ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Jocay
Referee: R. Cabrera
Delfin SC
Match Timeline
Mushuc Runa SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
Ivan Molinas
Delfin SC
🟨
34'
Carlos Orejuela
Mushuc Runa SC
VAR
43'
Kevin Ushina
Delfin SC
🟨
50'
Facundo Castelli
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
59'
C. Orejuela ↔ R. Ibarra
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
59'
F. Castelli ↔ R. Carrillo
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
62'
J. Cavallaro ↔ F. Perinciolo
Delfin SC
🟨
64'
Brian Negro
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
69'
B. Negro ↔ F. Carabali
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
72'
J. L. Castillo Saa ↔ T. Ozaeta
Delfin SC
🔄
73'
I. A. Molinas ↔ L. Tenorio
Delfin SC
🔄
81'
K. Velasco ↔ A. Zambrano
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
81'
C. Angulo ↔ N. Dibble
Mushuc Runa SC
86'
K. Ushina
Delfin SC
🟨
90+1'
Leao Tenorio
Delfin SC
🔄
90+2'
K. Ushina ↔ O. Medina
Delfin SC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
79.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Delfin SC Win 58%
Draw 0%
Mushuc Runa SC Win 42%
Expected Goals (xG)
Delfin SC0.69
Mushuc Runa SC1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Delfin SC Delfin SC
WWDLW
5 GF / 6 GA
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC
WLDWL
15 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
0.42
Average Goals Scored
1.36
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
1
BTTS Yes
6
0
Over 2.5
5
3.36
Shots on Goal
3.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Delfin SC Delfin SC 12 matches
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC 11 matches
Delfin SC Statistic Mushuc Runa SC
4 Wins 4
3 Draws 4
5 Losses 3
5 Goals For 15
6 Goals Against 12
0.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
1 BTTS Yes 6
1 Over 1.5 7
0 Over 2.5 5
0 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 2
3.36 Shots On Goal 3.64
11.55 Total Shots 11.45
3.45 Corners 4.18
37.7% Ball Possession 44.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Mushuc Runa SC's more proactive style and Delfin SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Mushuc Runa SC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Delfin SC expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Mushuc Runa SC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mushuc Runa SC having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Delfin SC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Delfin SC Analysis

Delfin SC sit 12 with 12 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 4:6 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on F. Ayunta (2 goals), E. Mendoza (1 goals), Marcos Mejía (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Mushuc Runa SC Analysis

