Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
70.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
41.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Defensor Sporting
22 matches
Cerro
21 matches
| Defensor Sporting | Statistic | Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 5 |
| 9 | Draws | 4 |
| 8 | Losses | 12 |
| 17 | Goals For | 13 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 0.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.62 |
| 0.95 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.52 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cerro. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Defensor Sporting expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Cerro in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cerro having the stronger overall control. Cerro arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
From their first 20 matches, Defensor Sporting have collected 24 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 16:17 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Cerro approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 16 points from 20 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 12:32 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Defensor Sporting won 6 times, Cerro won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:12 from Defensor Sporting's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Lineups
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Albion FC
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Deportivo Maldonado
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
Cerro
Albion FC
Cerro
Danubio
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Central Espanol
Cerro
Boston River
Cerro
Club Nacional
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro
Central Espanol
Cerro
Atletico Torque
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Wanderers
Cerro
Juventud
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Progreso
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Albion FC
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
Plaza Colonia
Defensor Sporting
CA River Plate
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Danubio
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Boston River
Cerro
Club Nacional
Cerro
Central Espanol
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Wanderers
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Albion FC
Cerro
Atletico Torque
Cerro
Progreso
Cerro
Wanderers
Cerro
Danubio
Cerro
Juventud
Cerro
Plaza Colonia
Cerro
CA River Plate
Cerro
Rampla Juniors
Cerro
Miramar
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 37:20 | 17 | 46 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 40:24 | 16 | 45 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 31:19 | 12 | 45 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 30:26 | 4 | 39 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 34:27 | 7 | 38 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:23 | 7 | 35 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 35:33 | 2 | 35 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 34 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 30 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 |
Defensor Sporting
Home
|
24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 27 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
| 12 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 26 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 |
Cerro
Away
|
24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 17:35 | -18 | 25 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 14 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:35 | -9 | 24 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 22:31 | -9 | 23 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18:37 | -19 | 16 |
L
L
L
W
L
|