucuta
0
0
D
14.09.25
Pri
Depor FC
Internacional Palmira
4
2
W
30.08.25
Pri
Depor FC
Orsomarso
1
0
W
19.08.25
Pri
Depor FC
Real Soacha
2
3
L
03.08.25
Pri
Depor FC
Jaguares
0
1
L
18.07.25
Pri
Depor FC
Tigres FC
1
1
D
10.05.25
Pri
Depor FC
Leones FC
0
0
D
25.04.25
Pri
Depor FC
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
H2H at home: Depor FC
25.04.25
H2H
Depor FC
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
04.04.24
H2H
Depor FC
Real Cartagena
0
2
L
09.03.23
H2H
Depor FC
Real Cartagena
1
3
L
15.09.22
H2H
Depor FC
Real Cartagena
0
2
L
23.01.21
H2H
Depor FC
Real Cartagena
3
0
W
24.07.20
H2H
Depor FC
Real Cartagena
0
0
D
21.02.20
H2H
Depor FC
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
Last matches: Real Cartagena
02.08.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Real Soacha
1
1
D
29.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Envigado
1
1
D
18.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
2
1
W
12.05.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Union Magdalena
0
3
L
27.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
0
0
D
13.04.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Patriotas
0
1
L
27.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Popayan
1
1
D
16.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Envigado
1
1
D
03.03.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Tigres FC
0
0
D
09.02.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
1
0
W
04.02.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Ind. Yumbo
1
1
D
23.01.26
Pri
Real Cartagena
Real Santander
1
0
W
24.11.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Popayan
0
0
D
17.11.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Real Soacha
2
1
W
07.11.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Patriotas
2
2
D
27.10.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Quindio
0
0
D
10.10.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Barranquilla
1
3
L
29.09.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Jaguares
1
2
L
16.09.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Patriotas
1
3
L
01.09.25
Pri
Real Cartagena
Huila
1
0
W
H2H away: Real Cartagena
25.04.25
H2H
Depor FC
Real Cartagena
1
2
W
04.04.24
H2H
Depor FC
Real Cartagena
0
2
W
09.03.23
H2H
Depor FC
Real Cartagena
1
3
W
15.09.22
H2H
Depor FC
Real Cartagena
0
2
W
23.01.21
H2H
Depor FC
Real Cartagena
3
0
L
24.07.20
H2H
Depor FC
Real Cartagena
0
0
D
21.02.20
H2H
Depor FC
Real Cartagena
1
2
W

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 2 1 29:13 16 38
W W W W W
2 17 10 3 4 28:17 11 33
D W W W L
3 15 10 2 3 27:15 12 32
W L W W W
4 15 9 4 2 20:10 10 31
W W L D W
5 17 7 6 4 26:19 7 27
D L L L W
6 15 6 5 4 16:14 2 23
W W D W L
7 15 6 2 7 21:20 1 20
W L W L W
8 15 5 5 5 15:14 1 20
L W W L D
9 15 4 7 4 13:14 -1 19
D D L W L
10 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
D L L D W
11 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
L W W L D
12 15 2 7 6 15:20 -5 13
L D D D D
13 15 2 7 6 14:19 -5 13
D L D L D
14 15 2 4 9 8:24 -16 10
D W L L L
15 15 1 6 8 12:23 -11 9
L L L D W
16 15 1 4 10 9:23 -14 7
L L L L L