ECUADOR LIGA PRO
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Estadio Jocay

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.8%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Delfin SC Win 56.8%
Draw 7.7%
Orense SC Win 35.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Delfin SC0.99
Orense SC1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Delfin SC Delfin SC
WWDLW
15 GF / 23 GA
Orense SC Orense SC
WLDWL
27 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
0.63
Average Goals Scored
1.17
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
7
BTTS Yes
15
6
Over 2.5
14
3.3
Shots on Goal
3.74

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Delfin SC Delfin SC 24 matches
Orense SC Orense SC 23 matches
Delfin SC Statistic Orense SC
7 Wins 7
5 Draws 5
12 Losses 11
15 Goals For 27
23 Goals Against 35
0.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
7 BTTS Yes 15
8 Over 1.5 20
6 Over 2.5 14
2 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 4
11 Failed To Score 6
3.3 Shots On Goal 3.74
10.91 Total Shots 10.26
3.3 Corners 3.78
39.2% Ball Possession 48.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Delfin SC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Orense SC in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Orense SC having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Orense SC. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Delfin SC Analysis

Delfin SC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 23 points from 22 matches. The overall return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats with a 13:21 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Erick Mendoza (3 goals), Kevin Ushiña (2 goals), Franco Ayunta (1 goals), with creative support from Franco Ayunta (1 assists), Thiago Ozaeta (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Orense SC Analysis

With 26 points from 23 games and a place of 12, Orense SC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats with a 27:35 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Agustin Herrera (5 goals), Sergio Vásquez (4 goals), Erick Zambrano (2 goals), with creative support from Erick Zambrano (3 assists), Agustin Herrera (2 assists), Sergio Vásquez (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Delfin SC won 1 times, Orense SC won 2 times, while 10 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:11 from Delfin SC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.54 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.3%)
Predicted formations: Delfin SC 4-4-2 / Orense SC 4-3-3
H2H summary: Delfin SC wins 1, draws 10, Orense SC wins 2
Last matches: Delfin SC
04.08.26
Lig
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
1
2
L
26.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
0
1
L
21.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Libertad
0
1
L
18.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Macara
2
1
W
15.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Manta FC
1
0
W
11.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
2
L
05.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Emelec
1
1
D
31.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
24.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
16.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Universidad Catolica
2
2
D
09.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
4
L
03.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
0
W
28.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Aucas
0
1
L
22.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Independiente del Valle
0
1
L
19.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Orense SC
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Libertad
0
0
D
18.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Macara
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Manta FC
0
1
L
Last matches: Orense SC
01.08.26
Lig
Orense SC
Libertad
0
3
L
26.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
23.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Aucas
2
1
W
20.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
2
L
17.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Emelec
0
2
L
11.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Manta FC
0
0
D
07.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
L
01.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
0
3
L
23.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
1
2
L
19.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
09.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Leones del Norte
2
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Macara
2
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
22.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
3
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Delfin SC
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Libertad
2
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
24.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Aucas
2
3
L
19.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
3
2
W
15.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Emelec
1
2
L
H2H: Delfin SC vs Orense SC
19.04.26
H2H
Orense SC
Delfin SC
0
0
D
26.08.25
H2H
Orense SC
Delfin SC
3
1
L
04.05.25
H2H
Delfin SC
Orense SC
0
0
D
01.11.24
H2H
Orense SC
Delfin SC
0
0
D
12.05.24
H2H
Delfin SC
Orense SC
0
1
L
05.08.23
H2H
Orense SC
Delfin SC
0
0
D
28.02.23
H2H
Delfin SC
Orense SC
1
1
D
02.10.22
H2H
Orense SC
Delfin SC
1
1
D
07.05.22
H2H
Delfin SC
Orense SC
2
1
W
01.08.21
H2H
Orense SC
Delfin SC
2
2
D
02.03.21
H2H
Delfin SC
Orense SC
1
1
D
05.12.20
H2H
Orense SC
Delfin SC
1
1
D
22.08.20
H2H
Delfin SC
Orense SC
0
0
D
Last matches: Delfin SC
26.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
0
1
L
18.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Macara
2
1
W
05.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Emelec
1
1
D
24.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
03.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
0
W
22.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Independiente del Valle
0
1
L
11.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Libertad
0
0
D
14.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Manta FC
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
22.02.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Delfin SC
LDU Portoviejo
1
0
W
H2H at home: Delfin SC
04.05.25
H2H
Delfin SC
Orense SC
0
0
D
12.05.24
H2H
Delfin SC
Orense SC
0
1
L
28.02.23
H2H
Delfin SC
Orense SC
1
1
D
07.05.22
H2H
Delfin SC
Orense SC
2
1
W
02.03.21
H2H
Delfin SC
Orense SC
1
1
D
22.08.20
H2H
Delfin SC
Orense SC
0
0
D
Last matches: Orense SC
01.08.26
Lig
Orense SC
Libertad
0
3
L
20.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
2
L
11.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Manta FC
0
0
D
01.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
0
3
L
19.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Macara
2
1
W
22.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
3
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
24.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Aucas
2
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Emelec
1
2
L
28.02.26
Lig
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
1
D
H2H away: Orense SC
04.05.25
H2H
Delfin SC
Orense SC
0
0
D
12.05.24
H2H
Delfin SC
Orense SC
0
1
W
28.02.23
H2H
Delfin SC
Orense SC
1
1
D
07.05.22
H2H
Delfin SC
Orense SC
2
1
L
02.03.21
H2H
Delfin SC
Orense SC
1
1
D
22.08.20
H2H
Delfin SC
Orense SC
0
0
D

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 19 1 3 56:22 34 58
W W W W W
2 23 11 6 6 38:19 19 39
W D W W W
3 23 11 5 7 30:23 7 38
W W W L W
4 23 11 5 7 26:25 1 38
W L L W L
5 23 9 8 6 24:18 6 35
D L L W D
6 23 10 5 8 23:18 5 35
W W D L L
7 23 8 8 7 24:22 2 32
D W D W D
8 23 9 4 10 21:28 -7 31
L W L L D
9 23 8 6 9 24:26 -2 30
W W W L W
10 23 7 7 9 29:34 -5 28
W L D W L
11 23 7 7 9 20:25 -5 28
L D D W D
12 23 7 5 11 27:35 -8 26
L L W L L
13 23 8 2 13 20:29 -9 26
L W L L L
14 23 7 7 9 19:28 -9 25
L L D L W
15 23 6 5 12 14:23 -9 23
L L L W W
16 23 3 5 15 9:29 -20 14
L L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs