NETHERLANDS EERSTE DIVISIE
20.04.2026 18:00
De Vliert
Referee: N. Boel
Den Bosch
Match Timeline
Jong Utrecht
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
T. van Leeuwen
Den Bosch
🟨
17'
Per Kloosterboer
Jong Utrecht
🔄
26'
E. Demircan ↔ N. Dundas
Jong Utrecht
🟨
31'
Emeka Adeile
Jong Utrecht
🔄
33'
S. Barglan ↔ J. Fortes
Den Bosch
🔄
46'
J. Sneijder ↔ Z. Iqbal
Jong Utrecht
🔄
46'
E. Adiele ↔ D. Laaouina
Jong Utrecht
🔄
58'
J. de Vries ↔ I. Boumassaoudi
Den Bosch
🟨
61'
Rafik El Arguioui
Jong Utrecht
🔄
67'
T. den Boggende ↔ V. Plantinga
Jong Utrecht
🟨
69'
Thijs van Leeuwen
Den Bosch
🟨
69'
Zidane Iqbal
Jong Utrecht
76'
R. El Arguioui · Assist: M. Ghaddari
Jong Utrecht
🔄
82'
G. Sille ↔ K. Monzialo
Den Bosch
🔄
82'
S. Karlsson Grach ↔ R. Wolters
Den Bosch
🔄
82'
N. Beulens ↔ L. Edhart
Jong Utrecht
🔄
82'
M. Ghaddari ↔ B. Menzo
Jong Utrecht

Den Bosch vs Jong Utrecht Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 94.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 76.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 78.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
94.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
76.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
78.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Den Bosch Win 94.5%
Draw 0%
Jong Utrecht Win 5.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Den Bosch1.73
Jong Utrecht1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Den Bosch Den Bosch
WWDLW
63 GF / 65 GA
Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht
WLDWL
55 GF / 61 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.81
Average Goals Conceded
1.69
27
BTTS Yes
22
25
Over 2.5
23
5.22
Shots on Goal
5.39

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Den Bosch Den Bosch 36 matches
Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht 36 matches
Den Bosch Statistic Jong Utrecht
14 Wins 11
8 Draws 9
14 Losses 16
63 Goals For 55
65 Goals Against 61
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.81 Avg Goals Conceded 1.69
27 BTTS Yes 22
32 Over 1.5 27
25 Over 2.5 23
16 Over 3.5 17
5 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 10
5.22 Shots On Goal 5.39
13.19 Total Shots 13.83
5.42 Corners 4.17
47.7% Ball Possession 47.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Jong Utrecht. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Den Bosch expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Jong Utrecht in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Jong Utrecht having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Jong Utrecht arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Den Bosch Analysis

Den Bosch are currently 9 in the standings with 50 points from 36 matches. Their overall return of 14 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 61:61 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Monzialo (16 goals), I. Boumassaoudi (9 goals), C. El Allachi (4 goals), with creative support from K. Monzialo (11 assists), T. van Leeuwen (5 assists), K. Felida (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Jong Utrecht Analysis

Jong Utrecht approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 42 points from 36 matches. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 9 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 52:58 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on N. Ohio (9 goals), R. El Arguioui (9 goals), E. Demircan (6 goals), with creative support from O. Agougil (8 assists), R. El Arguioui (4 assists), N. Dundas (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Den Bosch won 7 times, Jong Utrecht won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:22 from Den Bosch's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Den Bosch 5-3-2 / Jong Utrecht 4-3-3
H2H summary: Den Bosch wins 7, draws 4, Jong Utrecht wins 4

Standings

Eerste Divisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 29 2 7 90:37 53 89
W W L W W
2 38 23 9 6 75:48 27 78
W L D D L
3 38 20 8 10 59:42 17 68
W L W W D
4 38 18 9 11 74:58 16 63
D L L W D
5 38 18 4 16 78:63 15 58
L L D W W
6 38 16 10 12 71:59 12 58
D L W D W
7 38 17 5 16 66:64 2 56
L L W W L
8 38 14 13 11 59:54 5 55
L D L D W
9 38 14 9 15 65:69 -4 51
L L L D L
10 38 12 11 15 48:56 -8 47
L L W D L
11 38 14 5 19 51:69 -18 47
W L L L D
12 38 12 10 16 58:62 -4 46
W D W L L
13 38 13 6 19 50:58 -8 45
W L D L W
14 38 12 9 17 58:72 -14 45
W D L W D
15 38 15 11 12 64:55 9 44
L D W W D
16 38 11 11 16 54:64 -10 44
W W W W L
17 38 12 4 22 61:76 -15 40
W L L L W
18 38 10 9 19 42:62 -20 39
L W D D L
19 38 9 11 18 41:73 -32 38
L D D L L
20 38 9 8 21 50:73 -23 35
L W L L L
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