Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Defensor Sporting Win 0%
Draw 0%
Cerro Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Defensor Sporting1.1
Cerro0.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Defensor Sporting
WWDLW
15 GF / 18 GA
Cerro
WLDWL
10 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
0.53
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
9
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Defensor Sporting
20 matches
Cerro
19 matches
| Defensor Sporting | Statistic | Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 3 |
| 8 | Draws | 4 |
| 7 | Losses | 12 |
| 15 | Goals For | 10 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 0.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.53 |
| 0.9 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.63 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Defensor Sporting won 5 times, Cerro won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:12 from Defensor Sporting's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Defensor Sporting 4-2-3-1 / Cerro 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Defensor Sporting wins 5, draws 7, Cerro wins 3
Last matches: Defensor Sporting
04.07.26
Fri
Defensor Sporting
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
07.06.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
0
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
1
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
1
1
D
27.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
2
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
0
1
L
31.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Albion FC
1
1
D
26.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
0
0
D
26.02.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
1
1
D
Last matches: Cerro
07.06.26
Pri
Cerro
Penarol
0
1
L
29.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Central Espanol
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
1
4
L
10.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Club Nacional
0
4
L
02.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Central Espanol
1
3
L
19.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
28.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Wanderers
0
3
L
25.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Juventud
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Penarol
1
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Progreso
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
1
1
D
20.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
16.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Albion FC
0
3
L
09.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Danubio
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
0
0
D
H2H: Defensor Sporting vs Cerro
05.04.26
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
L
11.10.25
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
L
22.06.25
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
2
1
W
14.04.25
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
3
2
W
07.09.24
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
25.02.24
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
5
0
W
15.11.23
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
08.04.23
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
1
1
D
04.12.21
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
0
1
L
30.11.21
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
2
W
23.09.21
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
2
0
W
10.06.21
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
18.02.21
H2H
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
27.08.20
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
1
1
D
10.11.19
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
1
1
D
Last matches: Defensor Sporting
07.06.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
1
2
L
27.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
2
0
W
31.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Albion FC
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
2
1
W
08.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
09.11.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
1
1
D
24.10.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
06.10.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
2
1
W
19.09.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
2
1
W
05.09.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
1
0
W
23.08.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
11.08.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
CA River Plate
1
0
W
07.12.21
Seg
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
3
0
W
04.12.21
Seg
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
0
1
L
24.11.21
Seg
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
0
1
L
10.11.21
Seg
Defensor Sporting
Uruguay Montevideo
2
0
W
H2H at home: Defensor Sporting
22.06.25
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
2
1
W
14.04.25
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
3
2
W
25.02.24
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
5
0
W
08.04.23
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
1
1
D
04.12.21
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
0
1
L
23.09.21
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
2
0
W
27.08.20
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
1
1
D
10.11.19
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
1
1
D
Last matches: Cerro
29.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
1
4
L
10.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Club Nacional
0
4
L
26.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Central Espanol
1
3
L
10.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
28.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Wanderers
0
3
L
21.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Penarol
1
3
L
08.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
16.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Albion FC
0
3
L
18.10.25
Pri
Cerro
Atletico Torque
2
1
W
05.10.25
Pri
Cerro
Progreso
0
2
L
26.09.25
Pri
Cerro
Wanderers
1
0
W
14.09.25
Pri
Cerro
Danubio
1
5
L
31.08.25
Pri
Cerro
Juventud
0
1
L
17.08.25
Pri
Cerro
Plaza Colonia
2
0
W
02.08.25
Pri
Cerro
CA River Plate
0
0
D
16.10.22
Seg
Cerro
Rampla Juniors
1
0
W
01.10.22
Seg
Cerro
Miramar
2
0
W
17.09.22
Seg
Cerro
La Luz
1
0
W
03.09.22
Seg
Cerro
Rampla Juniors
2
2
D
H2H away: Cerro
22.06.25
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
2
1
L
14.04.25
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
3
2
L
25.02.24
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
5
0
L
08.04.23
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
1
1
D
04.12.21
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
0
1
W
23.09.21
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
2
0
L
27.08.20
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
1
1
D
10.11.19
H2H
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
1
1
D
Standings
Primera: Torneo Intermedio
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 10 |
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:1 | 4 | 7 |
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 9 |
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 6 |
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
Cerro
Away
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 7 |
Cerro
Away
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
|
| 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 |
Defensor Sporting
Home
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 8 |
Defensor Sporting
Home
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
D
D
L
L
|
| 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
D
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs: Final)