Mushuc Runa SC are currently 6 in the standings with 16 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the 15:12 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Ronie Carrillo (3 goals), F. Castelli (2 goals), Freddy Mina (2 goals), with creative support from K. Velasco (2 assists), Ronie Carrillo (1 assists), Freddy Mina (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Delfin SC won 8 times, Mushuc Runa SC won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:24 from Delfin SC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Delfin SC 5-3-2 / Mushuc Runa SC 4-4-2
H2H summary: Delfin SC wins 8, draws 1, Mushuc Runa SC wins 6
Stats
Delfin SC Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
3
2 Corner Kicks 5
15 Fouls 21
5 Offsides 2
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 3
0 Blocked Shots 3
7 Shots insidebox 3
2 Shots outsidebox 6
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
290 Total passes 277
205 Passes accurate 199
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Delfin SC
Formation
Mushuc Runa SC
J. Cardenas
J. Cardenas
E. Rubio
E. Rubio
E. Cabeza
E. Cabeza
M. Burdisso
M. Burdisso
J. L. Castillo Saa
J. L. Castillo Saa
G. Heredia
G. Heredia
L. Castro
L. Castro
K. Ushina
K. Ushina
I. A. Molinas
I. A. Molinas
J. Cavallaro
J. Cavallaro
F. Ayunta
F. Ayunta
R. Formento
R. Formento
K. Peralta
K. Peralta
M. Gamboa
M. Gamboa
B. Negro
B. Negro
J. Hernandez
J. Hernandez
C. Angulo
C. Angulo
E. Davila
E. Davila
L. Lemos
L. Lemos
K. Velasco
K. Velasco
C. Orejuela
C. Orejuela
F. Castelli
F. Castelli
Delfin SC 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
J. Cardenas
G
17
E. Rubio
D
33
E. Cabeza
D
6
M. Burdisso
D
40
J. L. Castillo Saa
↓ 72'
D
34
G. Heredia
M
16
L. Castro
M
78
K. Ushina
⚽ 86' ↓ 90+2'
M
8
I. A. Molinas
↓ 73' 🟨 21'
M
19
J. Cavallaro
↓ 62'
M
9
F. Ayunta
F
Substitutes
13
B. Cardenas
G
1
J. Ortiz
G
32
A. Bedoya
D
29
F. Ratotti
F
14
E. Zuniga
M
5
O. Medina
↑ 90+2'
77
B. Hernandez
D
11
F. Perinciolo
↑ 62'
M
7
A. Alvarez
50
T. Ozaeta
↑ 72'
M
27
E. Yepez
F
99
L. Tenorio
↑ 73'
Mushuc Runa SC 4-4-2
Starting XI
25
R. Formento
G
26
K. Peralta
D
44
M. Gamboa
D
6
B. Negro
↓ 69' 🟨 64'
D
33
J. Hernandez
D
99
C. Angulo
↓ 81'
M
5
E. Davila
M
23
L. Lemos
M
77
K. Velasco
↓ 81'
32
C. Orejuela
↓ 59' 🟨 34'
F
81
F. Castelli
↓ 59' 🟨 50'
F
Substitutes
42
W. Pabon
G
30
R. Ibarra
↑ 59'
F
12
F. Carabali
↑ 69'
D
9
R. Carrillo
↑ 59'
F
8
A. Zambrano
↑ 81'
M
7
T. Minda
F
11
N. Dibble
↑ 81'
F
2
F. Flor
D
19
J. Carcelen
17
O. Pico
M
18
J. Gonzalez
M
Last matches: Delfin SC
05.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Emelec
1
1
D
31.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
24.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
16.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Universidad Catolica
2
2
D
09.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
4
L
28.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Aucas
0
1
L
22.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Independiente del Valle
0
1
L
19.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Orense SC
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Libertad
0
0
D
18.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Macara
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Manta FC
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Emelec
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Delfin SC
LDU Portoviejo
1
0
W
Last matches: Mushuc Runa SC
06.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
3
2
W
31.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
0
0
D
23.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
2
2
D
17.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
1
3
L
12.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
1
3
L
25.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
4
1
W
22.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
18.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
1
0
W
07.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
2
2
D
22.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
2
0
W
19.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
2
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
1
3
L
01.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
0
0
D
21.02.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
1
1
D
H2H: Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC
03.05.26
H2H
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
0
W
15.06.25
H2H
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
3
1
W
18.02.25
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
2
0
L
08.11.24
H2H
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
4
2
W
19.05.24
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
5
0
L
16.09.23
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
2
0
L
16.04.23
H2H
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
3
0
W
25.09.22
H2H
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
09.04.22
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
1
2
W
28.11.21
H2H
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
3
0
W
17.07.21
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
6
1
L
19.12.20
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
2
0
L
20.09.20
H2H
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
4
1
W
17.08.19
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
2
0
L
31.03.19
H2H
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
0
W
Last matches: Delfin SC
05.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Emelec
1
1
D
24.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
22.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Independiente del Valle
0
1
L
11.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Libertad
0
0
D
14.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Manta FC
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
22.02.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Delfin SC
LDU Portoviejo
1
0
W
H2H at home: Delfin SC
03.05.26
H2H
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
0
W
15.06.25
H2H
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
3
1
W
08.11.24
H2H
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
4
2
W
16.04.23
H2H
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
3
0
W
25.09.22
H2H
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
28.11.21
H2H
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
3
0
W
20.09.20
H2H
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
4
1
W
31.03.19
H2H
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
0
W
Last matches: Mushuc Runa SC
06.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
3
2
W
17.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
1
3
L
22.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
07.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
2
2
D
19.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
2
3
L
07.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
1
3
L
21.02.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
1
1
D
H2H away: Mushuc Runa SC
03.05.26
H2H
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
0
L
15.06.25
H2H
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
3
1
L
08.11.24
H2H
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
4
2
L
16.04.23
H2H
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
3
0
L
25.09.22
H2H
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
28.11.21
H2H
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
3
0
L
20.09.20
H2H
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
4
1
L
31.03.19
H2H
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
0
L

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 13 1 3 36:18 18 40
W W L W W
2 17 8 5 4 20:13 7 29
W L W W L
3 17 8 5 4 20:16 4 29
W D W L W
4 17 8 3 6 19:14 5 27
L W D W W
5 17 8 3 6 18:19 -1 27
L W D W W
6 17 7 5 5 28:17 11 26
L L W D L
7 17 7 2 8 19:17 2 23
W W W L W
8 17 6 5 6 16:18 -2 23
W D L L W
9 17 6 4 7 22:24 -2 22
L L L W W
10 17 5 6 6 22:23 -1 21
W D D L L
11 17 5 5 7 18:19 -1 20
W D L W L
12 17 6 5 6 14:17 -3 20
D W W D D
13 17 5 4 8 14:20 -6 19
L L D L L
14 17 4 5 8 9:16 -7 17
D L L D L
15 17 4 5 8 17:25 -8 17
L L W L D
16 17 3 3 11 7:23 -16 12
L W L D L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs