Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
70.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Defensor Sporting
23 matches
Wanderers
23 matches
| Defensor Sporting | Statistic | Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 10 |
| 9 | Draws | 5 |
| 8 | Losses | 8 |
| 19 | Goals For | 29 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 0.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 0.96 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Wanderers's more proactive style and Defensor Sporting's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Wanderers. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Wanderers look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Defensor Sporting expected to line up in 4-3-2-1 and Wanderers in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Wanderers having the stronger overall control.
From their first 22 matches, Defensor Sporting have collected 27 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 19:20 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Wanderers have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 35 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 28:25 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Defensor Sporting won 4 times, Wanderers won 2 times, while 9 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:12 from Defensor Sporting's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.
Lineups
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Albion FC
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Central Espanol
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
Wanderers
Penarol
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Progreso
Wanderers
Danubio
Wanderers
Juventud
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Albion FC
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
Juventud
Wanderers
Penarol
Wanderers
Progreso
Wanderers
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
Boston River
Wanderers
Cerro
Wanderers
Albion FC
Wanderers
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Albion FC
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
Plaza Colonia
Defensor Sporting
CA River Plate
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
Penarol
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Juventud
Wanderers
Albion FC
Wanderers
Juventud
Wanderers
Progreso
Wanderers
Boston River
Wanderers
Albion FC
Wanderers
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Central Espanol
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
Wanderers
Penarol
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
Progreso
Wanderers
Miramar
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:0 | 9 | 9 |
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 9 |
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 5 |
Wanderers
Away
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
W
L
D
W
|
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
D
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:4 | -3 | 3 |
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 |
Defensor Sporting
Home
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:9 | -7 | 1 |
L
D
L
L
|
| 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 0 |
L
L
L
|