Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
67.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
61.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Defensor Sporting
18 matches
Boston River
18 matches
| Defensor Sporting | Statistic | Boston River |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 6 |
| 7 | Draws | 2 |
| 6 | Losses | 10 |
| 14 | Goals For | 18 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 0.78 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 0.83 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Defensor Sporting's more proactive style and Boston River's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Boston River. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Defensor Sporting sit 8 with 21 points after 15 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, while the 13:11 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on B. Montenegro (6 goals), A. Machado (2 goals), F. Castro (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Boston River sit 13 with 17 points after 15 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, while the 14:20 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on F. Bonfiglio (4 goals), F. Munoa (3 goals), L. Suhr (3 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Defensor Sporting won 6 times, Boston River won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:20 from Defensor Sporting's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Lineups
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Albion FC
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Deportivo Maldonado
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Cerro
Boston River
Deportivo Maldonado
Boston River
Central Espanol
Boston River
Atletico Torque
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Wanderers
Boston River
Juventud
Boston River
Penarol
Boston River
Progreso
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Cerro
Boston River
Albion FC
Boston River
Danubio
Boston River
Club Nacional
Boston River
Cerro
Boston River
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Albion FC
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
Plaza Colonia
Defensor Sporting
CA River Plate
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Deportivo Maldonado
Boston River
Atletico Torque
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Juventud
Boston River
Progreso
Boston River
Cerro
Boston River
Danubio
Boston River
Cerro
Boston River
Wanderers
Boston River
Miramar
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
Club Nacional
Boston River
Atletico Torque
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 35:20 | 15 | 39 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 25:15 | 10 | 37 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 28:18 | 10 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 32 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 31 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 31 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 29 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 26 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 25 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21:20 | 1 | 24 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 |
Defensor Sporting
Home
|
19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 23 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
| 12 |
Boston River
Away
|
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
| 13 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 18 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16:30 | -14 | 13 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10:31 | -21 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
L
|