29.07.2026 20:00
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Referee: B. Amiconi
Defensa Y Justicia
Match Timeline
Deportivo Riestra
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
Carlos Quintana
Deportivo Riestra
23'
J. Gutierrez
Defensa Y Justicia
37'
D. Barbona
Defensa Y Justicia
🟨
46'
Nicolas Watson
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
46'
B. Sanchez ↔ T. Gonzalez
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
46'
P. Monje ↔ N. Watson
Deportivo Riestra
🟨
60'
Facundo Miño
Deportivo Riestra
🟨
62'
Damián Fernández
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
66'
M. Rodriguez ↔ F. Roman
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
66'
A. Hausch ↔ A. Portillo
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
66'
A. Diaz ↔ A. Graneros
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
66'
F. Mino ↔ I. Gariglio
Deportivo Riestra
🟨
70'
Ignacio Gariglio
Deportivo Riestra
72'
T. Gonzalez · Assist: N. Sansotre
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
75'
D. Barbona ↔ D. Blanco
Defensa Y Justicia
🟨
90+3'
Fernando Román
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
90'
L. Fernandez ↔ V. Loza
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
90'
M. Bracamonte ↔ J. Goitia
Deportivo Riestra

Defensa Y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 50%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.1%
-
BTTS Yes
50%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Defensa Y Justicia Win 76.1%
Draw 8.1%
Deportivo Riestra Win 15.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Defensa Y Justicia0.96
Deportivo Riestra0.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia
WWDLW
23 GF / 27 GA
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
WLDWL
10 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
0.53
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
0.68
12
BTTS Yes
4
8
Over 2.5
1
3.71
Shots on Goal
3.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia 20 matches
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 19 matches
Defensa Y Justicia Statistic Deportivo Riestra
6 Wins 3
8 Draws 9
6 Losses 7
23 Goals For 10
27 Goals Against 13
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 0.53
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 0.68
12 BTTS Yes 4
15 Over 1.5 8
8 Over 2.5 1
5 Over 3.5 0
6 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 12
3.71 Shots On Goal 3.29
10.18 Total Shots 9.47
4.29 Corners 4.18
51.8% Ball Possession 37.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Deportivo Riestra. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Defensa Y Justicia expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Deportivo Riestra in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Riestra having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Defensa Y Justicia Analysis

Defensa Y Justicia approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 19 points from 16 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats with a 18:21 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Molinas (3 goals), A. Portillo (3 goals), J. Gutierrez (3 goals), with creative support from A. Molinas (4 assists), J. Gutierrez (3 assists), A. Portillo (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Riestra Analysis

Deportivo Riestra approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 11 points from 16 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 5:12 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Alonso (2 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Defensa Y Justicia won 3 times, Deportivo Riestra won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:4 from Defensa Y Justicia's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.83 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.9%)
Predicted formations: Defensa Y Justicia 3-4-2-1 / Deportivo Riestra 5-3-2
H2H summary: Defensa Y Justicia wins 3, draws 3, Deportivo Riestra wins 0

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
W L D L W
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
W W D W D
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
W D W D D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L W L D D
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
W D W L D
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
W W L D L
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
L D W L D
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
L L W W W
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
W W L W D
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
D W L W W
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
D L D W W
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
L L D L W
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
D L L D L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
W D D D W
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
D L D D D
Knockout Phase